Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Picks and Predictions August 28th 2025

Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Basketball Thu, Aug 28, 21:00 pm.
Phoenix Mercury
ML: -850
0
0
Chicago Sky
ML: 575
Last Updated on

Can Alyssa Thomas Keep Making WNBA History in Chicago?

The Phoenix Mercury (23–14) will visit the Chicago Sky (9–28) on Thursday night, with MVP-caliber point forward Alyssa Thomas rewriting the record book ahead of the showdown. Having delivered back-to-back triple-doubles—including a record-setting 31 assists over two games—Thomas is redefining versatility and dominance in Phoenix’s resurgence.

sas logo

Get Front-Row to Sharp WNBA Society

Be part of the action.

Opening Odds & Stakes

  • Matchup: Phoenix on the road vs. Chicago
  • Current Stakes: Mercury pushing for home-court advantage; Sky looking to gain momentum and close the gap
  • Key Notes:
    • Thomas holds the WNBA’s all-time triple-double record (16) and continues to climb the all-time assists leaderboard
    • The Sky rely on big contributions from guards Ariel Atkins and twin threats Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso

The Mercury Can Win If…

  • Thomas continues her MVP-caliber stretch. With six triple-doubles in 10 games and her league-leading 9+ assists per game, Phoenix offense runs through her.
  • Multiple scoring threats stay hot. Sabally, Copper, and Whitcomb all showed they can explode off the bench and lead balanced scoring.
  • Defense remains opportunistic. Chicago struggles defensively, ranking last in points allowed—perfect for Phoenix to thrive.

The Sky Can Win If…

  • Their inside duo dominates. Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso consistently delivered double-doubles—providing a physical edge and creating space for guards.
  • Atkins keeps scoring. Her season-high 30 points shows she can carry the offense when needed.
  • They capitalize on Phoenix’s road fatigue. Traveling can disrupt rhythm—Chicago must set a physical pace early.

Key WNBA Betting Trends

CategoryMercurySky
MomentumRolling deep with balanced attackPlayoff hopeful despite recent struggles
Signature PerformerThomas rewriting triple-double historyReese/Cardoso inside dominance
Offensive StyleAssist-heavy, depth-driven offenseGuard-centric scoring, lower efficiency
Defensive OutlookReliable pressure on weaker teamsAllowing too many points late

The Lean

Alyssa Thomas’ influence is unmatched, and with offense firing from every angle, Phoenix holds the edge—especially in a matchup soaked with stars and record books in flux.

Projected Score: Mercury 88, Sky 79
Pick: Mercury Moneyline
Total Lean: Under 170 — expect controlled tempo, with Thomas managing pace.


For more in-depth split breakdowns and trend analysis, check out our WNBA Game Previews hub.