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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Pick & Prediction JAN 17TH 2021

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Recap JAN 17TH 2021

Alvin Kamara scored two touchdowns as the host New Orleans Saints defeated Tampa Bay 34-23 on Sunday, spoiling Tom Brady's debut with the Buccaneers.

Kamara, who agreed to a five-year, $75 million contract extension Thursday, caught a 12-yard touchdown pass from Drew Brees and ran 6 yards for another score. Brees, who passed Brett Favre for the NFL career lead in pass attempts, finished 18 of 30 for 160 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions.

Brady, who spent 20 seasons in New England and won six Super Bowls before signing with Tampa Bay in the offseason, completed 23 of 36 for 239 yards and two touchdowns, but threw two interceptions that led to 14 Saints points.

New Orleans led 17-7 at halftime and was on defense to open the third quarter when, on the sixth play of the drive, Janoris Jenkins intercepted Brady and returned 36 yards for a touchdown to extend the lead to 24-7.

Brady bounced back on the next possession, throwing a 9-yard touchdown pass to O.J. Howard to get the Buccaneers within 24-14. Ryan Succop's 38-yard field goal cut the lead to 24-17 at the end three quarters.

After gaining just 4 yards in the third quarter, New Orleans finally found some offense early the fourth. Brees threw a 5-yard touchdown pass to Emmanuel Sanders to push the lead to 31-17 with 11:38 remaining.

The Saints recovered a fumble on the ensuing kickoff and Wil Lutz's 21-yard field goal increased the lead to 34-17 with 8:01 left.

Brady threw a 2-yard touchdown pass to Mike Evans with 2:41 left.

The game was played inside a nearly silent Superdome as fans were not allowed to attend the game because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Brady's first possession as a Buccaneer ended with his sneaking 2 yards for a touchdown to complete an 85-yard drive and give his team a 7-0 lead that held up through the first quarter.

Kamara's touchdown catch tied the score at 7. On the ensuing possession, Marcus Williams intercepted Brady, leading to Kamara's touchdown run and a 14-7 Saints lead.

Brady moved Tampa Bay into scoring position late in the second quarter, but Succop's 54-yard field attempt was blocked by Margus Hunt.

Brees then drove New Orleans to Lutz's 29-yard field goal and a 17-7 halftime lead.

--Field Level Media

Tom Brady threw two touchdown passes and ran for another score and the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers took advantage of three Drew Brees interceptions to beat the New Orleans Saints 30-20 in an NFC Divisional Playoff on Sunday night.

The Buccaneers avenged two regular-season losses against the Saints to advance to the NFC Championship Game at Green Bay next Sunday.

Brady, who threw five interceptions in the first two meetings, did not turn the ball over while completing 18 of 33 for 199 yards.

Brees, who didn't turn the ball over in the first two meetings, contributed three of the Saints four turnovers, which led to three Buccaneers' touchdowns. He completed 19 of 34 passes for 134 yards and a touchdown.

The Saints broke a halftime tie on the first possession of the third quarter when Brees threw a 16-yard touchdown pass to Tre'Quan Smith.

On New Orleans' next possession, Brees completed a pass to Jared Cook, who fumbled and Devin White recovered and returned to the Saints 40. That led to Brady's 6-yard touchdown pass to Leonard Fournette, tying the score at 20 at the end of the third quarter.

The Saints punted, and then Ryan Succop kicked a 36-yard field goal to give the Buccaneers a 23-20 lead. On New Orleans' next possession, White intercepted Brees, setting up Brady's 1-yard touchdown run with 5:01 remaining.

Mike Edwards grabbed a tipped pass from Brees for another interception on the next possession.

Deonte Harris' 54-yard punt return set up Wil Lutz's 23-yard field goal that gave the Saints a 3-0 lead after their first possession of the game. Lutz added a 42-yard field goal that increased the lead to 6-0 with 4:44 left in the first quarter.

Succop kicked a 26-yard field goal two minutes into the second quarter, before Sean Murphy-Bunting intercepted Brees and returned 36 yards to the New Orleans 3-yard line. That set up a 3-yard touchdown pass from Brady to Mike Evans on the next play, giving Tampa Bay a 10-6 lead.

Former Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston threw a 56-yard touchdown pass to Smith on a trick play to give New Orleans a 13-10 lead with 8:17 left in the second quarter.

Brady drove Tampa to Succop's 37-yard field goal as time expired, tying the score at halftime.

--Field Level Media

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GAMES

Last 10

W 80% L 20%
8 2
  • @Green Bay W 31 - 26
  • @New Orleans W 30 - 20
  • @Washington W 31 - 23
  • Atlanta W 27 - 44
  • @Detroit W 47 - 7
  • @Atlanta W 31 - 27
  • Minnesota W 14 - 26
  • Kansas City L 27 - 24
  • L.A. Rams L 27 - 24
  • @Carolina W 46 - 23
W 70% L 30%
7 3
  • Tampa Bay L 30 - 20
  • Chicago W 9 - 21
  • @Carolina W 33 - 7
  • Minnesota W 33 - 52
  • Kansas City L 32 - 29
  • @Philadelphia L 21 - 24
  • @Atlanta W 21 - 16
  • @Denver W 31 - 3
  • Atlanta W 9 - 24
  • San Francisco W 13 - 27

Next Games

  • Kansas City(11-29-20) L 27 - 24

Last Meetings

  • Buccaneers @ Saints 30-20
  • Saints @ Buccaneers 38-3
  • Buccaneers @ Saints 23-34
  • Saints @ Buccaneers 34-17
  • Buccaneers @ Saints 24-31
  • Saints @ Buccaneers 28-14
  • Buccaneers @ Saints 48-40
  • Saints @ Buccaneers 24-31
  • Buccaneers @ Saints 10-30
  • Buccaneers @ Saints 24-31

