Aces vs Storm Picks and Predictions — WNBA Playoffs, Sept. 16, 2025
The Las Vegas Aces are one win away from advancing to the semifinals as they take on the Seattle Storm in Game 2 of their first-round best-of-three series Tuesday night.
Las Vegas cruised to a 102-77 victory in Game 1, extending its winning streak to 17 games dating back to the regular season. A’ja Wilson once again led the way, scoring 29 points with eight rebounds while showcasing her MVP-level dominance.
Seattle, meanwhile, was overwhelmed early, scoring just 25 points in the first half and never recovering.
Aces Can Win If…
- A’ja Wilson keeps dominating. With 29 points, three steals, and two blocks in Game 1, Wilson controlled both ends. Another big outing puts Vegas in prime position to sweep.
- Defense stays locked in. The Aces held Seattle to just 12 and 13 points in the opening two quarters. Their ability to set the tone early is critical.
- Supporting cast keeps firing. Jackie Young’s all-around performance (18 points, 7 assists, 5 rebounds, 4 steals) and the team’s 14 threes gave them the balance to put the game away.
Storm Can Win If…
- They avoid another slow start. Falling behind 45-25 at halftime in Game 1 left no room to recover. Seattle must bring urgency from the opening tip.
- Nneka Ogwumike gets more help. She scored 11 points in Game 1 but needs to be more involved, while teammates like Gabby Williams (16 points) must provide consistent offense.
- They control tempo. The Storm cannot let Las Vegas dictate pace; forcing half-court sets and limiting turnovers is key.
Key Betting Trends
Category | Las Vegas Aces | Seattle Storm |
---|---|---|
Series Status | 1-0 (Best-of-3) | 0-1 |
Streak | Won 17 straight | Lost 1 |
Last Game | Won 102-77 vs Seattle | Lost 102-77 vs Vegas |
The Leans
Main Pick: Aces -12.5
Projected Score: Aces 94, Storm 77
- Spread Angle: Las Vegas has covered comfortably in 6 of its last 7 games. Their depth and shooting are too much for Seattle.
- Total Angle: Over 170.5. Vegas plays fast and efficient, and even if Seattle struggles, the Aces’ offense can push the total up.
Best Bet Box
Best Bet: Aces -12.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Wilson and the Aces are chasing another championship. 👉 Today’s expert WNBA picks