Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies Picks and Predictions January 8th 2026

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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers enter 10-4 and look to extend their strong offensive play, while the New Mexico State Aggies aim to defend their home court in this Conference USA clash at Pan American Center.

Line Movement and Odds

New Mexico State opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their home-court strength. Current market:

  • New Mexico State Spread: -2.5 (-120)
  • Western Kentucky Spread: +2.5 (-107)
  • New Mexico State MoneyLine: -159
  • Western Kentucky MoneyLine: +132
  • Total: 155.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Western Kentucky Outlook

Western Kentucky averages 83.1 points per game, with Teagan Moore, Ryan Myers, and Khristian Lander leading the offense. Their free-throw efficiency (20.4 makes per game, 8th nationally) and rebounding edge (42.6 per game, 20th nationally) highlight balance. Their 10-4 overall record underscores competitiveness, though their 2-3 road mark shows challenges away from home.

New Mexico State Outlook

New Mexico State averages 77.6 points per game, with Julius Mims, Femi Odukale, and Kaosi Ezegu providing scoring depth. Their rebounding edge (37.5 per game) and 6-1 home record highlight offensive strength. Their 8-7 overall record underscores resilience heading into conference play.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Western Kentucky’s ability to maintain offensive rhythm, while New Mexico State must lean on Mims and Odukale to pace the offense. If Western Kentucky controls tempo and shooting efficiency, their depth should keep the game close.

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Injuries / Availability

Western Kentucky: No injury updates provided.

New Mexico State: No injury updates provided.

Environment

Pan American Center provides New Mexico State with a strong home-court edge, where they are 6-1 this season. Western Kentucky’s balanced offense highlights their ability to compete in Las Cruces.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Western Kentucky 76, New Mexico State 74

  • Western Kentucky +2.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and shooting efficiency make them a strong cover candidate.
  • Under 155.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.

Western Kentucky’s depth and rebounding should dictate the game, while New Mexico State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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