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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Pick & Prediction SEP 15TH 2019


Coach Bill Belichick is a master of making sure the New England Patriots brush aside outside distractions, but that single-mindedness could be put to the test this week. Questions abound over whether All-Pro wide receiver Antonio Brown, acquired before last week's season opener, will be in the lineup Sunday when the reigning Super Bowl champions visit the Miami Dolphins.

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Brown's abrupt release by Oakland and subsequent signing with the Patriots was a shocking development, but the plot thickened this week when a woman filed a lawsuit charging him with rape and sexual assault. "It's not a distraction," New England cornerback Stephon Gilmore said. "That's one thing about this team -- we focus on our next opponent, and that's Miami. We don't let outside stuff distract us." While the Patriots dismantled Pittsburgh 33-3 in their opener, Miami was embarrassed in a 59-10 mauling at Baltimore in the head coaching debut of former New England assistant Brian Flores. The Dolphins, however, have won two of the past three meetings against the Patriots and are 10-7 against future Hall of Famer Tom Brady in Miami.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Patriots -18.5. O/U: 48.5

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (1-0): Brown, who forced an offseason trade from Pittsburgh to Oakland after six straight seasons with at least 101 catches, was ineligible to play in last week's opener but Brady looked fine with the cast at hand, throwing for 341 yards and three touchdowns passes. Starting running back Sony Michel, who rushed for 169 yards in two meetings versus Miami last season, managed only 14 on 15 carries last week, but backups Rex Burkhead and James White combined for 70 yards rushing while adding five receptions apiece. Julian Edelman had six catches for 83 yards and Phillip Dorsett hauled in a pair of scoring passes, while the defense limited the Steelers to 32 yards rushing.

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (0-1): In the wake of the last week's humbling loss, in which Miami set franchise records for points and total yards (643) allowed, media reports swirled that multiple players spoke to their agents and expressed a desire to be traded. "It's never good to be embarrassed like that, especially at this level," said veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, who finished 14 of 29 for 185 yards with a touchdown and interception in his Dolphins debut. "What we talked about: Nobody is going to feel sorry for you and your situation." Miami will try to establish its ground game behind Kenyan Drake, who ran the final 52 yards on a lateral in last season's stunning win over the Patriots.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Brady can tie George Blanda (209) for the second-most regular-season wins in NFL history, behind only Adam Vinatieri (215).

2. Dolphins CB Xavien Howard picked off Brady twice in the last meeting.

3. Edelman has 24 receptions and two TDs in his last three versus Miami.

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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

