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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Pick & Prediction SEP 13TH 2020
453Miami Dolphins454New England Patriots
Predictions of the end of the New England Patriots' 11-year reign at the top of the AFC East are plentiful this summer. Some even speculate the Miami Dolphins might be the team to supplant them.
One thing is certain: the longtime adversaries look much different than the teams that squared off in Miami's 27-24 upset win last December.
The post-Tom Brady era begins for New England Sunday at Gillette Stadium.
The Patriots hand the keys to the offense to another former Super Bowl MVP. Cam Newton, released in the offseason by the Carolina Panthers, could have signed with any team but went unclaimed for weeks before the Patriots brought him in on a relatively bargain deal for a starting quarterback.
Newton overtook second-year quarterback Jarrett Stidham to earn the starting job, while winning over head coach Bill Belichick.
But there's more to prove.
Newton has undergone four surgeries over the past six years, which raises doubts about his potential effectiveness, but he won over teammates in New England and will make his first start for the Patriots.
The Dolphins (5-11 in 2019) had a productive offseason in free agency and drafted a potential future franchise quarterback in Alabama star Tua Tagovailoa.
Dolphins head coach Brian Flores named Ryan Fitzpatrick his starter for week 1 as Tagovailoa continues to learn the offense.
"New England is different, we're different, it's a new year, it's a different year, so it'll be a different environment with no fans," said Flores, a former Patriots defensive coordinator who guided his team to an upset win at Foxborough to close out his first season as head coach. "Everything is just so, so different that we as an organization, as a team, we're not really looking at last year's game and taking much from it."
Newton's offensive targets won't have much experience beyond Julian Edelman, N'Keal Harry and a backfield of James White, Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead.
The Patriots recently placed second-year back Damien Harris on injured reserve after undergoing finger surgery.
"It's been a fun process (with Cam), he brings a lot of energy," Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels said. "There's never a dull moment and then you can see why the players gravitate so much towards him and his personality."
The Patriots' defense took some hits in the offseason in losing linebacker Dont'a Hightower and safety Patrick Chung after both opted out due to COVID-19 concerns. Tackle Danny Shelton and linebackers Jamie Collins, Kyle Van Noy and Elandon Roberts each departed in free agency with the latter two joining the Dolphins.
Cornerback Stephon Gilmore and both Jason and Devin McCourty are back in what should be a formidable secondary.
The Dolphins' defense felt the pain of the initial stages of their rebuild in 2019 surrendering the most points in the league (494) and allowing a league-worst 6.0 yards per play.
Fitzpatrick (85.5 passer rating in 2019) still has DeVante Parker (72 catches, 1,202 yards, nine TDs), and second-year pro Preston Williams (32 catches, 428 yards, three TDs), but lost Albert Wilson and Allen Hurns after each opted out.
The arrival of Jordan Howard and Matt Breida should improve what was the league's worst running game in 2019 (3.3 yards per attempt). Miami also traded for versatile receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. last week.
"We have a lot of talent on the offensive end and I think being able to utilize each guy, playing to their strengths and giving them some freedom to go out there and do what they do best, that will hopefully show up here as we get going," Fitzpatrick said.
For Miami, Parker (hamstring), Williams (knee), Van Noy (hand), cornerbacks Byron Jones (Achilles) and Xavien Howard (knee) and tight end Mike Gesicki (glute) were limited in practice Wednesday. Tagovailoa (hip) practiced fully.
For the Patriots, Edelman (knee) was limited in practice as were wide receiver Gunner Olszewski (foot) and defensive lineman Chase Winovich (shoulder).
