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Commodores vs Longhorns Picks and Predictions – Wednesday January 14, 2026
Vanderbilt puts its perfect 16-0 record on the line Wednesday night when the Commodores head to Austin for a tough SEC road test against Texas. Tip is set for 9:00 PM ET at the Moody Center, with ESPN2 carrying the broadcast.
The market has Vanderbilt favored, laying 5.5 points, with a total sitting in the mid-160s. It makes sense on paper. Vanderbilt has been the more efficient scoring team all season, and the Commodores have shown they can keep their offense stable away from home. Texas, though, is 8-3 at home and just proved it can trade buckets with high-end talent after its win over Alabama.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Odds
These are the current betting lines, and you should keep an eye on the updated college basketball odds as numbers can move leading up to tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | -241 | -5.5 (-114) | O 165.5 (-110) |
| Texas Longhorns | +190 | +5.5 (-109) | U 165.5 (-110) |
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Form
Vanderbilt has been an offense-first machine through 16 games, averaging 93.0 points per game with a 50.3% field goal rate. That profile travels. When you’re scoring that cleanly, you don’t need a perfect whistle or a perfect shooting backdrop to get where you want on the floor, and it’s why Vanderbilt has been so reliable as a favorite.
The LSU win (84-73) was another example of the Commodores controlling the game without needing a miracle run. Tyler Tanner’s 20 points and Tyler Nickel’s 19 points and 10 rebounds fit the script: Vanderbilt has multiple ways to hurt you, and it’s comfortable turning possessions into quick, high-quality looks.
For a deeper snapshot of pace and results, check the Vanderbilt stats and results.
Texas Longhorns Betting Form
Texas is 10-6 overall, but the home splits are where the betting conversation starts. The Longhorns are 8-3 at the Moody Center, and that matters in a spot like this where the spread is in the mid-single digits. Texas also plays to its strength on the glass, averaging 41.4 rebounds per game, which can keep it from getting buried if Vanderbilt’s shot-making is hot early.
The 92-88 win over Alabama showed the ceiling. Jordan Pope’s 28 points led the way, and Texas got secondary production that let it keep pressure on every possession. This is not the kind of underdog that needs everything to break perfectly to hang around, especially at home.
If you want the game-by-game profile, the Texas schedule and stats page is the clean reference point.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Matchup Breakdown
This game sets up as a tempo and shot-quality fight. Vanderbilt is comfortable playing fast because it finishes possessions efficiently, and the raw scoring average tells you the same thing: the Commodores are not grinding. Texas can run too, but the bigger key for the Longhorns is whether they can force Vanderbilt into enough empty trips to keep the spread alive.
The rebounding angle is Texas’ clearest path to flipping the script. If the Longhorns can win second-chance points and keep Vanderbilt from living in transition, the game tightens. If Vanderbilt is getting one clean look after another and Texas is taking the ball out of the net, it becomes harder to protect +5.5, especially if late-game fouling shows up.
It’s also a classic travel and environment spot. Vanderbilt is on the road, in a loud building, against a team that has played its best basketball at home. The Moody Center doesn’t change your shooting mechanics, but it can affect communication, defensive matchups, and the ability to settle into half-court sets. In a game with a high total, even a few broken defensive possessions can matter.
If you’re newer to how these tempo-driven matchups impact totals and spreads, the Expert Betting Guide is a solid refresher before you start stacking opinions.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Predictions and Best Bets
My main lean is still Vanderbilt -5.5. When the favorite is the better offense and doesn’t rely on one scorer, I’m comfortable laying mid-single digits even on the road. Vanderbilt’s consistency as a favorite and its ability to score efficiently makes it less likely to get stuck in the kind of extended drought that keeps an underdog alive late.
Texas can absolutely win this game, but the path is narrower. It needs the rebounding edge to show up, it needs to keep Vanderbilt from playing downhill, and it probably needs one more shot-maker than usual to match Vanderbilt possession for possession. That’s a lot to ask against an undefeated team that has been steady across venues.
The total is where I’m the most interested. Both teams are putting up big numbers, and the recent results suggest the game can live in the high-80s to mid-90s range. With a total of 165.5, you’re betting on efficiency, pace, and the likelihood of late fouling if this stays within two possessions. That combination points to the over more than the under.
Best Bet: Over 165.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you want to compare your read to the market’s sharper opinions, the college basketball picks page is the fastest way to scan sides and totals across the slate. For bettors tracking who’s actually beating the number, the best handicappers hub and the live handicapper leaderboard make it easy to separate real performance from noise.
For more matchup coverage, the NCAAB previews hub is where the daily schedule stacks up, and the broader teams hub helps when you’re cross-checking opponents and spots. If you’re shopping for where to place the bet or comparing book quirks, start with the sportsbook reviews and the handicappers sites reviews.
And if you’re building a bigger card and want a premium angle to pair with this game, you can always browse buy picks or dig into more analysis on the main ScoresAndStats blog.