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New England Patriots

Miami Dolphins

Player Position Lineup
Tom Brady primary: Quarterback Starter
Adam Butler primary: Right End Starter
James Develin primary: Fullback Starter
Julian Edelman primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Stephon Gilmore primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Lawrence Guy primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
Dont'a Hightower primary: Linebacker Starter
Jonathan Jones primary: Free Safety Starter
Ted Karras primary: Center Starter
Shaq Mason primary: Right Guard Starter
Devin McCourty primary: Strong Safety Starter
Jason McCourty primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Sony Michel primary: Runningback Starter
Elandon Roberts primary: Linebacker Starter
Danny Shelton primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
Joe Thuney primary: Left Guard Starter
Kyle Van Noy primary: Linebacker Starter
Isaiah Wynn primary: Left Tackle Starter
Matt LaCosse primary: Tight End Starter
Jamie Collins Sr. primary: Linebacker Starter
Josh Gordon primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Marshall Newhouse primary: Right Tackle Starter
Ja'Whaun Bentley primary: Linebacker Substitution
Rex Burkhead primary: Runningback Substitution
Joe Cardona primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Patrick Chung primary: Strong Safety Substitution
Phillip Dorsett II primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Nate Ebner primary: Defensive Back Substitution
James Ferentz primary: Offensive Linesman Substitution
Stephen Gostkowski primary: Kicker Substitution
Duron Harmon primary: Defensive Back Substitution
Ryan Izzo primary: Tight End Substitution
J.C. Jackson primary: Defensive Back Substitution
John Simon primary: Defensive End Substitution
Matthew Slater primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
James White primary: Runningback Substitution
Michael Bennett primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Terrence Brooks primary: Defensive Back Substitution
Chase Winovich primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Jake Bailey primary: Punter Substitution
Byron Cowart primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Shilique Calhoun primary: Linebacker Substitution
Gunner Olszewski primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Korey Cunningham primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
Antonio Brown primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Marcus Cannon primary: Offensive Linesman Not active
Deatrich Wise Jr. primary: Defensive Linesman Not active
Brandon Bolden primary: Runningback Not active
Joejuan Williams primary: Cornerback Not active
Damien Harris primary: Runningback Not active
Jarrett Stidham primary: Quarterback Did not play
Jakobi Meyers primary: Wide Receiver Not active
Jermaine Eluemunor primary: Guard Not active
Player Position Lineup
Jerome Baker primary: Linebacker Starter
Kalen Ballage primary: Runningback Starter
Jesse Davis primary: Left Tackle Starter
Minkah Fitzpatrick primary: Safety Starter
Davon Godchaux primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
Charles Harris primary: Linebacker Starter
Xavien Howard primary: Cornerback Starter
Daniel Kilgore primary: Center Starter
Bobby McCain primary: Safety Starter
Raekwon McMillan primary: Linebacker Starter
Nick O'Leary primary: Tight End Starter
DeVante Parker primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Durham Smythe primary: Tight End Starter
Eric Rowe primary: Cornerback Starter
Ryan Fitzpatrick primary: Quarterback Starter
Sam Eguavoen primary: Linebacker Starter
Christian Wilkins primary: Defensive End Starter
Michael Deiter primary: Left Guard Starter
Preston Williams primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Danny Isidora primary: Right Guard Starter
Avery Moss primary: Defensive End Starter
J'Marcus Webb primary: Right Tackle Starter
Walt Aikens primary: Safety Substitution
Kenyan Drake primary: Runningback Substitution
Mike Gesicki primary: Tight End Substitution
Jakeem Grant Sr. primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Matt Haack primary: Punter Substitution
Jason Sanders primary: Kicker Substitution
Tank Carradine primary: Defensive End Substitution
Jamal Perry primary: Cornerback Substitution
Chris Lammons primary: Cornerback Substitution
Chandler Cox primary: Fullback Substitution
Josh Rosen primary: Quarterback Substitution
Shaq Calhoun primary: Guard Substitution
Patrick Laird primary: Runningback Substitution
Mark Walton primary: Runningback Substitution
Allen Hurns primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Evan Boehm primary: Center Substitution
Deon Lacey primary: Linebacker Substitution
Steven Parker primary: Safety Substitution
Ken Webster primary: Defensive Back Substitution
Johnson Bademosi primary: Defensive Back Substitution
Vince Biegel primary: Linebacker Substitution
James Crawford primary: Defensive End Substitution
John Jenkins primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Taybor Pepper primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Reshad Jones primary: Safety Not active
Albert Wilson primary: Wide Receiver Not active
Chris Reed primary: Center Not active
Isaiah Prince primary: Offensive Tackle Not active
Myles Gaskin primary: Runningback Not active
Trent Harris primary: Linebacker Not active
Bryan Witzmann primary: Offensive Tackle Not active

New England Patriots

Miami Dolphins

  • Match Start
  • Period 1
  • MIN 7
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 1 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
    • Rusher: Sony Michel
  • Period 2
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 20 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Antonio Brown
    • Passer: Tom Brady
    • Conv Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
  • Period 3
  • MIN 2
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 1 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
    • Rusher: Tom Brady
  • MIN 8
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 28 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
  • Period 4
  • MIN 2
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 10 Yards
    • Passer: Tom Brady
    • Conv Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
    • Pass Receiver: James White
  • MIN 8
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Interception Return
    • 69 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
    • Interception Returner: Jamie Collins Sr.
  • MIN 10
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Interception Return
    • 54 Yards
    • Interception Returner: Stephon Gilmore
    • Conv Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski
  • Match End

GAMES

Last 10

W 38% L 63%
3 5
  • @Houston L 20 - 27
  • Baltimore W 17 - 23
  • @N.Y. Jets W 30 - 27
  • @Buffalo L 21 - 24
  • San Francisco L 33 - 6
  • Denver L 18 - 12
  • Denver D 0 - 0
  • @Kansas City L 10 - 26
  • @Kansas City D 0 - 0
  • Las Vegas W 20 - 36
W 60% L 40%
6 4
  • @Denver L 13 - 20
  • L.A. Chargers W 21 - 29
  • @Arizona W 34 - 31
  • L.A. Rams W 17 - 28
  • N.Y. Jets W 0 - 24
  • @San Francisco W 43 - 17
  • Seattle L 31 - 23
  • @Jacksonville W 31 - 13
  • Buffalo L 31 - 28
  • @New England L 11 - 21

