Florida State Seminoles vs Massachusetts Minutemen Picks and Predictions December 13th 2025

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Florida State Seminoles (5-4) face the Massachusetts Minutemen (7-3) on Saturday afternoon in the Orange Bowl Classic in Sunrise, FL. Florida State looks to halt a three-game skid, while UMass enters riding a four-game winning streak.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Florida State Seminoles Spread: -2.5
  • Massachusetts Minutemen Spread: +2.5
  • Florida State Seminoles MoneyLine: -145
  • Massachusetts Minutemen MoneyLine: +120
  • Total: 141.0

Florida State opened as a slight favorite despite recent struggles, reflecting oddsmakers’ respect for their athleticism and defensive pressure. UMass’ four-game winning streak and balanced scoring have kept the line tight, suggesting expectations for a competitive matchup. The total of 141 points indicates anticipation of a moderately paced contest, with turnovers and rebounding likely dictating tempo. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida State Seminoles Outlook

The Seminoles fell 82-67 to Houston but showed improvement, outrebounding the Cougars 37-35. Robert McCray V has emerged as the team’s leading scorer at 14.1 points per game, while Florida State forces 18.9 turnovers per game, ranking among the nation’s best in defensive pressure. Coach Luke Loucks emphasized toughness and rebounding as keys to snapping their skid.

Massachusetts Minutemen Outlook

UMass edged Boston College 76-74, led by Marcus Banks Jr.’s 29 points and clutch free throws. Banks averages 17.2 points per game, supported by Daniel Hankins-Sanford and Leonardo Bettiol, who provide interior scoring and rebounding. The Minutemen outrebounded BC 43-36 but committed 15 turnovers, an area of concern against Florida State’s aggressive defense. Coach Frank Martin praised his team’s resilience and balanced contributions.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Florida State’s defensive pressure versus UMass’ ability to protect the ball is the focal battle. The Seminoles must force turnovers and convert in transition, while the Minutemen rely on Banks’ scoring and rebounding strength to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Florida State: Full roster available.
UMass: Full roster available.

  • Florida State has lost three straight games.
  • UMass has won four consecutive games.
  • The Seminoles force 18.9 turnovers per game.
  • The Minutemen are 2-1 in neutral-site contests this season.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Florida State 72, UMass 69

  • Pick: Florida State -2.5. The Seminoles’ defensive pressure should give them the edge in a close contest.
  • Total: Under 141.0. Both teams’ defensive focus points to a lower-scoring outcome.

Expect a competitive battle, with Florida State’s defense and rebounding helping them snap their skid against a surging UMass squad.

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