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Vanderbilt Commodores vs SMU Mustangs Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores host the SMU Mustangs at Memorial Gymnasium in Wednesday NCAA action. Both teams enter undefeated at 8-0, making this ACC/SEC Challenge matchup a battle of high-powered offenses. Bettors must weigh Vanderbilt’s home dominance and three-point shooting against SMU’s balanced scoring and resilience in close games.
Line Movement and Odds
- Vanderbilt Commodores Spread: -10.5 (-111)
- SMU Mustangs Spread: +10.5 (-110)
- Vanderbilt Commodores MoneyLine: -591
- SMU Mustangs MoneyLine: +416
- Total: 167.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Vanderbilt opened as strong favorites at home. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
SMU Mustangs Outlook
SMU edged Mississippi State 87-81 in overtime behind Boopie Miller’s 28 points and Jaron Pierre Jr.’s 24. The Mustangs average 92 points per game, shooting 49.6% from the field and dishing 19 assists per game. Miller has scored double figures in 16 straight games, providing consistency. SMU is 1-0 ATS as underdogs and undefeated overall, showing they can thrive under pressure.
Vanderbilt Commodores Outlook
Vanderbilt defeated Saint Mary’s 96-71 in the Battle 4 Atlantis final, led by Duke Miles’ 25 points. Miles averages 18.8 points and 4.8 assists per game, while Jalen Washington adds efficient scoring at 61.9% from the field. The Commodores average 97.9 points per game, rank seventh nationally in effective field goal percentage (61.2%), and hit 11.8 threes per game. Vanderbilt is 4-0 at home and 5-1 ATS as favorites, showing dominance in expected wins.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
SMU’s balanced scoring vs Vanderbilt’s perimeter shooting. The Mustangs must rely on Miller and Pierre Jr. to sustain offense, while Vanderbilt needs Miles and Washington to continue their hot streaks. Defensive intensity and rebounding will be decisive in a high-scoring contest.
Injuries / Availability
SMU reports no major injury concerns, with Miller and Pierre Jr. leading the attack.
Vanderbilt lists its roster healthy, with Miles and Washington driving production.
Betting Trends
- SMU is 8-0 overall and 1-0 ATS as underdogs.
- SMU averages 92 points per game and 19 assists per game.
- Vanderbilt is 8-0 overall and 4-0 at home.
- Vanderbilt averages 97.9 points per game and 11.8 threes per game.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Vanderbilt 96, SMU 90
- SMU +10.5 (-110) → Best Bet. Mustangs’ scoring depth suggests they can keep the game closer than the spread.
- Over 167.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 186 points, leaning strongly over given both teams’ offensive pace.
Vanderbilt’s home edge should secure the win, but SMU’s balanced attack makes them a strong play to cover. Expect a high-scoring contest trending over the total.
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