football | NFL

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Pick & Prediction JAN 3TH 2021

FinishedTV: CBSSports Authority Field at Mile High Denver

129Las Vegas Raiders
130Denver Broncos

OP
51
-2
CU
51o -110
2.5 +104
ML
-145
125
Partials
1 2 3 4
3 14 0 15
10 0 6 15
Score
32
31
Recap

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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Recap JAN 3TH 2021

Rookie Drew Lock threw a touchdown pass and host Denver withstood a two-point conversion attempt with seven seconds remaining to defeat Oakland 16-15 in the season finale for both teams.

The loss brought an official end to the Raiders' tenure in Oakland as they prepare to move to Las Vegas for next season. Though they finished with a 7-9 record, they began the day with a long-shot chance to claim the last AFC wild-card spot.

Lock completed 17 of 28 for 177 yards and improved to 4-1 as a starter. Oakland's Derek Carr completed 29 of 46 for 391 yards and a 3-yard touchdown to Hunter Renfrow with seven seconds left.

The Raiders then went for two points, but Carr's pass to Renfrow was incomplete and the Broncos (7-9) recovered the ensuing onside kick.

The Raiders were eliminated by then, however, as Tennessee had defeated Houston to claim the final spot while Oakland was still playing.

Denver led 10-3 at halftime and Brandon McManus' 49-yard field goal increased the lead to 13-3 at the end of the third quarter.

He added a 51-yarder early in the fourth quarter before Daniel Carlson's 33-yard field goal cut the lead to 16-6 with 9:03 remaining. Carlson kicked a 28-yarder with 3:09 left and Carr drove the Raiders 53 yards in eight plays for the chance to tie or win.

After a scoreless first quarter, Carlson made a 23-yard field goal early in the second quarter.

The Broncos tied the score midway through the period when McManus kicked a 43-yard field goal.

Oakland missed an opportunity to regain the lead on the ensuing drive, though it appeared it had when Carr hit Renfrow on third-and-goal from the 5 and the play was ruled a touchdown. But the replay official ruled Renfrow did not break the plane and the ball was placed on the 1-yard-line. On fourth-and-1, Von Miller stopped Alec Ingold for no gain.

Lock threw a 1-yard touchdown pass to Andrew Beck with 28 seconds left in the first half to give Denver its halftime lead.

--Field Level Media

Now that 2020 is ending without a postseason for the Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos, the teams are looking toward 2021 already.

First, they have to wrap up this schedule and start making decisions for the next one, and that will happen when Las Vegas plays at Denver on Sunday afternoon.

NFL Week 17 Moneyline Odds

For the Raiders (7-8), their first year in their new home was marked by missed opportunities that cost them a chance to get in the expanded playoff field. Las Vegas is the only team to beat the Kansas City Chiefs this season, but a flat performance against Atlanta and last-second losses to the Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins turned what could have been an 11-win season into a mediocre one.

Despite the tough losses, there is a silver lining. Tight end Darren Waller is on the verge of 100 receptions; his 98 catches (for 1,079 yards and eight touchdowns) are just seven shy of Tim Brown's franchise record and earned him a Pro Bowl selection.

Running back Josh Jacobs is 24 yards from a second straight 1,000-yard rushing season and was also named to the Pro Bowl.

"Oh, they're great," Raiders coach Jon Gruden said of the duo. "(Waller's) a man that's on the verge of potentially breaking Tim Brown's record, one I thought never would be broken. And Josh Jacobs, those are two great building blocks."

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Waller, Jacobs and the rest of the Las Vegas offense could have a big day against Denver's banged-up defense. Linebacker Bradley Chubb, who was also named to the Pro Bowl, has an ankle injury that kept him out of last week's loss at the Chargers.

Defensive end Shelby Harris (knee) and safety Trey Marshall (quadriceps) are also nursing injuries. Wide receiver KJ Hamler is in the concussion protocol.

The Raiders listed several players on their injury report -- tackle Trent Brown (knee), defensive end Clelin Ferrell (shoulder), guard Denzelle Good (ankle), defensive tackle Maurice Hurst (calf) and cornerback Lamarcus Joyner (thigh).