--Field Level Media
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Buy Tickets Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots SEP 13TH 2020
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New England Patriots
|Jerome Baker||primary: Linebacker||Starter|
|Jesse Davis||primary: Right Tackle||Starter|
|Ryan Fitzpatrick||primary: Quarterback||Starter|
|Mike Gesicki||primary: Tight End||Starter|
|Davon Godchaux||primary: Defensive Tackle||Starter|
|Xavien Howard||primary: Cornerback||Starter|
|Bobby McCain||primary: Safety||Starter|
|DeVante Parker||primary: Wide Receiver||Starter|
|Durham Smythe||primary: Tight End||Starter|
|Andrew Van Ginkel||primary: Linebacker||Starter|
|Preston Williams||primary: Wide Receiver||Starter|
|Shaq Lawson||primary: Linebacker||Starter|
|Emmanuel Ogbah||primary: Defensive End||Starter|
|Jordan Howard||primary: Runningback||Starter|
|Elandon Roberts||primary: Linebacker||Starter|
|Ereck Flowers||primary: Left Guard||Starter|
|Ted Karras||primary: Center||Starter|
|Byron Jones||primary: Cornerback||Starter|
|Austin Jackson||primary: Left Tackle||Starter|
|Raekwon Davis||primary: Defensive Tackle||Starter|
|Brandon Jones||primary: Safety||Starter|
|Solomon Kindley||primary: Right Guard||Starter|
|Chandler Cox||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Julie'n Davenport||primary: Offensive Tackle||Substitution|
|Michael Deiter||primary: Guard||Substitution|
|Sam Eguavoen||primary: Linebacker||Substitution|
|Isaiah Ford||primary: Wide Receiver||Substitution|
|Myles Gaskin||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Jakeem Grant Sr.||primary: Wide Receiver||Substitution|
|Matt Haack||primary: Punter||Substitution|
|Mack Hollins||primary: Wide Receiver||Substitution|
|Patrick Laird||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Calvin Munson||primary: Linebacker||Substitution|
|Nik Needham||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Eric Rowe||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Jason Sanders||primary: Kicker||Substitution|
|Zach Sieler||primary: Defensive End||Substitution|
|Christian Wilkins||primary: Defensive Tackle||Substitution|
|Jamal Perry||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Kamu Grugier-Hill||primary: Linebacker||Substitution|
|Kyle Van Noy||primary: Linebacker||Substitution|
|Noah Igbinoghene||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Robert Hunt||primary: Offensive Tackle||Substitution|
|Matt Breida||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Blake Ferguson||primary: Long Snapper||Substitution|
|Kavon Frazier||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Adam Shaheen||primary: Tight End||Substitution|
|Adam Pankey||primary: Guard||Not active|
|Clayton Fejedelem||primary: Defensive Back||Not active|
|Tua Tagovailoa||primary: Quarterback||Did not play|
|Jason Strowbridge||primary: Defensive End||Not active|
|Malcolm Perry||primary: Runningback||Not active|
|Lynn Bowden Jr.||primary: Runningback||Not active|
|David Andrews||primary: Center||Starter|
|Ja'Whaun Bentley||primary: Linebacker||Starter|
|Byron Cowart||primary: Left End||Starter|
|Jermaine Eluemunor||primary: Right Tackle||Starter|
|Stephon Gilmore||primary: Right Cornerback||Starter|
|Lawrence Guy||primary: Defensive Tackle||Starter|
|N'Keal Harry||primary: Wide Receiver||Starter|
|Ryan Izzo||primary: Tight End||Starter|
|Jonathan Jones||primary: Cornerback||Starter|
|Shaq Mason||primary: Right Guard||Starter|
|Devin McCourty||primary: Cornerback||Starter|
|Jason McCourty||primary: Left Cornerback||Starter|
|Sony Michel||primary: Runningback||Starter|
|John Simon||primary: Right End||Starter|
|Joe Thuney||primary: Left Guard||Starter|
|Chase Winovich||primary: Defensive Tackle||Starter|
|Isaiah Wynn||primary: Left Tackle||Starter|
|Adrian Phillips||primary: Strong Safety||Starter|
