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Virginia Cavaliers vs Dayton Flyers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers face the Dayton Flyers at Spectrum Center in Charlotte. Virginia (7-1) looks to build on its dominant win over Texas, while Dayton (7-2) enters with momentum after defeating East Tennessee State. Bettors must weigh Virginia’s balanced scoring and defense against Dayton’s turnover-forcing style and offensive firepower.
Line Movement and Odds
- Dayton Flyers Spread: +6.5 (-110)
- Virginia Cavaliers Spread: -6.5 (-110)
- Dayton Flyers MoneyLine: +220
- Virginia Cavaliers MoneyLine: -280
- Total: 147.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Virginia opened as favorites on the neutral floor. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Dayton Flyers Outlook
Dayton defeated East Tennessee State 88-71 behind De’Shayne Montgomery’s 27 points. Montgomery averages 17.9 points per game, while Javon Bennett leads with 16.0 points. The Flyers average 78 points per game and have forced 20+ turnovers in three games this season. With wins over Marquette and Georgetown, Dayton has proven capable against strong competition, but must limit mistakes against Virginia’s defense.
Virginia Cavaliers Outlook
Virginia routed Texas 88-69, hitting 12 of 24 threes. Thijs De Ridder leads with 17.6 points per game, Malik Thomas adds 13.1, and Chance Mallory provides scoring off the bench (11.9 ppg). Johann Grunloh anchors the defense with 7.4 rebounds and 3.0 blocks per game, leading the ACC. Virginia averages 84 points per game and has scored 80+ in all seven wins, showing offensive consistency under coach Ryan Odom.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Dayton’s turnover pressure vs Virginia’s perimeter shooting. The Flyers must rely on Montgomery and Bennett to spark offense, while Virginia needs De Ridder and Mallory to maintain scoring rhythm and Grunloh to control the paint.
Injuries / Availability
Dayton: No major injuries reported, Montgomery and Bennett lead the lineup.
Virginia: Ivan Kharchenkov (ankle) expected to be available, De Ridder and Grunloh anchor scoring and defense.
Betting Trends
- Dayton is 7-2 overall, with wins over Marquette and Georgetown.
- Dayton averages 78 points per game and forces turnovers at a high rate.
- Virginia is 7-1 overall, unbeaten in neutral-site games.
- Virginia averages 84 points per game and has scored 80+ in all wins.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Virginia 81, Dayton 73
- Virginia -6.5 (-110) → Best Bet. Cavaliers’ balanced attack and defense suggest they cover.
- Over 147.5 (-110) → Total. Both teams average high scoring, leaning over with projected 154 points.
Virginia’s depth and perimeter shooting should secure the win, while Dayton’s offense keeps it competitive. Expect Virginia to cover with the total trending over.
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