Denver (5-10) failed to reach the postseason for the fifth straight year, matching the drought from 2006-10. The Broncos hoped to see quarterback Drew Lock make a big leap after he had an impressive ending to 2019, but the second-year QB out of Missouri has struggled.

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Lock has thrown 15 interceptions and has at least one turnover in 11 straight games, but he hasn't lost confidence in himself and embraces the pressure of being a franchise quarterback.

"You feel that from Day 1 when you're playing quarterback for any team," Lock said Wednesday. "It's a given pressure that is put on you, but it's one that I'm excited about. It's one that I'm going to carry with me into the offseason, so I can have an offseason unlike any other.

"The only thing I need to prove is that we can win a game with me under center. That's what every quarterback has to prove -- take care of the ball, put us in a good position to win the game and finish it out with a win. That's all I want to do, and that's all I care to do. However that needs to happen and however it does happen, I'm going to do everything I can to get us that."

--Field Level Media

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Las Vegas Raiders

Denver Broncos

Player Position Lineup
Johnathan Abram primary: Strong Safety Starter
Derek Carr primary: Quarterback Starter
Maxx Crosby primary: Defensive End Starter
Johnathan Hankins primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
Rodney Hudson primary: Center Starter
Gabe Jackson primary: Right Guard Starter
Josh Jacobs primary: Runningback Starter
Nevin Lawson primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Kolton Miller primary: Left Tackle Starter
Nicholas Morrow primary: Strong Linebacker Starter
Trayvon Mullen primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Darren Waller primary: Tight End Starter
Nelson Agholor primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Cory Littleton primary: Weak Linebacker Starter
Jason Witten primary: Tight End Starter
Jeff Heath primary: Free Safety Starter
Carl Nassib primary: Defensive End Starter
Maliek Collins primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
Henry Ruggs III primary: Wide Receiver Starter
John Simpson primary: Left Guard Starter
Sam Young primary: Right Tackle Starter
Raekwon McMillan primary: Middle Linebacker Starter
Daniel Carlson primary: Kicker Substitution
Derek Carrier primary: Tight End Substitution
AJ Cole primary: Punter Substitution
Alec Ingold primary: Fullback Substitution
Andre James primary: Offensive Linesman Substitution
Zay Jones primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Lamarcus Joyner primary: Safety Substitution
Arden Key primary: Defensive End Substitution
Dallin Leavitt primary: Safety Substitution
Foster Moreau primary: Tight End Substitution
Keisean Nixon primary: Cornerback Substitution
Brandon Parker primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
Hunter Renfrow primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Kyle Wilber primary: Linebacker Substitution
Kendal Vickers primary: Defensive End Substitution
Erik Magnuson primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
Trent Sieg primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Damon Arnette primary: Cornerback Substitution
Bryan Edwards primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Devontae Booker primary: Runningback Substitution
Theo Riddick primary: Runningback Substitution
Chris Smith primary: Defensive End Substitution
James Onwualu primary: Linebacker Substitution
Vic Beasley Jr. primary: Defensive End Substitution
Daryl Worley primary: Defensive Back Substitution
Trent Brown primary: Offensive Tackle Not active
Denzelle Good primary: Guard Not active
Erik Harris primary: Defensive Back Not active
Maurice Hurst primary: Defensive Tackle Not active
Isaiah Johnson primary: Cornerback Not active
Nathan Peterman primary: Quarterback Not active
Marcus Mariota primary: Quarterback Did not play
Amik Robertson primary: Cornerback Not active
Player PositionLineup
Garett Bolles primary: Left Tackle Starter
Noah Fant primary: Tight End Starter
Kareem Jackson primary: Strong Safety Starter
Josey Jewell primary: Inside Linebacker Starter
Alexander Johnson primary: Inside Linebacker Starter
Dre'Mont Jones primary: Defensive End Starter
Drew Lock primary: Quarterback Starter
Tim Patrick primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Malik Reed primary: Strong Linebacker Starter
Dalton Risner primary: Left Guard Starter
Justin Simmons primary: Free Safety Starter
DeMarcus Walker primary: Defensive End Starter
Elijah Wilkinson primary: Right Tackle Starter
Graham Glasgow primary: Right Guard Starter
Melvin Gordon III primary: Runningback Starter
Jeremiah Attaochu primary: Weak Linebacker Starter
Nick Vannett primary: Tight End Starter
Jerry Jeudy primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Michael Ojemudia primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Lloyd Cushenberry III primary: Center Starter
DeShawn Williams primary: Nose Tackle Starter
Parnell Motley primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Calvin Anderson primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
De'Vante Bausby primary: Cornerback Substitution
Andrew Beck primary: Fullback Substitution
Royce Freeman primary: Runningback Substitution
Troy Fumagalli primary: Tight End Substitution
DaeSean Hamilton primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Alijah Holder primary: Safety Substitution
Joe Jones primary: Inside Linebacker Substitution
Brandon McManus primary: Kicker Substitution
Diontae Spencer primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Josh Watson primary: Linebacker Substitution
P.J. Locke primary: Safety Substitution
Jacob Bobenmoyer primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Sam Martin primary: Punter Substitution
Austin Schlottmann primary: Guard Substitution
McTelvin Agim primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Netane Muti primary: Guard Substitution
Tyrie Cleveland primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Derrek Tuszka primary: Linebacker Substitution
LeVante Bellamy primary: Runningback Substitution
Austin Calitro primary: Inside Linebacker Substitution
Sylvester Williams primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Will Parks primary: Safety Substitution
Nate Hairston primary: Cornerback Substitution
Jake Butt primary: Tight End Did not play
Bradley Chubb primary: Outside Linebacker Not active
Trey Marshall primary: Safety Not active
Brett Rypien primary: Quarterback Did not play
Jeff Driskel primary: Quarterback Not active
Demar Dotson primary: Offensive Tackle Not active
Anthony Chickillo primary: Outside Linebacker Not active

