football | NFL

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Pick & Prediction OCT 19TH 2020

FinishedTV: NFL | FOX | AmazonRalph Wilson Stadium Orchard Park

OP
0
55
CU
-9 +150
58o -110
ML
-245
205
Partials
1 2 3 4
7 6 7 6
3 7 0 7
Score
26
17
Recap

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Two teams that seemed to be steamrolling toward a clash of unbeatens now find themselves looking to recover.

 

Although the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are each 4-1 and leading their respective divisions in the AFC, each will be coming off their first defeats Monday at Orchard Park, N.Y. The game got pushed back four days because of dominoes related to COVID-19 developments and kick off at 5 p.m. ET.

 

Each team allowed 40 points in their recent losses, creating deficits neither Patrick Mahomes nor Josh Allen could overcome quarterbacking the Chiefs and Bills, respectively.

 

Mahomes was constantly hounded and sacked three times by the Oakland Raiders in a 40-32 loss, leaving him to scurry quickly from the pocket and often look over the top in third-and-long situations.

 

"We can't just rely on the big play," said Mahomes, who completed a season-low 51.2 percent of his passes against Las Vegas. "We have to execute at a high level and when the big play comes, you have to hit it."

 

Although Mahomes often clicks on those looks, the end of a 13-game winning streak -- including playoffs, highlighted by last season's Super Bowl victory -- proved he is mortal.

 

Now, Mahomes must move on from a setback without experienced receiver Sammy Watkins (hamstring) and guard Kelechi Osemele (knee).

 

"I can help with different calls and putting people in better positions," Chiefs coach Andy Reid said. "Everyone has a little piece of the pie here."

 

That includes the Kansas City defense, which permitted 20 points or less in each of the Chiefs' first four games before allowing 490 yards to the Raiders, including five chunk plays of 40-plus yards.

 

Botched execution hurt the Bills in their first defeat and now they have a short week to recover after falling to Tennessee, 42-16, on Tuesday. Two interceptions and long returns Buffalo gave up on special teams proved fatal against a virus-plagued opponent that had practiced only once in 12 days.

 

One of Allen's interceptions bounded off the hands of a receiver, but the Bills quarterback will still be looking to rebound against the Chiefs. That will be a collective effort, though, after his defense could only get him the ball twice in the final 17 minutes against Tennessee.

 

Allen relies on one of the NFL's hottest receivers, Stephon Diggs, who ranks second in the league with 509 receiving yards. Allen, meanwhile, ranks second in passing yards (1,589) and touchdown strikes (14).

 

Those impressive numbers also present a concern, however. The Bills have become one-dimensional, gaining just 469 yards on the ground to rank 28th in rushing after ranking eighth in the NFL last season.

 

"The number of opportunities, run versus pass, has been a little bit different," Buffalo coach Sean McDermott said. "So, that would be one piece. Then the other piece is making sure that we're staying true to our philosophy in terms of what we're doing up front. It's a mentality."

 

Ground opportunities could exist against the Chiefs, who rank 29th against the rush, allowing 157.6 yards per game. Allen, however, is focused on overall execution.

 

"We're not going to let this one loss define us," he said. "We've got to be better, we've got to be prepared and we've got to come out swinging early."

 

The Chiefs' ground game (13th overall, 119.3 rush yards per game) looks like it will soon get a boost as former New York Jets and Pittsburgh Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell tweeted Thursday afternoon that he has joined Kansas City -- news that the Chiefs seemed to confirm with a subsequent tweet. The Jets cut Bell, a three-time Pro Bowl selection, Tuesday as the former three-time 1,000-yard rusher currently has just 19 carries and 74 yards in two games this season.

 

Bell will not be available to play Monday due to coronavirus-testing protocols, according to ESPN.

 

Buffalo wide receiver John Brown (knee) and cornerback Tre'Davious White (back) resumed light workouts after missing Tuesday's loss to Tennessee. Tight end Dawson Knox is dealing with a calf injury.

