UC Davis heads to San Luis Obispo to face Cal Poly on Saturday, February 7, 2026, in a Big West Conference matchup at the Mott Athletics Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. This game matters for positioning in the middle of the conference, with UC Davis looking to maintain consistency while Cal Poly tries to capitalize on home court in a league where margins are often thin.
UC Davis has been the more reliable side overall, especially in terms of offensive execution and late-game composure. Cal Poly has shown improvement defensively at home but continues to struggle with efficiency on the offensive end. From a betting standpoint, this sets up as a game where pace control, shot selection, and turnovers play a decisive role.
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Odds
These are the current betting lines for this matchup. Bettors should continue monitoring movement using the latest college basketball odds available on ScoresAndStats.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | -160 | -3.5 (-110) | O 139.5 (-110) |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | +140 | +3.5 (-110) | U 139.5 (-110) |
UC Davis Aggies Betting Form
The UC Davis Aggies have leaned on offensive structure and ball movement throughout Big West play. UC Davis is comfortable operating in the half court, generating clean looks through patient sets rather than quick shots. That approach has helped them limit turnovers and stay efficient late in games.
Defensively, UC Davis is disciplined and does a solid job finishing possessions with rebounds. They are not an aggressive pressure team, but they rarely beat themselves with unnecessary fouls or blown rotations. Free-throw creation on offense has been a quiet strength, especially in tight second halves.
There are no major availability concerns reported, but bettors should still confirm final status through the UC Davis Aggies injury report before tipoff.
Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Form
The Cal Poly Mustangs have struggled to find offensive consistency this season. They prefer to slow games down and rely on defense and rebounding to stay competitive, particularly at home. When Cal Poly succeeds, it is usually because they limit transition opportunities and force opponents into contested shots.
Offensively, the Mustangs can be streaky. Perimeter shooting drives much of their scoring, and when shots are not falling, possessions can dry up quickly. Turnovers and limited free-throw generation have made it difficult for Cal Poly to close gaps late against more efficient teams.
Roster stability appears solid, though bettors should still review the Cal Poly Mustangs injury report closer to game time.
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Matchup Breakdown
This matchup profiles as efficiency versus resistance. UC Davis wants a clean, methodical game built on ball control and shot quality. Cal Poly wants to slow the pace, defend physically, and keep the score within reach.
Key factors to watch:
- Turnover margin, favoring UC Davis
- Shot quality late in possessions
- Rebounding battles that limit second chances
UC Davis’ ability to execute late gives them an edge, even on the road. Situational concepts often highlighted in the expert betting guide help explain why teams with better half-court efficiency tend to cover short spreads in Big West play.
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions and Best Bets
From a betting perspective, UC Davis laying a short number on the road is the preferred side. Their offensive efficiency and composure late reduce variance, which is critical in conference road spots. Cal Poly’s defensive effort keeps this competitive, but offensive limitations make it difficult to trust them to keep pace for 40 minutes.
The total leans under. Both teams are comfortable slowing the game down, and neither pushes tempo unless trailing. If UC Davis controls flow, scoring opportunities should tighten in the second half.
Best Bet: UC Davis Aggies -3.5 (-110).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Bettors looking for more daily opportunities can find value through Today’s picks on ScoresAndStats, where expert handicappers break down spreads and totals across the full college basketball slate. For broader context, the NCAAB teams hub provides team profiles and season trends that help sharpen matchup reads.
Futures bettors can also stay connected to longer-term narratives through John Wooden Award odds and national championship futures as conference races continue to shape postseason positioning.


