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New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Pick & Prediction NOV 22TH 2020
457New England Patriots458Houston Texans
New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Recap NOV 22TH 2020
Deshaun Watson passed for three touchdowns and added a receiving touchdown as the host Houston Texans defeated the New England Patriots 28-22 on Sunday.
The Texans (8-4) maintained their one-game lead in the AFC South with their first victory over the Patriots (10-2) since Week 17 of the 2009 season. New England had been 10-1 all-time against Houston, including postseason play, with five wins over the past four seasons.
Watson, who finished 18 of 25 for 234 yards, became the first quarterback to throw two scoring passes against the Patriots this season.
His 14-yard touchdown pass to Duke Johnson with 38 seconds left in the first quarter gave the Texans the lead for good and capped a brief 3-play, 21-yard possession that followed a Bradley Roby interception of Patriots quarterback Tom Brady.
Watson added a 13-yard scoring toss to tight end Darren Fells at the 6:21 mark of the second quarter that extended the lead to 14-3.
His 35-yard strike to Kenny Stills with 5:41 left in the third pushed that advantage to 18 points and proved to be the decisive play because it just beat the play clock and came just after a dropped touchdown pass by Will Fuller on the preceding snap.
The Texans' relative success against the Patriots' top-ranked defense proved surprising. That Brady and the New England offense continued to scuffle was no shock.
While Houston surged to a 14-3 halftime lead, Brady completed just 7 of 19 attempts for 82 yards plus the interception in the first half. New England opened the third quarter with two fruitless possessions, with Roby registering a third-down sack of Brady to snuff the initial drive. Brady threw incomplete on fourth down at the Houston 42-yard line to complete the second possession of the second half.
Even the Patriots' first touchdown drive proved laborious, requiring 12 plays and 5:30 off the third-quarter clock.
James White caught the first of his two touchdown passes, this one covering 12 yards, to pull the Patriots to within 21-9, but the Texans answered with haste, covering 75 yards over nine plays, capped when Watson caught a 6-yard pitch from DeAndre Hopkins following a double handoff with 9:53 left.
Brady passed for two touchdowns inside the final four minutes, giving the Texans a scare before the subsequent onside kickoff attempt went out of bounds with 50 seconds remaining.
Brady completed 42 of 47 passes for 326 yards. White paired 79 rushing yards with his 98 receiving yards and two scores.
--Field Level Media
New England quarterback Cam Newton will typically draw the spotlight, whether for praise or criticism, and the Patriots' recent rebound on offense naturally brings the focus on Newton.
On the heels of a four-game losing skid that raised alarms throughout the league, Newton has found a bit of a groove and relatedly, the Patriots appear to be trending in the right direction as they enter Sunday's game against the host Houston Texans.
Newton is 40-of-52 passing for 392 yards and four combined touchdowns in victories over the New York Jets and Baltimore Ravens, producing a 106.7 passer rating central to the Patriots' improved play.
A commitment to running the ball -- the Patriots are averaging 173.3 rushing yards over their last three games -- seems to have bolstered the revival, with New England (4-5) cleaved to the ground game Sunday against the Texans (2-7).
"We've certainly tried to adapt our style and what we do from week to week to fit our players the best that we can against the opponent that we're playing, and all credit goes to the players," Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels said. "They've done some good things.
"We have a long way to go. We've got a lot of improvements we can still make but they've really tried to embrace what we've tried to do the last so many weeks. They've really worked hard in practice to improve and collectively we're making some strides."
The Texans continue to search for answers offensively, particularly in the running game. With starting running back David Johnson set to miss a second consecutive game with a concussion, Houston has leaned more on quarterback Deshaun Watson to augment the ground attack.
Watson has amassed 124 rushing yards over the last three games after totaling 109 over the initial six. Watson isn't explicitly running more by design, but the production is surely welcomed.
"A lot of those is just kind of reaction and just kind of making plays happen," Watson said. "It helps the offense to be able to expand what we do, especially open up the run game a little bit. Most of those plays has just been naturally, just kind of pocket collapsing and me just making a play."
Texans left tackle Laremy Tunsil (illness) headlined a host of Texans who missed practice on Wednesday. Running back Duke Johnson (illness), wideout Kenny Stills (back), safety Michael Thomas (shoulder) and punter Bryan Anger (quad) also missed.
For the Patriots, veteran receiver Julian Edelman (knee surgery) and rookie offensive lineman Justin Herron (ankle) are both on the brink of returning to action after having missed the past three games each.
Edelman (21 catches, 315 yards) and Herron, who started against the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos, haven't been cleared, but their progress will be closely monitored.
"Neither player has had a setback," Patriots coach Bill Belichick said Wednesday. "They've both progressed in a positive direction. It's just really a question of whether they're ready or not, and is that today, is it (Thursday), is it next week.
"I'm not sure what the time frame is on that, but I think they're all moving in the right direction and the decisions really on this, before we start the clock, we just want to make sure that they're confident and we're confident that they're ready for participation in the next stage of their return to play."