Las Vegas Raiders

Denver Broncos

  • Match Start
  • Period 1
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 1 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Brandon McManus
    • Passer: Drew Lock
    • Pass Receiver: Troy Fumagalli
  • MIN 4
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 33 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Daniel Carlson
  • MIN 9
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 22 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Brandon McManus
  • Period 2
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 26 Yards
    • Passer: Derek Carr
    • Pass Receiver: Bryan Edwards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Carlson
  • MIN 11
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 28 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Darren Waller
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Carlson
    • Passer: Derek Carr
  • Period 3
  • MIN 3
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 26 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Brandon McManus
  • MIN 11
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 37 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Brandon McManus
  • Period 4
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 1 Yards
    • Conv Receiver: Darren Waller
    • Rusher: Josh Jacobs
    • Conv Passer: Derek Carr
  • MIN 6
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 92 Yards
    • Passer: Drew Lock
    • Pass Receiver: Jerry Jeudy
    • Conv Kicker: Brandon McManus
  • MIN 7
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 28 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Carlson
    • Rusher: Josh Jacobs
  • MIN 14
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 10 Yards
    • Conv Receiver: Jerry Jeudy
    • Rusher: Melvin Gordon III
    • Conv Passer: Drew Lock
  • Match End

GAMES

Last 10

W 50% L 50%
5 5
  • @Denver W 32 - 31
  • Miami L 26 - 25
  • L.A. Chargers L 30 - 27
  • Indianapolis L 44 - 27
  • @N.Y. Jets W 31 - 28
  • @Atlanta L 6 - 43
  • Kansas City L 35 - 31
  • Denver W 12 - 37
  • @L.A. Chargers W 31 - 26
  • @Cleveland W 16 - 6
W 30% L 70%
3 7
  • Las Vegas L 32 - 31
  • @L.A. Chargers L 16 - 19
  • Buffalo L 48 - 19
  • @Carolina W 32 - 27
  • @Kansas City L 16 - 22
  • New Orleans L 31 - 3
  • Miami W 13 - 20
  • @Las Vegas L 12 - 37
  • @Atlanta L 27 - 34
  • L.A. Chargers W 30 - 31