Next Games

  • Arizona(09-16-12) L 20 - 18
  • @L.A. Chargers(12-07-14) W 23 - 14
  • @L.A. Rams(02-03-19) W 13 - 3
  • @Miami(09-15-19) W 43 - 0
  • Buffalo(12-21-19) W 17 - 24
  • @N.Y. Jets(12-08-19) L 21 - 22
  • Cincinnati(12-22-19) W 35 - 38
  • Kansas City(09-21-14) L 34 - 15
  • New England(09-15-19) L 43 - 0
  • @Las Vegas(09-28-14) W 38 - 14

Last Meetings

  • Dolphins @ Patriots 11-21
  • Dolphins @ Patriots 27-24
  • Patriots @ Dolphins 43-0
  • Patriots @ Dolphins 33-34
  • Dolphins @ Patriots 7-38
  • Patriots @ Dolphins 20-27
  • Dolphins @ Patriots 17-35
  • Patriots @ Dolphins 35-14
  • Dolphins @ Patriots 24-31
  • Patriots @ Dolphins 10-20

American Football Conference

AFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bills73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-13-27-0-3
Miami Dolphins64 0.6001.00.00.0 3-23-26-0-4
New England Patriots46 0.4003.00.00.0 3-21-44-0-6
New York Jets010 0.0007.00.00.0 0-50-50-0-10
AFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Pittsburgh Steelers100 01.0000.00.00.0 5-05-010-0-0
Cleveland Browns73 0.7003.00.00.0 5-12-27-0-3
Baltimore Ravens64 0.6004.00.00.0 2-34-16-0-4
Cincinnati Bengals27 1.2227.50.00.0 2-20-52-1-7
AFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Tennessee Titans73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-23-17-0-3
Indianapolis Colts73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-13-27-0-3
Houston Texans37 0.3004.00.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
Jacksonville Jaguars19 0.1006.00.00.0 1-40-51-0-9
AFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Kansas City Chiefs91 0.9000.00.00.0 4-15-09-0-1
Las Vegas Raiders64 0.6003.00.00.0 2-34-16-0-4
Denver Broncos46 0.4005.00.00.0 2-32-34-0-6
Los Angeles Chargers37 0.3006.00.00.0 2-31-43-0-7

National Football Conference

NFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Philadelphia Eagles36 1.3330.00.00.0 2-21-43-1-6
Dallas Cowboys37 0.3000.50.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
Washington Football Team37 0.3000.50.00.0 3-30-43-0-7
New York Giants37 0.3000.50.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
NFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Green Bay Packers73 0.7000.00.00.0 3-14-27-0-3
Chicago Bears55 0.5002.00.00.0 2-33-25-0-5
Detroit Lions46 0.4003.00.00.0 1-33-34-0-6
Minnesota Vikings46 0.4003.00.00.0 1-43-24-0-6
NFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
New Orleans Saints82 0.8000.00.00.0 5-13-18-0-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers74 0.6361.50.00.0 3-24-27-0-3
Carolina Panthers47 0.3644.50.00.0 2-42-34-0-6
Atlanta Falcons37 0.3005.00.00.0 1-42-33-0-7
NFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Los Angeles Rams73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-03-37-0-3
Seattle Seahawks73 0.7000.00.00.0 5-02-37-0-3
Arizona Cardinals64 0.6001.00.00.0 3-23-26-0-4
San Francisco 49ers46 0.4003.00.00.0 1-43-24-0-6

Last Injuries

Miami Dolphins

  • Solomon Kindley

    Foot
    day-to-day | questionable

    Kindley left the last game with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Jets in Week 12.

  • Jesse Davis

    Illness
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Davis has been moved to the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list, and there is no indication when he will get back in the lineup.

  • Tua Tagovailoa

    Ankle
    day-to-day | questionable

    Tagovailoa left the previous game due to an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up Week 12 against the Jets.

  • Kyle Van Noy

    Hip
    Prob Sun | probable

    Van Noy left the last game with a hip injury, but he is expected to be active against the Broncos on Sunday.

  • Matt Breida

    Hamstring
    Prob Sun | probable

    Breida was held out of the previous game with a hamstring injury, but it is likely that he will participate in Sunday's contest against the Broncos.

  • Solomon Kindley

    Foot
    Prob Sun | probable

    Kindley is dealing with a foot injury, but he is likely to partake in Sunday's showdown against the Broncos.

  • Christian Wilkins

    Illness
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Wilkins has been sent to the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list due to contact tracing protocol, and it is uncertain when he will come back.