--Field Level Media
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Houston Texans
Player | Position | Lineup |
---|---|---|
David Andrews | primary: Center | Starter |
Ja'Whaun Bentley | primary: Linebacker | Starter |
Byron Cowart | primary: Defensive Tackle | Starter |
Stephon Gilmore | primary: Right Cornerback | Starter |
Lawrence Guy | primary: Defensive Tackle | Starter |
Damien Harris | primary: Runningback | Starter |
Ryan Izzo | primary: Tight End | Starter |
J.C. Jackson | primary: Left Cornerback | Starter |
Jakob Johnson | primary: Fullback | Starter |
Shaq Mason | primary: Right Guard | Starter |
Devin McCourty | primary: Safety | Starter |
Jakobi Meyers | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
John Simon | primary: Right End | Starter |
Joe Thuney | primary: Left Guard | Starter |
Chase Winovich | primary: Linebacker | Starter |
Deatrich Wise Jr. | primary: Left End | Starter |
Isaiah Wynn | primary: Left Tackle | Starter |
Adrian Phillips | primary: Safety | Starter |
Damiere Byrd | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
Kyle Dugger | primary: Linebacker | Starter |
Mike Onwenu | primary: Right Tackle | Starter |
Cam Newton | primary: Quarterback | Starter |
Jake Bailey | primary: Punter | Substitution |
Justin Bethel | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Terrence Brooks | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Rex Burkhead | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Joe Cardona | primary: Long Snapper | Substitution |
Korey Cunningham | primary: Offensive Linesman | Substitution |
Jermaine Eluemunor | primary: Guard | Substitution |
N'Keal Harry | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Jonathan Jones | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Jason McCourty | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Gunner Olszewski | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Matthew Slater | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
James White | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Joejuan Williams | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Tashawn Bower | primary: Defensive Linesman | Substitution |
Terez Hall | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Cody Davis | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Josh Uche | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Anfernee Jennings | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Nick Folk | primary: Kicker | Substitution |
Carl Davis Jr. | primary: Defensive Linesman | Substitution |
Isaiah Mack | primary: Defensive Tackle | Substitution |
Donte Moncrief | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Jordan Thomas | primary: Tight End | Substitution |
Adam Butler | primary: Defensive Linesman | Not active |
Sony Michel | primary: Runningback | Not active |
Jarrett Stidham | primary: Quarterback | Did not play |
Brian Hoyer | primary: Quarterback | Not active |
Myles Bryant | primary: Defensive Back | Not active |
J.J. Taylor | primary: Runningback | Not active |
James Ferentz | primary: Offensive Linesman | Did not play |
Isaiah Ford | primary: Wide Receiver | Not active |
Player | Position | Lineup |
---|---|---|
Tyrell Adams | primary: Linebacker | Starter |
Zach Cunningham | primary: Linebacker | Starter |
Darren Fells | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Will Fuller V | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
Zach Fulton | primary: Right Guard | Starter |
Tytus Howard | primary: Right Tackle | Starter |
Duke Johnson | primary: Runningback | Starter |
Roderick Johnson | primary: Left Tackle | Starter |
Nick Martin | primary: Center | Starter |
Whitney Mercilus | primary: Linebacker | Starter |
Justin Reid | primary: Safety | Starter |
Bradley Roby | primary: Cornerback | Starter |
Max Scharping | primary: Left Guard | Starter |
Carlos Watkins | primary: Defensive End | Starter |
Deshaun Watson | primary: Quarterback | Starter |
J.J. Watt | primary: Defensive End | Starter |
Brandon Dunn | primary: Defensive Tackle | Starter |
Eric Murray | primary: Safety | Starter |
Vernon Hargreaves III | primary: Cornerback | Starter |
Brandin Cooks | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
P.J. Hall | primary: Defensive Tackle | Starter |
Pharaoh Brown | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Jordan Akins | primary: Tight End | Substitution |
Bryan Anger | primary: Punter | Substitution |
Cornell Armstrong | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Keke Coutee | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Keion Crossen | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Ka'imi Fairbairn | primary: Kicker | Substitution |
Phillip Gaines | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Buddy Howell | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Lonnie Johnson Jr. | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Peter Kalambayi | primary: Inside Linebacker | Substitution |
Greg Mancz | primary: Offensive Guard | Substitution |
Jacob Martin | primary: Defensive End | Substitution |
A.J. Moore Jr. | primary: Safety | Substitution |
Charles Omenihu | primary: Defensive End | Substitution |
Kenny Stills | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Jon Weeks | primary: Long Snapper | Substitution |
Nate Hall | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Brent Qvale | primary: Guard | Substitution |
Randall Cobb | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Ross Blacklock | primary: Defensive Tackle | Substitution |
Jonathan Greenard | primary: Outside Linebacker | Substitution |
Charlie Heck | primary: Offensive Tackle | Substitution |
John Reid | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Scottie Phillips | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
C.J. Prosise | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Cullen Gillaspia | primary: Fullback | Not active |
Senio Kelemete | primary: Guard | Not active |
AJ McCarron | primary: Quarterback | Did not play |
Laremy Tunsil | primary: Offensive Tackle | Not active |
Isaiah Coulter | primary: Wide Receiver | Not active |
Josh McCown | primary: Quarterback | Not active |
Nate Orchard | primary: Linebacker | Not active |
New England Patriots
Houston Texans
- Match Start
- Period 1
- MIN 3
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Pass
