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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide face the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. No. 3 Georgia seeks revenge after losing to Alabama earlier this season, while No. 9 Alabama looks to complete the sweep and secure a CFP berth. Bettors must weigh Georgia’s improved form against Alabama’s balanced offense led by Ty Simpson.
Line Movement and Odds
- Georgia MoneyLine: -137
- Alabama MoneyLine: +114
- Georgia Spread: -2.5 (-115)
- Alabama Spread: +2.5 (-106)
- Total Over 47.5 (-112)
- Total Under 47.5 (-108)
Georgia opened as slight favorites. See full NCAAF odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Georgia Bulldogs Outlook
Georgia has won eight straight since its Week 5 loss to Alabama. Quarterback Gunner Stockton has thrown for 2,535 yards and 20 touchdowns, adding 403 rushing yards and eight scores. Nate Frazier leads the ground game with 809 rushing yards. Defensively, Georgia has allowed just 200 points this season, with 16 sacks and 8 interceptions. Their balance on both sides of the ball makes them dangerous.
Alabama Crimson Tide Outlook
Alabama secured its spot in Atlanta with a 27-20 win over Auburn. Ty Simpson leads the offense with 3,056 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. The Crimson Tide rank 17th nationally in passing yards and 5th in fumbles recovered defensively. Germie Bernard provides reliable receiving production, while the rushing attack adds balance. Alabama’s ability to play clean football and force turnovers is key.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Georgia’s rushing attack vs Alabama’s passing game. The Bulldogs must rely on Stockton and Frazier to control tempo, while Alabama needs Simpson to exploit Georgia’s secondary. Defensive pressure and turnover margin will be decisive.
Injuries / Availability
Georgia: Drew Bobo (OL), Kyron Jones (DB), Ondre Evans (DB), Ethan Barbour (TE), Talyn Taylor (WR) are questionable. Colbie Young (WR) and Jordan Hall (DL) are out. Chauncey Bowens (RB) is probable.
Alabama: Jah-Marien Latham (LB), Josh Cuevas (TE), Jam Miller (RB), Danny Lewis Jr. (TE), Kameron Howard (DB), Dre Kirkpatrick Jr. (DB), Kevin Riley (RB), Abduall Sanders Jr. (LB) are questionable. Jeremiah Beaman (DL) is out.
Betting Trends
- Georgia is 26-4 straight up in all games from 2023 to 2025.
- Georgia is 26-4 straight up as a favorite from 2023 to 2025.
- Alabama is 28-2 straight up in home games from 2021 to 2025.
- Alabama is 4-0 ATS as an underdog from 2021 to 2025.
- Alabama is 15-3 ATS in home games from 2023 to 2025.
- Alabama is 8-1 ATS in games with totals ≥ 50 from 2024 to 2025.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Georgia 24, Alabama 21
- Georgia -2.5 (-115) → Best Bet. Bulldogs’ consistency as favorites and improved form suggest they cover.
- Under 47.5 (-108) → Total. Our model projects 45 points, leaning under given both defenses’ strength.
Georgia’s balanced attack and defensive resilience should secure the win, while Alabama’s offense keeps it close. Expect a tight, lower-scoring contest trending under the total.
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