American Football Conference

AFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bills133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-29-0-1
Miami Dolphins106 0.6253.00.00.0 5-35-37-0-3
New England Patriots79 0.4386.00.00.0 5-32-65-0-5
New York Jets214 0.12511.00.00.0 1-71-72-0-8
AFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Pittsburgh Steelers124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-36-0-4
Baltimore Ravens115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Cleveland Browns115 0.6881.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Cincinnati Bengals411 1.2677.50.00.0 3-51-63-1-7
AFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Indianapolis Colts115 0.6880.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Tennessee Titans115 0.6880.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Houston Texans412 0.2507.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
Jacksonville Jaguars115 0.06310.00.00.0 1-70-81-0-10
AFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Kansas City Chiefs142 0.8750.00.00.0 6-28-09-0-1
Las Vegas Raiders88 0.5006.00.00.0 2-66-25-0-5
Los Angeles Chargers79 0.4387.00.00.0 4-43-55-0-5
Denver Broncos511 0.3139.00.00.0 2-63-53-0-7

National Football Conference

NFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Washington Football Team79 0.4380.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
New York Giants610 0.3751.00.00.0 3-53-55-0-5
Dallas Cowboys610 0.3751.00.00.0 4-42-64-0-6
Philadelphia Eagles411 1.2672.50.00.0 3-41-73-1-7
NFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Green Bay Packers133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-28-0-2
Chicago Bears88 0.5005.00.00.0 3-55-33-0-7
Minnesota Vikings79 0.4386.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
Detroit Lions511 0.3138.00.00.0 1-74-42-0-8
NFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
New Orleans Saints124 0.7500.00.00.0 6-26-28-0-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-27-0-3
Carolina Panthers511 0.3137.00.00.0 2-63-52-0-8
Atlanta Falcons412 0.2508.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
NFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Seattle Seahawks124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-37-0-3
Los Angeles Rams106 0.6252.00.00.0 6-24-46-0-4
Arizona Cardinals88 0.5004.00.00.0 4-44-44-0-6
San Francisco 49ers610 0.3756.00.00.0 1-75-33-0-7

Last Injuries

New Orleans Saints

  • Patrick Robinson

    Hamstring
    Out Sun | out

    Robinson is nursing a hamstring injury, and he will not be active in the NFC divisional round versus the Buccaneers.

  • Will Clapp

    Illness
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Clapp will be away from the team for an unknown length of time while he is on the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list.

  • Trey Hendrickson

    Neck
    Prob Sun | probable

    Hendrickson is managing a neck injury, but he is expected to line up against the Buccaneers in the NFC divisional round.

  • Jared Cook

    Back
    Prob Sun | probable

    Cook is tending to a back injury, but he is likely to line up against the Buccaneers in the NFC divisional round.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.

    Ankle
    Ques Feb 7 | questionable

    Winfield Jr. is hobbled by an ankle injury, and it is undetermined if he will dress for the 2021 Super Bowl against the Chiefs.

  • Kenjon Barner

    Groin
    Ques Feb 7 | I-R

    Barner has been posted to the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list due to a groin injury, and it is unknown if he will be activated in time for Super Bowl 55 against the Chiefs.

  • Jeremiah Ledbetter

    Calf
    Ques Feb 7 | questionable

    Ledbetter is dealing with a calf injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Chiefs in the 2021 Super Bowl.

  • Antonio Brown

    Knee
    Prob Feb 7 | probable

    Brown is battling a knee injury, but he is expected to take part in Super Bowl 55 versus the Chiefs.

  • Vita Vea

    Leg
    Prob Sun | probable

    Vita has been activated from the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list after recovering from a fractured leg. He is expected to return for the NFC Championship game against the Packers.

  • Jordan Whitehead

    Knee
    Prob Sun | probable

    Whitehead is hampered by a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will be a participant in the NFC Championship game against the Packers.

  • Mike Evans

    Knee
    Prob Sun | probable

    Evans is bothered by a knee injury, but he is likely to line up against the Packers in the NFC Championship game.

  • Chris Godwin

    Quadricep
    Prob Sun | probable

    Godwin is nursing a quad injury, but he is expected to take part in the NFC Championship game against the Packers.

Trends

New Orleans Trends

  • Trend
    Under is 6-2 in Saints last 8 games as a favorite.
    Hit %
    75.00% (8)
    O/U
    2|6
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
    Hit %
    83.30% (6)
    O/U
    1|5
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 11-2-1 in Saints last 14 games as a home underdog.
    Hit %
    84.60% (14)
    O/U
    11|2
    Push
    1
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 playoff games as a favorite.
    Hit %
    100.00% (4)
    O/U
    0|4
    Push
    0
    W/L

Tampa Bay Trends

  • Trend
    Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games as a favorite.
    Hit %
    71.40% (7)
    O/U
    2|6
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
    Hit %
    100.00% (4)
    O/U
    4|0
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 playoff games as a favorite.
    Hit %
    83.30% (6)
    O/U
    0|4
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 16-5 in Buccaneers last 21 games as a road underdog.
    Hit %
    76.20% (21)
    O/U
    16|5
    Push
    0
    W/L

Meetings Trends

  • Trend
    Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
    Hit %
    71.40% (7)
    O/U
    5|2
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
    Hit %
    80.00% (5)
    O/U
    4|1
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    Hit %
    0.00% (5)
    O/U
    Push
    0
    W/L
    0|5
  • Trend
    Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
    Hit %
    20.00% (5)
    O/U
    Push
    0
    W/L
    1|4
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