New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Picks and Predictions September 9th 2025

The Liberty Can Win If They Find Their Rhythm

The New York Liberty started the season red-hot with a 9-0 record, but injuries have disrupted their dominance. Now locked into the No. 5 seed, they’ll face the Phoenix Mercury in the first round — a team they haven’t beaten this year. This final home game against Washington offers a critical chance to rediscover their flow.

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The trio of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones has rarely shared the floor this season. When they have, the Liberty are undefeated at 11-0. Stewart dropped 24 in the latest win over Seattle, but Jones has scored just 13 points across her last three games. If they can get Jones going and hopefully see Ionescu return from her toe injury, this team is still dangerous.

The Mystics Can Win If They Embrace the Spoiler Role

The Washington Mystics won’t be part of this year’s postseason, but that doesn’t mean they have nothing to play for. With a nine-game losing streak and a roster full of emerging talent, a win in their finale would mean a lot — especially against a Liberty team preparing for playoff action.

Rookie guard Sonia Citron has become the bright spot in a difficult season. She leads the team with 15.0 PPG and recently broke the Mystics’ franchise record for most points in a rookie season. If she can carry the offense while the team limits turnovers and slows the Liberty’s pace, Washington could end on a positive note.

Stewart, Jones, and Ionescu: The Health Factor

New York’s ability to make a deep playoff run depends heavily on the health of its Big Three. Head coach Sandy Brondello highlighted how rare it’s been to have Stewart, Jones, and Ionescu all healthy at the same time — and how dominant the team is when they are.

Ionescu has now missed four straight games, and while Stewart looks like she’s regaining her MVP form, Jones is in a slump that the team can’t afford to stretch into the postseason.

Mystics Enter Rebuild Mode

Washington made its intentions clear when it traded Brittney Sykes and Aaliyah Edwards in August — this season is about the future. The team acquired two future first-round picks and is giving young players like Citron and Julie Vanloo more reps.

The Mystics were outscored 94-65 in their latest loss to Indiana, including just 27 second-half points. Still, Citron is optimistic about what she’s learned:

Tuesday’s game is one last chance for growth — and maybe a surprising upset.

Liberty vs Mystics: Series Recap

New York has dominated the season series:

Washington has not come closer than 10 points in any meeting. New York will look to make it 4-0 and build confidence heading into the playoffs.

Betting Preview: Liberty vs Mystics Picks and Predictions

With one team tuning up for a playoff run and the other closing out a long season, the betting angles are straightforward:

• Liberty Moneyline: -900
• Mystics Moneyline: +575
• Spread: Liberty -13.5
• Over/Under: 161.5

New York has covered easily in each previous meeting, and Washington’s defense hasn’t shown any signs of stabilizing. If Jones finds her rhythm and Stewart stays hot, this one could get out of hand quickly.

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Final Thoughts: Can the Liberty Flip the Switch?

For New York, this game is about rhythm, chemistry, and momentum. A dominant win won’t change their seed, but it could change the energy heading into a tricky playoff matchup against the Mercury.

The Mystics, meanwhile, are in full youth development mode. But they’ll want to end a tough year with something to smile about.

Prediction: Liberty blow it open in the second half and cruise into the playoffs on a high.