|Damiere Byrd||primary: Wide Receiver||Starter|
|Brandon Copeland||primary: Linebacker||Starter|
|Mike Onwenu||primary: Guard||Starter|
|Cam Newton||primary: Quarterback||Starter|
|Jake Bailey||primary: Punter||Substitution|
|Justin Bethel||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Terrence Brooks||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Rex Burkhead||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Adam Butler||primary: Defensive Tackle||Substitution|
|Shilique Calhoun||primary: Linebacker||Substitution|
|Joe Cardona||primary: Long Snapper||Substitution|
|Julian Edelman||primary: Wide Receiver||Substitution|
|Hjalte Froholdt||primary: Guard||Substitution|
|J.C. Jackson||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Jakob Johnson||primary: Fullback||Substitution|
|Jakobi Meyers||primary: Wide Receiver||Substitution|
|Derek Rivers||primary: Defensive End||Substitution|
|Matthew Slater||primary: Wide Receiver||Substitution|
|James White||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Joejuan Williams||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Deatrich Wise Jr.||primary: Defensive End||Substitution|
|Cody Davis||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Kyle Dugger||primary: Defensive Back||Substitution|
|Anfernee Jennings||primary: Linebacker||Substitution|
|Devin Asiasi||primary: Tight End||Substitution|
|Justin Herron||primary: Offensive Tackle||Substitution|
|J.J. Taylor||primary: Runningback||Substitution|
|Xavier Williams||primary: Defensive Tackle||Substitution|
|Nick Folk||primary: Kicker||Substitution|
|Korey Cunningham||primary: Offensive Tackle||Not active|
|Jarrett Stidham||primary: Quarterback||Not active|
|Brian Hoyer||primary: Quarterback||Did not play|
|Josh Uche||primary: Linebacker||Not active|
|Dalton Keene||primary: Tight End||Not active|
|Cassh Maluia||primary: Linebacker||Not active|
New England Patriots
- Match Start
- Period 2
- MIN 3
- Field Goal
- 46 Yards
- FG Kicker: Jason Sanders
- MIN 13
- 4 Yards
- Conv Kicker: Nick Folk
- Rusher: Cam Newton
- Period 3
- MIN 10
- 11 Yards
- Rusher: Cam Newton
- Conv Kicker: Nick Folk
- Period 4
- MIN 5
- 1 Yards
- Rusher: Sony Michel
- Conv Kicker: Nick Folk
- MIN 10
- 1 Yards
- Conv Rusher: Ryan Fitzpatrick
- Rusher: Jordan Howard
- Match End
- @Buffalo L 26 - 56
- @Las Vegas W 26 - 25
- New England W 12 - 22
- Kansas City L 33 - 27
- Cincinnati W 7 - 19
- @N.Y. Jets W 20 - 3
- @Denver L 13 - 20
- L.A. Chargers W 21 - 29
- @Arizona W 34 - 31
- L.A. Rams W 17 - 28
- N.Y. Jets W 14 - 28
- Buffalo L 38 - 9
- @Miami L 12 - 22
- @L.A. Rams L 3 - 24
- @L.A. Chargers W 45 - 0
- Arizona W 17 - 20
- @Houston L 20 - 27
- Baltimore W 17 - 23
- @N.Y. Jets W 30 - 27
- @Buffalo L 21 - 24
- Patriots @ Dolphins 12-22
- Dolphins @ Patriots 11-21
- Dolphins @ Patriots 27-24
- Patriots @ Dolphins 43-0
- Patriots @ Dolphins 33-34
- Dolphins @ Patriots 7-38
- Patriots @ Dolphins 20-27
- Dolphins @ Patriots 17-35
- Patriots @ Dolphins 35-14
- Dolphins @ Patriots 24-31
American Football Conference
|New England Patriots||7||9||0||.438||6.0||0.0||0.0||5-3||2-6||5-0-5|
|New York Jets||2||14||0||.125||11.0||0.0||0.0||1-7||1-7||2-0-8|
|Kansas City Chiefs||14||2||0||.875||0.0||0.0||0.0||6-2||8-0||9-0-1|
|Las Vegas Raiders||8||8||0||.500||6.0||0.0||0.0||2-6||6-2||5-0-5|
|Los Angeles Chargers||7||9||0||.438||7.0||0.0||0.0||4-4||3-5||5-0-5|
National Football Conference
|Washington Football Team||7||9||0||.438||0.0||0.0||0.0||3-5||4-4||6-0-4|
|New York Giants||6||10||0||.375||1.0||0.0||0.0||3-5||3-5||5-0-5|
|Green Bay Packers||13||3||0||.813||0.0||0.0||0.0||7-1||6-2||8-0-2|
|New Orleans Saints||12||4||0||.750||0.0||0.0||0.0||6-2||6-2||8-0-2|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||11||5||0||.688||1.0||0.0||0.0||5-3||6-2||7-0-3|
|Los Angeles Rams||10||6||0||.625||2.0||0.0||0.0||6-2||4-4||6-0-4|
