Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions August 16th 2025

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks August 16th 2025

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver. The Diamondbacks have a record of 60-63 and are fourth in the NL West. They have won 6 of their last 10 games but lost their last game.

The Rockies have struggled this season with a 33-89 record, sitting at the bottom of the NL West. They have a home record of 17-43 and have won 3 of their last 10 games. The game will feature starting pitchers Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks and Chase Dollander for the Rockies.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
• Venue: Coors Field in Denver, CO
• Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
• Betting Odds: Diamondbacks Moneyline -187, Rockies Moneyline +157

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks recently played against the Colorado Rockies and lost 4-3. Despite the loss, Jake McCarthy had a strong performance with two hits and two RBIs. Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also contributed with hits, showing their ability to get on base.

The Diamondbacks have shown they can win with their strong offensive stats. They rank 3rd in slugging percentage at .440 and 4th in home runs with 173. Their ability to hit for power gives them a chance to score runs quickly.

Ryne Nelson is set to start for the Diamondbacks, and he has been effective with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. His solid pitching can help keep the Rockies’ offense in check. With Nelson on the mound and their power hitters, the Diamondbacks have a good chance to win this game.

The Rockies Can Win If…

The Colorado Rockies are coming off a 4-3 win against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Tanner Gordon pitched five innings, allowing three runs. Hunter Goodman was a standout, hitting a home run and driving in a run.

The Rockies have shown strength in extra-base hits, ranking 9th in doubles this season. Their lineup features power hitters like Hunter Goodman, who has hit 25 home runs. This ability to hit for power gives them a chance to score runs quickly.

Chase Dollander will start for the Rockies. While his ERA is high, he has the potential to improve. With the support of a strong lineup, the Rockies can put up runs and secure another win at home.

The Lean

The Diamondbacks are favored to win with a moneyline of -187. My model projects a Diamondbacks victory with a score of 7-5. The Diamondbacks have a strong hitting lineup, ranking 3rd in slugging percentage, which supports their chances against the Rockies’ pitching, which ranks 30th in ERA.

The total for the game is set at 11.5. My model predicts a combined score of 12 runs. Given the Rockies’ high ERA and the Diamondbacks’ strong offensive stats, taking the over at 11.5 (-114) seems reasonable. The Rockies’ pitching struggles, especially with home runs allowed, could lead to a high-scoring game.

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Rockies’ Chase Dollander aims to blunt D-backs’ fast starts at Coors Field

Series snapshot

Arizona opened the four-game set with an 8-2 win on Thursday before Colorado answered 4-3 on Friday. Saturday night in Denver brings rookie right-hander Chase Dollander against Ryne Nelson as the series tilts. For context across the entire slate, scan the day’s matchups on the MLB previews hub and line up potential positions with today’s MLB picks.

Dollander’s second look and midseason reset

Dollander’s first career meeting with Arizona on May 18 was strong: one run on three hits over 4 2/3 innings in a 1-0 loss, with efficiency (98 pitches for 14 outs) the only blemish. After two rough early-July outings led to a brief Triple-A stint, he returned Monday with five innings of one-run ball in St. Louis, emphasizing strike-throwing and tempo. If he lands first-pitch strikes, he can disrupt the D-backs’ early-innings rhythm that has fueled their August surge. To translate that matchup story into a plan, lean on the frameworks in the MLB expert betting guide.

Arizona’s fast-start formula

The Diamondbacks’ attack has thrived on early pressure: before Friday, they had scored at least once in the first three innings in 12 straight games. Since a six-game skid through Aug. 1, they’ve won nine of 13 while plating 77 runs, with patient at-bats creating leverage counts and lift. If Colorado flips counts early, that run machine is harder to crank. Compare viewpoints and projections from top performers on the best handicappers leaderboard as you weigh derivative markets like first three or first five innings.

Ryne Nelson’s task at altitude

Nelson enters at 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA, but his brief history versus Colorado is volatile (1-1, 11.00 ERA in two starts). Coors Field punishes elevated spin and miss locations; Colorado’s path is to force elevation, then drive middle-up mistakes. If you decide to commit to a card spot on this matchup, vetted selections are available via buy picks.

Bullpens, game flow, and what swings it

Arizona’s bullpen has stabilized leads during this run, while Colorado’s leverage plan looks cleaner if Dollander reaches the sixth. What likely decides it: Dollander’s strike-one rate versus Arizona’s patience, and whether Nelson can avoid early barrels in a yard that magnifies contact.

Track and review

After the final out, audit how the read matched reality using the nightly MLB game results, then circle back to the MLB previews and refresh your board of MLB picks for the next slate.