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Texas State Bobcats vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Picks and Predictions – January 22, 2026
Texas State heads to Conway to face Coastal Carolina on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at The HTC Center, with ESPN+ carrying the broadcast. It’s a Sun Belt game that looks simple on paper because both teams sit at 11-9, but the betting angle is all about where the game is played. Texas State has been a problem on the road at 1-7, and the market is asking you to decide how much that should matter in a short spread.
Coastal Carolina is laying a small number at home at -2.5 with a modest total of 141.5. That tells me oddsmakers expect a fairly controlled game where one or two decisive runs decide both the side and the total.
Texas State Bobcats vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should monitor the board for late movement in the latest college basketball odds as tip approaches.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | +110 | +2.5 (-120) | O/U 141.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | -139 | -2.5 (-107) | O/U 141.5 |
Texas State Bobcats Betting Form
Texas State is coming off a 74-67 win over Southern Miss, and that’s a useful datapoint because it wasn’t a fluky score. They got production from multiple spots and did enough on the glass to keep the offense from stalling. When Texas State is right, it looks like a team that wants to live inside the arc, get to the rim, and keep pressure on the defense without needing a hot three-point night.
The concern is the travel profile. A 1-7 away record is not a small sample blip, it’s a sign that the offense has been less reliable outside their comfort zones. Even if they’re getting decent looks, road games tend to punish teams that can’t string together clean possessions. If Texas State has a couple empty stretches, it becomes hard to cash a ticket against a home team that rebounds as well as Coastal.
For a deeper snapshot of their game log and scoring patterns, check Texas State stats and results.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Betting Form
Coastal Carolina is playing its best basketball right now, and the key is that the wins have come with real offensive punch. They’ve had multiple games where they score in bursts, then protect those leads by controlling the glass. That rebounding profile is exactly what you want when you’re laying a short number because it reduces variance. Missed shots do not automatically turn into fast breaks the other way.
At home, Coastal has been steady enough to trust their baseline. They’re not unbeatable in Conway, but they’re more likely to get consistent role-player shooting and better energy possessions, especially on the defensive glass. If this turns into a half-court game, the Chanticleers’ ability to create second chances can be the separator that makes -2.5 feel short.
To review their recent results and home splits, use Coastal Carolina schedule and stats.
Texas State Bobcats vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Matchup Breakdown
This game sets up as interior efficiency versus rebounding volume. Texas State wants to win with twos, free throws, and steady shot quality. Coastal wants to win the possession battle by extending trips with offensive boards and limiting Texas State’s second chances. If Coastal is getting extra looks, the math gets tough for Texas State, especially on the road.
Turnovers are the other hinge. A road underdog can live with missed shots if they’re getting back on defense and keeping the game organized. They cannot live with live-ball turnovers that become runouts, because that’s how a two-possession spread turns into a 10-point margin without the favorite playing great.
The total at 141.5 is sitting in a range where late-game script matters. If this is a tight game in the final three minutes, free throws can push an over through even if the first half is choppy. If Coastal controls the glass and builds a two-score lead late, the pace can slow, and suddenly the under has more paths than the number suggests.
Texas State Bobcats vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Coastal Carolina -2.5. I do not love laying points with a team that can be streaky, but the matchup fits their best strength. If Coastal wins the glass like they usually do, Texas State is forced to be efficient on a lower shot volume, and that’s a tough ask for a team with a 1-7 road record.
Texas State can absolutely win this game, but it likely requires a clean turnover game and a strong finishing night inside. If they miss early, they need to manufacture points at the line and avoid the kind of empty possessions that feed Coastal’s confidence at home.
On the total, I lean slightly over 141.5 because both teams can get there in different ways: Texas State through efficient twos and free throws, Coastal through second chances and late-game fouling if the margin stays inside two possessions. The under is still live if the road shooting is cold and the pace slows, but I’d rather attach to the side.
Best Bet: Coastal Carolina -2.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re building out the full board for Thursday, start with the college basketball picks page and compare how similar short home favorites are being priced across conferences. For more game-specific breakdowns, the NCAAB previews hub is the fastest way to scan the slate without jumping around.
When you want to track who’s consistently beating the market, the best handicappers list and the handicapper leaderboard are the quickest filters for performance. If you’d rather follow a tighter portfolio instead of building a full card yourself, you can explore premium options at buy picks. For broader betting education and coverage, you can also use the Expert Betting Guide, browse the college basketball teams hub, and check market context through the ScoresAndStats blog, sportsbook reviews, and handicappers sites reviews.