 

--Field Level Media

 

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Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo Bills

Player Position Lineup
Frank Clark primary: Right Defensive End Starter
Eric Fisher primary: Left Tackle Starter
Mecole Hardman primary: Tight End Starter
Tyreek Hill primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Anthony Hitchens primary: Left Linebacker Starter
Chris Jones primary: Left Defensive Tackle Starter
Travis Kelce primary: Tight End Starter
Tanoh Kpassagnon primary: Left Defensive End Starter
Patrick Mahomes primary: Quarterback Starter
Tyrann Mathieu primary: Strong Safety Starter
Derrick Nnadi primary: Right Defensive Tackle Starter
Mitchell Schwartz primary: Right Tackle Starter
Daniel Sorensen primary: Cornerback Starter
Juan Thornhill primary: Free Safety Starter
Charvarius Ward primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Damien Wilson primary: Right Linebacker Starter
Andrew Wylie primary: Right Guard Starter
Mike Remmers primary: Left Guard Starter
Demarcus Robinson primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Bashaud Breeland primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Clyde Edwards-Helaire primary: Runningback Starter
Daniel Kilgore primary: Center Starter
Nick Allegretti primary: Guard Substitution
Harrison Butker primary: Kicker Substitution
Rashad Fenton primary: Cornerback Substitution
Marcus Kemp primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Ben Niemann primary: Linebacker Substitution
Dorian O'Daniel primary: Linebacker Substitution
Alex Okafor primary: Defensive End Substitution
Byron Pringle primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Austin Reiter primary: Center Substitution
Darwin Thompson primary: Runningback Substitution
Armani Watts primary: Safety Substitution
Darrel Williams primary: Runningback Substitution
James Winchester primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Deon Yelder primary: Tight End Substitution
Nick Keizer primary: Tight End Substitution
Antonio Hamilton primary: Cornerback Substitution
Mike Pennel primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Ricky Seals-Jones primary: Tight End Substitution
Willie Gay primary: Linebacker Substitution
Bopete Keyes primary: Cornerback Substitution
Tommy Townsend primary: Punter Substitution
Yasir Durant primary: Offensive Linesman Substitution
Tershawn Wharton primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Taco Charlton primary: Defensive End Substitution
Tedric Thompson primary: Safety Substitution
Darius Harris primary: Linebacker Not active
Demone Harris primary: Defensive End Not active
Sammy Watkins primary: Wide Receiver Not active
Chad Henne primary: Quarterback Did not play
DeAndre Washington primary: Runningback Not active
Le'Veon Bell primary: Runningback Not active
Player Position Lineup
Josh Allen primary: Quarterback Starter
Cole Beasley primary: Wide Receiver Starter
John Brown primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Dion Dawkins primary: Left Tackle Starter
Tremaine Edmunds primary: Left Linebacker Starter
Cody Ford primary: Left Guard Starter
Jerry Hughes primary: Left Defensive End Starter
Micah Hyde primary: Strong Safety Starter
Tyler Kroft primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Mitch Morse primary: Center Starter
Ed Oliver primary: Right Defensive Tackle Starter
Jordan Poyer primary: Free Safety Starter
Devin Singletary primary: Runningback Starter
Tre'Davious White primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Josh Norman primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Cam Lewis primary: Defensive Back Starter
Stefon Diggs primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Quinton Jefferson primary: Left Defensive Tackle Starter
Daryl Williams primary: Right Tackle Starter
A.J. Klein primary: Right Linebacker Starter
Mario Addison primary: Right Defensive End Starter
Brian Winters primary: Right Guard Starter
Ryan Bates primary: Offensive Linesman Substitution
Ike Boettger primary: Guard Substitution
Corey Bojorquez primary: Punter Substitution
Reid Ferguson primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Darryl Johnson primary: Defensive End Substitution
Jaquan Johnson primary: Safety Substitution
Taron Johnson primary: Cornerback Substitution
Siran Neal primary: Safety Substitution
Ty Nsekhe primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
Lee Smith primary: Tight End Substitution
Tyrel Dodson primary: Linebacker Substitution
Isaiah McKenzie primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Taiwan Jones primary: Runningback Substitution
A.J. Epenesa primary: Defensive End Substitution
Zack Moss primary: Runningback Substitution
Gabriel Davis primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Tyler Bass primary: Kicker Substitution
Bryan Cox Jr. primary: Defensive End Substitution
Reggie Gilliam primary: Tight End Substitution
Vernon Butler primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Tyler Matakevich primary: Linebacker Substitution
Justin Zimmer primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Andre Roberts primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Dean Marlowe primary: Safety Substitution
Deon Lacey primary: Linebacker Substitution
Matt Barkley primary: Quarterback Did not play
Dawson Knox primary: Tight End Not active
Matt Milano primary: Linebacker Not active
Trent Murphy primary: Defensive End Not active
Harrison Phillips primary: Defensive Tackle Not active
Quinton Spain primary: Guard Not active
T.J. Yeldon primary: Runningback Not active
Jake Fromm primary: Quarterback Not active

Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo Bills

  • Match Start
  • Period 1
  • MIN 3
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 11 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Harrison Butker
    • Passer: Patrick Mahomes
    • Pass Receiver: Travis Kelce
  • MIN 5
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 48 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Tyler Bass
  • Period 2
  • MIN 4
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 12 Yards
    • Passer: Patrick Mahomes
    • Pass Receiver: Travis Kelce
    • Conv Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • MIN 11
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 4 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Stefon Diggs
    • Conv Kicker: Tyler Bass
    • Passer: Josh Allen
  • Period 3
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 13 Yards
    • Rusher: Darrel Williams
    • Conv Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • Period 4
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 30 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • MIN 6
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 8 Yards
    • Passer: Josh Allen
    • Pass Receiver: Cole Beasley
    • Conv Kicker: Tyler Bass
  • MIN 9
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 37 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • Match End

GAMES

Last 10

W 80% L 20%
8 2
  • @Tampa Bay L 9 - 31
  • Buffalo W 24 - 38
  • Cleveland W 17 - 22
  • L.A. Chargers L 38 - 21
  • Atlanta W 14 - 17
  • @New Orleans W 32 - 29
  • @Miami W 33 - 27
  • Denver W 16 - 22
  • @Tampa Bay W 27 - 24
  • @Las Vegas W 35 - 31
W 80% L 20%
8 2
  • @Kansas City L 24 - 38
  • Baltimore W 3 - 17
  • Indianapolis W 24 - 27
  • Miami W 26 - 56
  • @New England W 38 - 9
  • @Denver W 48 - 19
  • Pittsburgh W 15 - 26
  • @San Francisco W 34 - 24
  • L.A. Chargers W 17 - 27
  • @Arizona L 30 - 32

Last Meetings

  • Bills @ Chiefs 24-38
  • Chiefs @ Bills 26-17
  • Bills @ Chiefs 16-10
  • Bills @ Chiefs 22-30
  • Chiefs @ Bills 17-13
  • Chiefs @ Bills 23-13
  • Chiefs @ Bills 17-35
  • Bills @ Chiefs 41-7
  • Bills @ Chiefs 10-13
  • Bills @ Chiefs 16-10

American Football Conference

AFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bills133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-29-0-1
Miami Dolphins106 0.6253.00.00.0 5-35-37-0-3
New England Patriots79 0.4386.00.00.0 5-32-65-0-5
New York Jets214 0.12511.00.00.0 1-71-72-0-8
AFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Pittsburgh Steelers124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-36-0-4
Baltimore Ravens115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Cleveland Browns115 0.6881.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Cincinnati Bengals411 1.2677.50.00.0 3-51-63-1-7
AFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Indianapolis Colts115 0.6880.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Tennessee Titans115 0.6880.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Houston Texans412 0.2507.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
Jacksonville Jaguars115 0.06310.00.00.0 1-70-81-0-10
AFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Kansas City Chiefs142 0.8750.00.00.0 6-28-09-0-1
Las Vegas Raiders88 0.5006.00.00.0 2-66-25-0-5
Los Angeles Chargers79 0.4387.00.00.0 4-43-55-0-5
Denver Broncos511 0.3139.00.00.0 2-63-53-0-7

National Football Conference

NFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Washington Football Team79 0.4380.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
Dallas Cowboys610 0.3751.00.00.0 4-42-64-0-6
New York Giants610 0.3751.00.00.0 3-53-55-0-5
Philadelphia Eagles411 1.2672.50.00.0 3-41-73-1-7
NFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Green Bay Packers133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-28-0-2
Chicago Bears88 0.5005.00.00.0 3-55-33-0-7
Minnesota Vikings79 0.4386.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
Detroit Lions511 0.3138.00.00.0 1-74-42-0-8
NFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
New Orleans Saints124 0.7500.00.00.0 6-26-28-0-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-27-0-3
Carolina Panthers511 0.3137.00.00.0 2-63-52-0-8
Atlanta Falcons412 0.2508.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
NFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Seattle Seahawks124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-37-0-3
Los Angeles Rams106 0.6252.00.00.0 6-24-46-0-4
Arizona Cardinals88 0.5004.00.00.0 4-44-44-0-6
San Francisco 49ers610 0.3756.00.00.0 1-75-33-0-7

Last Injuries