Last Meetings

  • Raiders @ Broncos 32-31
  • Broncos @ Raiders 12-37
  • Raiders @ Broncos 15-16
  • Broncos @ Raiders 16-24
  • Broncos @ Raiders 14-27
  • Raiders @ Broncos 19-20
  • Broncos @ Raiders 14-21
  • Raiders @ Broncos 10-16
  • Raiders @ Broncos 6-24
  • Broncos @ Raiders 20-30

American Football Conference

AFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bills133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-29-0-1
Miami Dolphins106 0.6253.00.00.0 5-35-37-0-3
New England Patriots79 0.4386.00.00.0 5-32-65-0-5
New York Jets214 0.12511.00.00.0 1-71-72-0-8
AFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Pittsburgh Steelers124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-36-0-4
Baltimore Ravens115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Cleveland Browns115 0.6881.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Cincinnati Bengals411 1.2677.50.00.0 3-51-63-1-7
AFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Indianapolis Colts115 0.6880.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Tennessee Titans115 0.6880.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Houston Texans412 0.2507.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
Jacksonville Jaguars115 0.06310.00.00.0 1-70-81-0-10
AFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Kansas City Chiefs142 0.8750.00.00.0 6-28-09-0-1
Las Vegas Raiders88 0.5006.00.00.0 2-66-25-0-5
Los Angeles Chargers79 0.4387.00.00.0 4-43-55-0-5
Denver Broncos511 0.3139.00.00.0 2-63-53-0-7

National Football Conference

NFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Washington Football Team79 0.4380.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
New York Giants610 0.3751.00.00.0 3-53-55-0-5
Dallas Cowboys610 0.3751.00.00.0 4-42-64-0-6
Philadelphia Eagles411 1.2672.50.00.0 3-41-73-1-7
NFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Green Bay Packers133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-28-0-2
Chicago Bears88 0.5005.00.00.0 3-55-33-0-7
Minnesota Vikings79 0.4386.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
Detroit Lions511 0.3138.00.00.0 1-74-42-0-8
NFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
New Orleans Saints124 0.7500.00.00.0 6-26-28-0-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-27-0-3
Carolina Panthers511 0.3137.00.00.0 2-63-52-0-8
Atlanta Falcons412 0.2508.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
NFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Seattle Seahawks124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-37-0-3
Los Angeles Rams106 0.6252.00.00.0 6-24-46-0-4
Arizona Cardinals88 0.5004.00.00.0 4-44-44-0-6
San Francisco 49ers610 0.3756.00.00.0 1-75-33-0-7

Last Injuries

Trends

Denver Trends

  • Trend
    Under is 8-2 in Broncos last 10 games as a favorite.
    Hit %
    80.00% (10)
    O/U
    2|8
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 9-2-1 in Broncos last 12 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
    Hit %
    81.80% (12)
    O/U
    9|2
    Push
    1
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 11-5 in Broncos last 16 games as a home underdog.
    Hit %
    68.80% (16)
    O/U
    5|11
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games as an underdog.
    Hit %
    71.40% (7)
    O/U
    2|5
    Push
    0
    W/L

Las Vegas Trends

  • Trend
    Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
    Hit %
    71.40% (7)
    O/U
    9|2
    Push
    1
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games as a road underdog.
    Hit %
    71.40% (7)
    O/U
    2|5
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 7-1-1 in Raiders last 9 games as an underdog.
    Hit %
    87.50% (9)
    O/U
    2|5
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Over is 4-1-1 in Raiders last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
    Hit %
    80.00% (6)
    O/U
    4|9
    Push
    0
    W/L

Meetings Trends

  • Trend
    Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
    Hit %
    90.90% (11)
    O/U
    1|10
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
    Hit %
    100.00% (5)
    O/U
    0|5
    Push
    0
    W/L
  • Trend
    Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
    Hit %
    100.00% (6)
    O/U
    Push
    0
    W/L
    6|0
  • Trend
    Raiders are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Denver.
    Hit %
    69.20% (14)
    O/U
    Push
    1
    W/L
    9|4