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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Smu Mustangs Picks and Predictions January 20th 2026

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The SMU Mustangs look to bounce back from a narrow loss, while the Wake Forest Demon Deacons aim to build momentum at Lawrence Joel Coliseum.

Line Movement and Odds

SMU enters as the favorite, but Wake Forest’s home record makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • SMU Spread: -1.5 (-108)
  • Wake Forest Spread: +1.5 (-118)
  • SMU MoneyLine: -118
  • Wake Forest MoneyLine: -107
  • Total: 158.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

SMU Outlook

The Mustangs average 87.3 points per game, with Boopie Miller, Jaron Pierre Jr., and B.J. Edwards leading the offense. Miller’s 20.3 points and ACC-leading 6.8 assists per game highlight his dominance, while Pierre’s 16 points vs Virginia showcased his consistency. SMU’s shooting efficiency (49.7% FG, 24th nationally; 11.0 threes per game, top 25 nationally) underscores their strengths. Their 13-5 record and perfect 11-0 mark as favorites highlight dominance, making them a dangerous favorite.

Wake Forest Outlook

The Demon Deacons average 81.1 points per game, with Juke Harris, Nate Calmese, and Myles Colvin driving production. Harris’ 20.1 points per game highlight his consistency, while Calmese’s clutch shots vs Florida State showcased his impact. Wake Forest’s shooting efficiency (52.5% effective FG; 9.2 threes per game) and home record (8-5) underscore their strengths. Their 11-7 record and ability to win close games highlight resilience, making them tough at home.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on rebounding and turnovers. SMU thrives on offensive boards and efficient scoring, while Wake Forest must rely on opportunistic defense and perimeter shooting to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

SMU: No injuries reported.

Wake Forest: No injuries reported.

Environment

Lawrence Joel Coliseum has been a balanced venue for Wake Forest, where they’ve gone 8-5 this season. SMU enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, making this a clash of home strength vs road-tested resilience.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: SMU 84, Wake Forest 80

  • SMU -1.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive efficiency and balanced scoring suggest they can cover the spread.
  • Over 158.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.

SMU’s depth and shooting rhythm should carry them to victory, while Wake Forest’s home-court advantage keeps the game competitive. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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