|San Francisco 49ers||6||10||0||.375||6.0||0.0||0.0||1-7||5-3||3-0-7|
New England Trends
- TrendOver is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games as a home underdog.Hit %100.00% (4)O/U4|0Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 9-3 in Patriots last 12 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.Hit %75.00% (12)O/U9|3Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 19-9 in Patriots last 28 games as a favorite.Hit %67.90% (28)O/U9|19Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.Hit %100.00% (4)O/U4|0Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 15-7 in Dolphins last 22 games as a road favorite.Hit %68.20% (22)O/U7|15Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 12-5 in Dolphins last 17 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.Hit %70.60% (17)O/U5|12Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.Hit %69.20% (13)O/U4|9Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 7-3 in Dolphins last 10 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.Hit %70.00% (10)O/U3|7Push0W/L
- TrendDolphins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.Hit %12.50% (8)O/UPush0W/L1|7
- TrendHome team is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.Hit %81.20% (16)O/UPush0W/L13|3
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
Cam Newton looked like his former self by scoring twice and amassing a combined 230 yards passing and rushing to lead the New England Patriots to a 21-11 season-opening win over the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at Foxborough, Mass.
In his Patriots' debut, Newton showed signs of what New England (1-0) hoped for when they signed him to replace the departed Tom Brady as their starting quarterback.
Newton's ability to keep the Dolphins (0-1) off balance with zone-read options allowed the Patriots to seize control following a scoreless first quarter.
Newton, the 2015 NFL MVP for the Carolina Panthers, completed 15 of 19 passes for 155 yards and posted a 100.7 passer rating, while rushing for 75 yards on 15 carries. His rushing touchdowns from 4 and 11 yards out helped New England build a 14-3 lead with 10:14 to go in the third quarter.
The Patriots' defense, despite losing several players before the season both to free agency and opt outs due to COVID-19 concerns, intercepted Dolphins' quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick three times, including two in the first half by Stephon Gilmore and Adrian Phillips.
J.C. Jackson's interception in the end zone with 1:28 remaining in the fourth ended Miami's hopes of a late comeback.
Fitzpatrick, who completed 20 of 30 passes for 191 yards with no touchdowns and a 44.6 passer rating, played the entire game, as first-round draft pick Tua Tagovailoa watched from the sideline.
Newton's effectiveness opened up the Patriots' running game, which amassed 217 yards. Sony Michel also ran for 37 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries. Newton nearly had a touchdown pass to add to his stat line late in the third, but receiver N'Keal Harry was stripped of the ball by Dolphins linebacker Jerome Baker near the goal line resulting in a touchback.
The Dolphins cashed in with an 11-play, 80-yard drive capped by Jordan Howard's 1-yard touchdown run. Fitzpatrick followed with a 2-point conversion run that cut New England's lead to 14-11 with 10:31 left in the fourth. Howard was held to 7 yards on eight carries in his Dolphins' debut and Miami rushed for 87 yards, led by Myles Gaskin's 40 yards on nine carries.
But Newton answered by leading a 10-play, 75-yard touchdown drive during which he converted a fourth-and-1 at the Dolphins' 6-yard line before Michel's score.
Dolphins receiver DeVante Parker exited the game in the third quarter with a hamstring injury and did not return.
--Field Level Media