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Le Moyne heads to Staten Island on Thursday, February 5, 2026 for a 7:00 PM ET tip at the Spiro Sports Center against Wagner in a Northeast Conference matchup on NEC. It’s a short road favorite spot, which usually means the market sees these teams as close on a neutral floor, with Le Moyne getting the slight nod for overall stability.
Le Moyne is 11-12 and comes in needing a response after a 65-54 loss to Stonehill where the offense never really found a rhythm. Wagner is 7-13, but they’ve been more competitive at home and just beat Fairleigh Dickinson 75-72 behind a big scoring night from Nick Jones. With a tight spread and a mid-range total, this sets up like a possession-by-possession game where late execution decides it.
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Le Moyne vs Wagner Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor movement leading up to tipoff and keep tabs on the latest college basketball odds as numbers update.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne Dolphins | -138 | -2.5 (-104) | O 141.5 |
| Wagner Seahawks | +114 | +2.5 (-117) | U 141.5 |
Le Moyne Dolphins Betting Form
Le Moyne’s recent loss to Stonehill was more about shot quality than effort. Trent Mosquera still produced, and the defense was good enough to keep the game from getting away, but the Dolphins couldn’t generate consistent scoring possessions. That matters here because laying points on the road in a tight spread usually requires a steady offensive baseline. Le Moyne generally has that, averaging 73.1 points per game, and they can manufacture points at the line when the half-court offense stalls.
Mosquera is the driver, and Shilo Jackson’s efficiency gives them a reliable interior finish when they can get him touches in good spots. The road record is workable too. It’s not dominant, but it’s competitive, and that’s important in a game priced near a pick’em. If Le Moyne wins the turnover margin and keeps Wagner out of rhythm, they’ll have enough scoring to be in front late. For a broader snapshot of how Le Moyne has been trending, Le Moyne stats and results are tracked through the NCAAB teams hub.
Wagner Seahawks Betting Form
Wagner’s win over Fairleigh Dickinson showed the best version of their profile: toughness, rebounding, and one scorer who can carry a stretch when the offense needs it. Nick Jones is the key piece. When he’s attacking confidently, Wagner can keep pace with better teams, especially at home where they’ve played with more edge. Travis Gray’s rebounding also matters because it gives Wagner extra possessions and helps them survive when the offense goes quiet.
The concern is consistency. Wagner can score in the low 70s on a good night, but they can also drift into long stretches where they’re grinding for tough twos. That’s usually where laying points against them makes sense, but here they’re catching points at home. If they can keep Le Moyne from getting easy free throw points and they win the glass, Wagner has a real path to winning outright.
Le Moyne Dolphins vs Wagner Seahawks Matchup Breakdown
This is a game where possessions and free throws feel more important than raw shooting percentages. Le Moyne has a slightly cleaner offensive profile and tends to get to the line enough to stabilize scoring. Wagner’s counter is physicality and rebounding, plus the home-court environment in Staten Island that can make the game choppy.
The tempo should be manageable for both sides. Neither team is trying to play a pure track meet, so the total is going to be decided by efficiency and the foul game more than volume. If the whistle is active, the scoring can climb without the game feeling fast, and that’s why short road spreads like this often come down to who executes late. If you think in terms of game script and late possessions, it’s the same framework you’d apply using a sports betting strategy guide approach to close conference games.
UC Irvine Anteaters
vs
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners
Open
vs
Feb 05, 2026 22:00 EST
–
Score
–
-16.00 -110
Spread
+16.00 -110
o+145.50-110
Total
u+145.50-110
-2,000
Moneyline
+1,100
CSU Fullerton Titans
vs
UC Riverside Highlanders
Open
vs
Feb 05, 2026 22:00 EST
–
Score
–
-6.50 -110
Spread
+6.50 -110
o+155.00-110
Total
u+155.00-110
-333
Moneyline
+260
Cal Baptist Lancers
vs
Tarleton State Texans
Open
vs
Feb 05, 2026 22:00 EST
–
Score
–
-9.50 -110
Spread
+9.50 -110
o+141.50-110
Total
u+141.50-110
-526
Moneyline
+385
Le Moyne Dolphins vs Wagner Seahawks Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Wagner +2.5. The number is small, but it matters, and Wagner’s home competitiveness plus rebounding gives them a real shot to win the possession battle. Le Moyne’s bounce-back angle is legitimate, yet their last game showed how vulnerable they can be if the offense isn’t crisp. If this turns into a physical half-court game, I’d rather have the points with the home team.
On the total, I lean Over 141.5, but it’s a lighter lean than the side. The projection toward the mid-to-high 140s makes sense if both teams get into the low 70s, and both have enough free throw production and late-game fouling potential to push the number. The risk is a cold-shooting stretch that drags this into the mid 60s for one side, but the game script still points slightly higher than the posted total.
Best Bet: Wagner Seahawks +2.5 (-117).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference games like this are where it helps to compare multiple viewpoints, because the numbers are tight and small edges matter more. It’s also a slate-management sport. You do better long-term when you’re selective about which short spreads you play, instead of betting every game that looks “close.”
If you’re building your card for Thursday, start with today’s college basketball picks to see how the slate is lining up and where the strongest leans are forming. It’s a practical way to stay consistent, track what’s working over time, and avoid forcing plays in games where the price already accounts for the matchup.
