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Table of Contents
Match Facts
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Siena Saints at Vermont Catamounts |
| Sport | Men’s College Basketball (non-conference) |
| Date | Wednesday, December 17, 2025 |
| Tip time | 7:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Patrick Gymnasium (Burlington, VT) |
| Conferences | Siena (MAAC), Vermont (America East) |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ |
For roster context and team pages, use NCAAB teams.
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Line and Odds
- Spread: Vermont -1.5 / Siena +1.5
- Moneyline: Vermont -123 / Siena -103
- Total: 136.5
This is essentially a “pick’em with home court” line. The market is saying Vermont’s shooting profile and home gym are worth a small edge, but Siena’s form and reliability in close games make them live to win outright. With such a short spread, the practical question is which team executes better late, because one or two empty possessions will decide this. For line movement and live tracking, use college basketball scores and odds.
Movement Matchup
Siena’s path is to keep the game physical, win key rebound battles, and avoid the scoring droughts that can happen on the road when pace slows. When Siena is at its best, it gets efficient looks by moving the ball, playing through its primary creators, and converting second-chance opportunities. If the Saints can keep Vermont from getting comfortable catch-and-shoot threes, the game naturally stays in a one-possession range.
Vermont’s edge is shot quality and spacing. The Catamounts’ effective field goal percentage and three-point volume suggest they can create efficient offense even when the game slows. At home, Vermont will try to run clean half-court actions, force Siena into defensive rotations, and turn short closeouts into either open threes or controlled paint touches. If Vermont is making shots early, it becomes much harder for Siena to dictate tempo.
Breakdown Injury Reports
Siena
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| No injuries reported | — | — |
Vermont
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| No injuries reported | — | — |
Siena Recent performance
Siena enters in strong form after a convincing win over Canisius, and the box score supports a road-ready identity: rebounding, ball movement, and efficient scoring from key pieces. Antonio Chandler’s double-double is the type of production that travels because it isn’t dependent on hot shooting. Justice Shoats’ playmaking also matters in a tight spread game because it reduces empty possessions and helps Siena get quality looks late in the clock.
The Saints have also shown they can win close games, which is important in a -1.5 / +1.5 market. If this game becomes a final-four-minutes contest, Siena’s ability to execute and avoid careless turnovers becomes a genuine advantage, especially if they can generate extra possessions through rebounding.
Vermont Recent performance
Vermont’s recent win over Merrimack fits their season profile: calm execution, efficient shot-making, and enough balance to avoid relying on one scorer. The Catamounts’ eFG% and three-point output suggest their offense is built on sustainable shot quality rather than tough-shot heroics. That’s exactly what you want at home in a short spread spot.
Players like Noah Barnett and Sean Blake give Vermont stability as decision-makers, and the presence of multiple scoring options helps in late-game situations where defenses key on the first action. If Vermont keeps Siena off the offensive glass and avoids foul trouble, they can keep their offensive rhythm intact for 40 minutes.
Betting Insights and Trends
With a spread this small, the moneyline and spread are closely tied. If you like Vermont, laying -1.5 is basically asking them to win by one clean late possession. If you like Siena, +1.5 provides minimal protection, so you’re mostly betting on an outright win or a one-point finish.
The total at 136.5 sits in a range where pace and shot profile decide it. Vermont’s offense is efficient enough to push the game toward the over if the threes are falling, and Siena can contribute if it avoids long droughts and finishes possessions with rebounds. But if this becomes a half-court, late-clock game with fewer transition possessions, 136.5 can be a very reachable under number.
For general bet-type guidance and how to keep spread/total plays consistent with game script, use the basketball betting guide.
Bet With Confidence, Not Guesswork
Data + Discipline = Results
Best bet and Prediction
Best bet: Vermont -1.5.
This is the best bet because Vermont’s offensive efficiency and shot quality are the most repeatable edge in a tight spread home game. Siena is live, but Vermont’s ability to score efficiently inside and outside gives them the cleaner late-game path—especially at Patrick Gym, where execution tends to improve with familiarity and crowd comfort.
Prediction: Vermont 75, Siena 70.
For more games and market options, use college basketball picks.
Handicapper section
Treat this like a one-possession game. If you’re on Vermont, your script is “clean half-court offense, steady spacing, threes that land at home.” If you’re on Siena, your script is “physicality, rebounding, and turning this into a gritty finish.” Don’t mix scripts—pairing Vermont with an under can make sense if you expect control; pairing Siena with an over makes more sense if you expect pace and volatility.