- 3 Yards
- Conv Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
- Pass Receiver: Randall Cobb
- Passer: Deshaun Watson
- MIN 6
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Rush
- 9 Yards
- Rusher: Damien Harris
- Conv Kicker: Nick Folk
- Period 2
- MIN 0
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Pass
- 6 Yards
- Pass Receiver: Keke Coutee
- Passer: Deshaun Watson
- Conv Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
- MIN 3
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Rush
- 4 Yards
- Rusher: Deshaun Watson
- Conv Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
- MIN 8
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 45 Yards
- FG Kicker: Nick Folk
- Period 3
- MIN 2
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 36 Yards
- FG Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
- MIN 8
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Pass
- 42 Yards
- Passer: Cam Newton
- Pass Receiver: Damiere Byrd
- Conv Kicker: Nick Folk
- Period 4
- MIN 4
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 46 Yards
- FG Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
- MIN 7
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 36 Yards
- FG Kicker: Nick Folk
- Match End
GAMES
Last 10
- N.Y. Jets W 14 - 28
- Buffalo L 38 - 9
- @Miami L 12 - 22
- @L.A. Rams L 3 - 24
- @L.A. Chargers W 45 - 0
- Arizona W 17 - 20
- @Houston L 20 - 27
- Baltimore W 17 - 23
- @N.Y. Jets W 30 - 27
- @Buffalo L 21 - 24
- Tennessee L 41 - 38
- Cincinnati L 37 - 31
- @Indianapolis L 20 - 27
- @Chicago L 7 - 36
- Indianapolis L 26 - 20
- @Detroit W 41 - 25
- New England W 20 - 27
- @Cleveland L 7 - 10
- @Jacksonville W 27 - 25
- Green Bay L 35 - 20
Last Meetings
American Football Conference
AFC East | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buffalo Bills | 13 | 3 | 0 | .813 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 9-0-1 |
Miami Dolphins | 10 | 6 | 0 | .625 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
New England Patriots | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 2-6 | 5-0-5 |
New York Jets | 2 | 14 | 0 | .125 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-0-8 |
AFC North | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Steelers | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 6-0-4 |
Baltimore Ravens | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 6-0-4 |
Cleveland Browns | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 11 | 1 | .267 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 1-6 | 3-1-7 |
AFC South | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indianapolis Colts | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
Tennessee Titans | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 6-0-4 |
Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | .250 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-0-7 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 0 | .063 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 0-8 | 1-0-10 |
AFC West | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | 14 | 2 | 0 | .875 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 8-0 | 9-0-1 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 6-2 | 5-0-5 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 5-0-5 |
Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | .313 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3-0-7 |
National Football Conference
NFC East | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Football Team | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6-0-4 |
New York Giants | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5-0-5 |
Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4-4 | 2-6 | 4-0-6 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11 | 1 | .267 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 3-1-7 |
NFC North | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | 13 | 3 | 0 | .813 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 8-0-2 |
Chicago Bears | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 3-0-7 |
Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6-0-4 |
Detroit Lions | 5 | 11 | 0 | .313 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2-0-8 |
NFC South | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Orleans Saints | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 8-0-2 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 7-0-3 |
Carolina Panthers | 5 | 11 | 0 | .313 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-0-8 |
Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 12 | 0 | .250 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-0-7 |
NFC West | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
Los Angeles Rams | 10 | 6 | 0 | .625 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 6-0-4 |
Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 4-0-6 |
San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 5-3 | 3-0-7 |
Last Injuries
Trends
Houston Trends
- TrendOver is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.Hit %80.00% (5)O/U4|1Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 10-3 in Texans last 13 games as a home favorite.Hit %76.90% (13)O/U3|10Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 10-2 in Texans last 12 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.Hit %83.30% (12)O/U2|10Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 9-4 in Texans last 13 games as a favorite.Hit %69.20% (13)O/U4|9Push0W/L
New England Trends
- TrendOver is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.Hit %80.00% (5)O/U4|1Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.Hit %80.00% (5)O/U1|4Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 16-7 in Patriots last 23 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.Hit %69.60% (23)O/U16|7Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as a road favorite.Hit %80.00% (5)O/U4|1Push0W/L
Meetings Trends
- TrendOver is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.Hit %80.00% (5)O/U4|1Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Hit %75.00% (12)O/U9|3Push0W/L
- TrendPatriots are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.Hit %70.00% (11)O/UPush1W/L7|3
- TrendPatriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston.Hit %25.00% (5)O/UPush1W/L1|3