Troy Trojans vs West Georgia Wolves Picks and Predictions December 1st 2025

Game Preview: West Georgia Wolves @ Troy Trojans

West Georgia heads to Trojan Arena on Monday, December 1, 2025, aiming to earn a signature non-conference win as they take on a Troy squad trending upward after a strong early-season stretch. Tipoff is set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Fans can dive deeper into each program using the West Georgia team page and Troy Trojans page.

Oddsmakers list Troy as a heavy 15.5-point favorite, backed by a -2371 moneyline. West Georgia returns +964, making them one of Monday’s largest underdogs. The total is set at 148.5, reflecting Troy’s up-tempo style and both teams’ scoring tendencies.

Odds and Key Information

Troy enters at 5–4, showing competitive resilience through their non-conference slate. Their lone home game resulted in a win, and they bring notable pace and offensive efficiency. West Georgia rides in at 4–3, thriving at home (3–0) but struggling on the road (1–3). This matchup represents a significant test for the Wolves against a Division I opponent with size, pace, and depth advantages.

Updated market moves and a full slate of college lines are available on the NCAAB odds page.

West Georgia Wolves Outlook

West Georgia enters after an 82–66 loss to Georgia Tech, but the performance provided encouraging signs. Shelton Williams-Dryden posted 21 points and nine rebounds, continuing his breakout season and reaffirming his status as the Wolves’ primary offensive engine. Josh Smith and Malcolm Noel added 13 points each, giving West Georgia multiple perimeter scoring threats.

The Wolves shoot 38.7 percent from three—34th nationally—and that perimeter efficiency is their clearest path to competing Monday night. West Georgia averages 76.3 points per game and plays with confidence through early offense, often hunting transition threes and trail jumpers.

Their biggest challenge will be containing Troy’s physicality and transition pressure, especially on the defensive glass. If West Georgia can maintain their shooting efficiency and avoid extended scoring droughts—an issue in their road losses—they can keep the spread within reach.

Troy Trojans Outlook

Troy comes off a strong 74–64 win over Saint Francis (PA), powered by Thomas Dowd’s 18-point, 11-rebound double-double. Dowd’s physicality complements Troy’s guard-heavy offense, which thrives when forcing pace and generating paint touches. Cobi Campbell’s 11-point performance highlighted Troy’s backcourt steadiness.

The Trojans average 88.0 points per game—Top 50 nationally—and lean into volume scoring opportunities through pace (73.8 possessions per game) and relentless shot creation. Their free-throw efficiency (74.2 percent) and 9.7 made threes per game further illustrate a balanced, explosive offensive profile.

Troy is 1–0 at home but historically dominant at Trojan Arena thanks to its strong student presence and pace-friendly floor. With Cooper Campbell and Victor Valdes also contributing consistent two-way play, the Trojans’ roster depth makes them the more stable and potent team entering this matchup.

Key Matchup Table

Key Factor	Advantage
Scoring Ceiling	Troy Trojans
Three-Point Efficiency	West Georgia Wolves
Athleticism & Size	Troy Trojans
Tempo Control	Troy Trojans
Bench Production	Troy Trojans

Betting Trends

• Troy’s pace often creates high-scoring environments, especially against opponents with smaller rotations.
• West Georgia tends to outperform expectations when they shoot above 40 percent from three; they are 3–0 this season when hitting that threshold.
• Troy’s offense tends to surge at home, where they leverage tempo and rebounding advantages more effectively.

Sharp bettors can compare movement and totals projections on the college basketball picks page.

The Lean

Spread Pick: Troy -15.5
Our projection model anticipates Troy pulling away behind superior pace, efficiency, and rebounding. With Troy averaging 88.0 points and West Georgia at 76.3, the expected scoring gap aligns with a 15+ point margin. Projection: Troy 89, West Georgia 70.

Over/Under Pick: Over 148.5
Both teams prefer to push tempo, and Troy’s high-possession offense is likely to dictate the game flow. The combined scoring projection (159) exceeds the posted total, making the over 148.5 the preferred play.

For additional breakdowns, expert picks, and model-driven edges, check out the NCAAB previews hub.

Why Expert Picks Matter

With significant mismatches in tempo and scoring potential, large spreads like this often hinge on bench impact, foul rates, and late-game efficiency. The Handicappers Leaderboard at the college basketball picks hub surfaces top performers capable of identifying value in high-variance totals or mispriced mid-major spreads.

Projected Final Score: Troy 89, West Georgia 70
Best Spread Play: Troy -15.5
Total Lean: Over 148.5