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William & Mary heads to Wilmington on Thursday, February 5, 2026 for a 7:00 PM ET tip at Trask Coliseum, with this Coastal Athletic Association matchup airing on CBSS. It’s a strong card game for a mid-week slate because the profiles don’t match the records perfectly. UNCW is 19-3 and has been dominant at home, but William & Mary is one of those teams that can make you sweat because they can score in a hurry and they don’t need isolation hero ball to do it.
The Tribe is 14-8 and just came off a wild 104-96 loss to Campbell where they shot 56.7% and still couldn’t get a stop. That tells you what the range looks like. If they’re hitting shots, they can trade with anyone, but defense is not always a given. UNCW is coming off an 82-73 win at Towson and returns to an 11-1 home environment that’s been a problem for opponents all year.
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William & Mary vs UNCW Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor movement and compare price as tip approaches. You can follow the latest college basketball odds throughout the day as the market updates.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | +185 | +4.5 (-106) | O 158.5 |
| UNCW Seahawks | -240 | -4.5 (-119) | U 158.5 |
William & Mary Tribe Betting Form
William & Mary’s offense is real. They score 83.8 points per game, they move the ball as well as almost anyone in the league, and they generate threes in volume at 10.2 made per game. The assist number stands out because it’s a signal that they can create good shots without needing a single player to bail them out every trip. If they’re in rhythm, they can put pressure on a favorite quickly, and spreads in the single digits get uncomfortable fast.
The issue is the road profile and the defensive ceiling. They’re 3-7 away from home, and when they face a team that can control the glass and get to the line, they can get stuck playing catch-up in a way that doesn’t fit their best script. I do like that they can get to the stripe, though. Their free throw attempt rate gives them a way to score when the threes cool off, and that matters late if you’re holding +4.5 and trying to protect against a closing run.
UNCW Seahawks Betting Form
UNCW’s biggest edge here is stability. They’ve been nearly automatic at home at 11-1, and they’re built to win in this building because they rebound, defend, and get to the line. That free throw volume is a real weapon in games that tighten late, and it’s one of the reasons they’ve been good at turning close games into multi-possession wins in the last four minutes.
They’re also balanced offensively. Nolan Hodge is the most consistent scorer, and you saw it again against Towson when he went for 23. Pat Wessler gives them interior production and rebounding, and that matters against a William & Mary team that wants to play with flow and spacing. If UNCW can control the glass and avoid letting the Tribe get comfortable early, the matchup starts leaning toward the Seahawks’ half-court control.
William & Mary vs UNCW Matchup Breakdown
This handicap is basically offense versus control. William & Mary wants pace, ball movement, and threes. UNCW wants to slow the game down just enough, win the rebounding battle, and force the Tribe to score over a set defense instead of in rhythm. If UNCW can take away second chances and limit clean catch-and-shoot looks, William & Mary’s offense becomes a little more variable, and that’s where the favorite’s edge grows.
The total is the interesting part because 158.5 is a big number for a game where one team prefers a slower tempo. William & Mary can push totals up because they score efficiently and shoot a lot of threes, but UNCW can also drag it down by getting to the line and playing through longer possessions. You also have to account for the foul game. If this is tight late, free throws can inflate the final four minutes and swing the total either way.
Michigan St Spartans
vs
Illinois Fighting Illini
Open
vs
Feb 07, 2026 20:00 EST
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Score
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-1.50 +100
Spread
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o+144.50-115
Total
u+144.50-105
-114
Moneyline
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William & Mary vs UNCW Predictions and Best Bets
I lean William & Mary +4.5. It’s not a “UNCW is overrated” play. It’s more about William & Mary’s ability to score in multiple ways and keep a game within one or two runs. If the Tribe is hitting even an average number of threes and taking care of the ball, they can stay inside this number even if UNCW controls the glass. I also think the market is baking in home dominance, which is fair, but +4.5 gives you room for a tight game that UNCW still wins.
On the total, I lean Under 158.5. The number is asking for a fast, efficient game, and while William & Mary can do its part, UNCW’s preferred style is the natural counter. If UNCW dictates pace even slightly, and this lands closer to the high 70s for one side and low-to-mid 70s for the other, the Under gets there. The risk is obvious: if William & Mary gets hot from three and forces UNCW to play faster, 158.5 is suddenly in play.
Best Bet: William & Mary Tribe +4.5 (-106).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference games are where the market can get tricky because the familiarity cuts both ways. You get tighter game plans, more situational edges, and home courts matter more. That’s why I’m usually looking for numbers that give me room for a game script rather than betting purely on record.
If you’re building a slate for Thursday, it helps to compare angles across the board and avoid forcing action into games that don’t offer value. Using today’s college basketball picks is a practical way to scan the card, see where the strongest opinions are landing, and then decide whether the number actually gives you enough edge to play it.
