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Storm vs Aces Picks and Predictions — Game 3, 2025 First Round
The Seattle Storm take on the Las Vegas Aces on Thursday night in Las Vegas for Game 3 of their WNBA first-round series. After dropping Game 1 badly, Seattle rallied in Game 2 at home with an 86-83 win, forcing a decisive showdown on the Aces’ floor. Las Vegas had won 16 straight regular-season games and opened the series with a 102-77 blowout over Seattle. With postseason survival on the line, this Game 3 has serious stakes. (The Aces are favored, though Seattle’s momentum can’t be ignored.)
Today’s Expert Picks Are Live
Updated daily
Opening odds (approximate, subject to adjustment):
- Moneyline: Las Vegas favored
- Spread / Point Spread: Aces by several points
- Total (Over/Under): Moderately high – expecting scoring opportunities but with pressure on defense in the fourth quarter
Want sharp WNBA betting insight from proven analysts? Check the latest expert betting guide →
Storm Can Win If…
- They ride their momentum from Game 2. Seattle’s comeback, capped by a 16‑4 run, shows they’re capable of late-game execution.
- Skylar Diggins stays hot and Nneka Ogwumike controls the paint — rebounds and interior scoring will be critical.
- Their young contributors (like Dominique Malonga) bring energy, defensive intensity, and clutch plays. The upset hinges on multiple players stepping up.
“This team was the hottest team in the league and we were able to beat them,” Storm star Skylar Diggins said after Game 2.
Aces Can Win If…
- They reestablish defensive discipline, especially guarding the 3‑point line. In Game 2, their poor perimeter defense cost them dearly.
- A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, and Jewell Loyd deliver efficient scoring, especially in crunch time. They can’t afford to let Seattle’s rotation get too loose.
- Their experience matters: performing under playoff pressure at home, avoiding sloppy turnovers, rebounding strong, and preventing Seattle from getting hot in the fourth.
“We are not unfamiliar with tight games, and we’re not unfamiliar with playing from behind,” Ogwumike said, speaking for Seattle’s mindset.
Key Betting Trends
| Category | Seattle Storm | Las Vegas Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Record | 23‑21 (7th seed) | 30‑14 (2nd seed) |
| Last 10 Games | Modest finish, mixed results | Strong closing momentum, long win streak broken only recently |
| Home / Away Performance | Better at home, but capable on road | Very strong at home; demands respect when playing in Las Vegas |
| Playoff Pressure | Underdog status, less expectation, more “nothing to lose” approach | Expectation to close series; mistakes are less forgivable |
| Recent Momentum | Winning Game 2 on the road to force Game 3 | Need to reset after letting home advantage slip in Game 2 |
The Lean
Pick: Las Vegas Aces moneyline
Alternate Play: Aces −4 to −6 (if line supports)
Projected Final Score: Aces 89, Storm 83
Reasoning:
While Seattle showed grit and resilience in Game 2, Las Vegas still holds the talent edge, especially with home court. If the Aces guard the perimeter better, control Wilson’s touches inside, and stay composed in crunch time, they have enough to eke out the win. The Storm’s poison is momentum — they can make it close — but the high ceiling leans Aces here.
Stay plugged in for all the WNBA Betting Predictions to see alternate angles and prop bet ideas.
Best Bet Box
| Best Bet Category | Selection |
|---|---|
| Best Bet | Las Vegas Aces Moneyline |
| Confidence Rating | ★★★★☆ |
| Projected Score | Aces 89, Storm 83 |
| Total Lean | Over 169.5 (if applicable) |
Bottom CTA
Playoff drama hits its peak—get every angle. Explore more expert picks here →
