The Citadel Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets Picks and Predictions January 17th 2026

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The Citadel Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets Betting Preview

The Citadel Bulldogs look to snap their road struggles, while the VMI Keydets aim to defend their home floor in this Southern Conference clash at Cameron Hall.

Line Movement and Odds

VMI enters as the favorite, but The Citadel’s three-point shooting makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • The Citadel Spread: +5.5 (-112)
  • VMI Spread: -5.5 (-111)
  • The Citadel MoneyLine: +181
  • VMI MoneyLine: -230
  • Total: 139.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

The Citadel Outlook

The Bulldogs average 69.8 points per game, with Braxton Williams, Carter Kingsbury, and Elijah Morgan leading the offense. Williams’ 25 points vs UNCG highlighted his consistency, while Kingsbury’s 15 points and six assists showcased his versatility. The Citadel’s shooting efficiency (9.5 threes per game, 89th nationally) underscores their strengths. Their 4-14 record and 0-8 road mark show struggles, but their ability to score from deep makes them a dangerous underdog.

VMI Outlook

The Keydets average 74.1 points per game, with TJ Johnson, Linus Holmstrom, and Cal Liston driving production. Johnson’s 18.8 points per game highlight his consistency, while Holmstrom’s 18 points vs Mercer showcased his impact. VMI’s shooting efficiency (10.9 threes per game, 27th nationally; 33.5 attempts per game, 15th nationally) underscores their strengths. Their 6-12 record and 5-3 home mark highlight resilience, making them tough at Cameron Hall.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. The Citadel thrives on three-point accuracy and offensive depth, while VMI must rely on volume shooting and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

The Citadel: No injuries reported.

VMI: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Cameron Hall has been a reliable venue for VMI, where they’ve gone 5-3 this season. The Citadel enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, making this a clash of home strength vs road resilience.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: VMI 74, The Citadel 70

  • The Citadel +5.5 → Best Bet. Their three-point shooting and balanced scoring suggest they can stay within the number.
  • Under 139.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace and low field goal percentages point toward a combined score below the line.

VMI’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while The Citadel’s perimeter shooting keeps the spread in play. Expect a moderately low-scoring contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Southern Conference games often create unique betting opportunities. Our Best Handicappers highlight experts who consistently read market trends, while the Leaderboard shows who’s riding hot streaks. Premium insights in Buy Picks provide deeper reasoning behind each wager. For contests like The Citadel vs VMI, expert perspectives can help identify sharp angles in spreads and totals.

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