Cleveland State heads to the Nutter Center in Dayton, Ohio to face Wright State on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This Horizon League conference game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Cleveland State is 6-14 on the season and still looking for its first true road win at 0-10 away, while Wright State is 12-7 overall and has been reliable at home with an 8-3 record.
Wright State is laying 16.5 with a total of 159.5. It’s a big spread, but Cleveland State’s road profile explains it. The question is whether the number has gone too far because Cleveland State’s offense can score in bunches, or whether Wright State’s efficiency and home scoring create the kind of margin that doesn’t need much help.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Wright State Raiders Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor updates and shop for the best number on the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland State Vikings | +1000 | +16.5 (-112) | O 159.5 |
| Wright State Raiders | -2360 | -16.5 (-114) | U 159.5 |
Grand Canyon Antelopes
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San Diego St Aztecs
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+1.00 -106
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o+143.50-108
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USC Trojans
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Northwestern Wildcats
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Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
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o+154.00-108
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u+154.00-108
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Saint Mary’s Gaels
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Oregon St Beavers
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Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
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-17.50 -106
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+17.50 -106
o+142.00-108
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Cleveland State Vikings Betting Form
Cleveland State just beat Youngstown State 80-78, and it’s the type of win that at least suggests the offense can execute late when the game tightens. Dayan Nessah going for 26 points is the headline, and the bigger takeaway is that Cleveland State can manufacture points without needing perfect sets. They can get into their actions quickly and play with enough freedom that they’re not totally dependent on one creator.
The betting angle is the three-point volume. Cleveland State makes 10.3 threes per game, which is the kind of profile that can create backdoor cover chances even if the defense is leaking. That’s why +16.5 is at least tempting. If the Vikings are hitting early, Wright State has to keep its foot on the gas for 40 minutes, and favorites don’t always love doing that. If you want a broader look at how Cleveland State has been performing game to game, the Cleveland State schedule and stats hub is the quickest way to track results.
The problem is simple. Cleveland State has not translated that offensive ability into road competitiveness. Even when they score, they’ve had trouble getting stops, and when the opponent shoots well, they don’t have a defensive gear to fall back on. If the threes aren’t dropping, the cover window closes fast.
Wright State Raiders Betting Form
Wright State is in a good spot here. They’re on a three-game win streak, they just beat Youngstown State 93-83, and the offense is humming. This team is efficient inside the arc and shoots a high percentage overall, which is why they’re near the top nationally in field goal percentage. At home, they tend to start games with pace and confidence, and that matters because Cleveland State’s worst stretches come when it’s playing from behind.
The Raiders also score in a way that travels across matchups. They don’t need a perfect three-point night to get to 80. They can score through ball movement, rim pressure, and strong finishing. TJ Burch and Kellen Pickett showed that in the last one, and when Wright State is getting efficient offense plus decent rebounding, it doesn’t take much for the margin to creep into the 18 to 22 range.
The one thing I always think about with spreads this big is effort level late. If Wright State is up 20 with five minutes left, you can get some sloppy possessions, deep bench minutes, and a few open threes for the dog. That’s the only reason +16.5 has life.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Wright State Raiders Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is basically Cleveland State’s three-point output versus Wright State’s efficiency. If Cleveland State hits threes at a high clip, it can keep the score within a couple runs. If they’re average or cold, Wright State’s offense is going to create separation because it gets good looks almost every trip, especially at home.
The pace numbers suggest this isn’t automatically a track meet, and that’s important for the total. Both teams can score, but the way Wright State scores is often methodical. Cleveland State’s threes can spike a total quickly, but threes also add volatility. You can get a three-minute stretch of misses and suddenly the Under is alive even if both teams are getting shots.
Game script matters a lot in these spots. If Wright State leads wire to wire, the end of the game can slow down and the total can drift Under even if the favorite covers. If the game stays competitive into the final four minutes, fouling and free throws can push it Over. Thinking through those scripts is more important than just looking at points per game. The sports betting strategy guide is a useful way to frame that without falling into “pace equals Over” traps.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Wright State Raiders Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Cleveland State +16.5. It’s uncomfortable because of the 0-10 road record, but the matchup gives them a path to a cover that doesn’t require them to be better. They just need to keep hitting threes and avoid the kind of turnover stretch that turns into a 12-0 run. I don’t think they win, but I can see the game living around 10 to 15 points most of the night, then getting messy late.
On the total, I lean Under 159.5. The number is high enough that you need sustained efficiency on both sides, and there are a few ways it falls short. A cold Cleveland State three-point night, a Wright State blowout that slows late, or just normal variance in a game that might not have a foul-heavy finish. The risk is obvious if Cleveland State is bombing threes and Wright State is scoring at will, but at this price, I’d rather take the Under than chase the Over.
Best Bet: Cleveland State Vikings +16.5 (-112).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference games like this are where numbers can get inflated by records and home-road splits, and sometimes that inflation is correct. The trick is figuring out when it’s too far and when it’s still not far enough. Big spreads in mid-major leagues are especially sensitive to style, variance, and late-game effort.
If you’re betting a full slate, it helps to compare multiple opinions and not force one position. ScoresAndStats does that well with today’s college basketball picks, and if you’re bouncing between matchups, the NCAAB teams page is a clean way to keep schedules and results organized while you build your card.