  • Preston Williams

    Foot
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Williams has been posted to the injured reserve list due to a foot sprain, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

New England Patriots

  • J.J. Taylor

    Illness
    day-to-day | questionable

    Taylor has been held out of the past three games with an illness, and it is unknown if he will return Week 12 against the Cardinals.

  • Sony Michel

    Quadricep
    day-to-day | questionable

    Michel has been activated from the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list after healing from a quad injury, but it is unclear if he will return to the fold Week 12 against the Cardinals.

  • Rex Burkhead

    Knee
    Out indefinitely | out

    Burkhead will miss an extended period due to a right knee injury.

  • Adam Butler

    Shoulder
    day-to-day | questionable

    Butler missed the previous game due to a shoulder injury, and it is uncertain if he will take part in Week 12 with the Cardinals.

  • Justin Herron

    Ankle
    day-to-day | I-R

    Herron has popped up on the the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list due to an ankle injury, and his two-week window to be activated has started.

  • Matthew Slater

    Knee
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Slater is hobbled by a knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will face the Texans on Sunday.

  • Deatrich Wise Jr.

    Knee
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Wise Jr. has injuries to his hand and knee, and it is up in the air if he will be in Sunday's lineup against the Texans.

  • Isaiah Wynn

    Ankle
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Wynn injured his ankle, leaving his status for Sunday's contest against the Texans clouded.

Trends

Miami Trends

  • Trend
    Over is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 games as a home underdog.
    Hit %
    100.00% (5)
    O/U
    5|0
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 7-1 in Dolphins last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
    Hit %
    87.50% (8)
    O/U
    1|7
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 18-7-1 in Dolphins last 26 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
    Hit %
    72.00% (26)
    O/U
    18|7
    Push
    1
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
    Hit %
    100.00% (4)
    O/U
    4|0
    Push
    0
    W/L

New England Trends

  • Trend
    Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games as a road favorite.
    Hit %
    83.30% (6)
    O/U
    1|5
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
    Hit %
    80.00% (5)
    O/U
    1|4
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
    Hit %
    80.00% (5)
    O/U
    4|1
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 10-2 in Patriots last 12 games as a favorite.
    Hit %
    83.30% (12)
    O/U
    2|10
    Push
    0
    W/L

Meetings Trends

  • Trend
    Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Miami.
    Hit %
    14.30% (7)
    O/U
    Push
    0
    W/L
    1|6
  • Trend
    Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
    Hit %
    69.20% (13)
    O/U
    Push
    0
    W/L
    9|4
  • Trend
    Home team is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
    Hit %
    82.40% (17)
    O/U
    Push
    0
    W/L
    14|3

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins

Seven-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Antonio Brown scored a touchdown in his New England Patriots debut, leading his new team to a 43-0 rout over the host Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon.

Miami, which made just two first downs through the first three quarters, was led by Ryan Fitzpatrick, who completed 11 of 21 passes for 89 yards and three interceptions, including two pick-sixes.

Stephon Gilmore (54 yards) and Jamie Collins (69 yards) returned those interceptions for touchdowns. Collins added a second interception off Josh Rosen, who finished 7 of 18 for 97 yards.

The Patriots (2-0) and Dolphins (0-2) are AFC East rivals but are also at opposite ends of the NFL spectrum. The Patriots have won three of the past five Super Bowls. The Dolphins have been outscored 102-10 through two weeks.

Former Patriots assistant Brian Flores, who now runs the Dolphins, has yet to win a game as a head coach.

Brown, a Miami native, finished with four catches for 56 yards and one run for 5 yards.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady passed for two touchdown passes and also had a 1-yard TD run. He completed 20 of 28 passes for 264 yards.

New England running back Sony Michel -- who is also a South Florida native -- ran 21 times for a game-high 85 yards and one touchdown. However, he lost one fumble.

The Patriots prevailed despite a shaky performance by Stephen Gostkowski, who missed two extra points and a 48-yard field-goal attempt. He did not miss a kick of any kind in Week 1.

New England scored on its first possession, traveling 60 yards in 10 plays. Brown caught three passes for 36 yards on the drive and also drew a defensive-holding penalty, and Michel's 1-yard run capped the march.

The Patriots went up 13-0 on Brady's 20-yard touchdown pass to Brown, who got away with a slight shove of Dolphins cornerback Jomal Wiltz, formerly of the Patriots. After making the contested catch, Brown dove into the end zone stands, where he was greeted by fans.

New England opened the third-quarter scoring on Gostkowski's 28-yard field goal, and the Patriots went up 23-0 later in the period as Brady scored on a quarterback sneak.

The Patriots started the fourth quarter with those two interception returns, and the rout was on from there.

--Field Level Media

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