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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders look to stay undefeated as they travel to face the Arizona State Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. This Big 12 matchup kicks off Saturday, October 18, 2025, at 4:00 PM ET on FOX.
Texas Tech enters at 6-0, ranked No. 7 nationally, and remains one of the most dominant teams in college football. Arizona State, sitting at 4-2, returns home after a tough road loss and seeks to defend its unbeaten home record.
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Texas Tech’s Perfect Run
Texas Tech continues to be a powerhouse in the Big 12, with an explosive offense and an unrelenting defense. The Red Raiders are the only FBS team that has not trailed in a game this season and lead the nation with a 35.3 average margin of victory.
Quarterback Behren Morton has been efficient and productive, completing 104 of 152 passes for 1,501 yards and 13 touchdowns. Despite dealing with a shin injury, he’s shown command of the offense, which ranks second nationally in points per game at 47.5.
If Morton is limited, backup Will Hammond offers mobility and depth, adding over 400 passing yards and 231 rushing yards this season. Running back Cameron Dickey, fresh off a 263-yard performance against Kansas, has quickly become a breakout star with 591 rushing yards and eight touchdowns.
Defensively, Texas Tech ranks inside the top 10 nationally in both sacks (21) and turnovers forced. The Red Raiders’ balance on both sides of the ball has made them one of the most complete teams in the nation.
For updated Big 12 lines and totals, check the college football odds page.
Arizona State Aiming for Redemption
The Arizona State Sun Devils will look to recover from a 42-10 loss at Utah, their worst performance of the year. That defeat exposed their run defense, which gave up 276 yards on the ground.
Quarterback Sam Leavitt missed that game due to injury, and his status remains uncertain. If he returns, Arizona State’s offense gets a significant boost. Leavitt has thrown for 1,039 yards and eight touchdowns this season, showcasing accuracy and composure under pressure.
Running back Raleek Brown has been the focal point of the Sun Devils’ offense, rushing for 573 yards and five touchdowns. Wide receiver Jordyn Tyson continues to be a consistent target with his ability to stretch the field.
Defensively, Arizona State remains dangerous despite last week’s result. They rank fifth nationally in interceptions and fourth in fumbles recovered. Their ability to create turnovers can swing momentum at home, where they have won ten straight games.
Stay up to date with other Big 12 matchups on the college football picks section.
Line Movement and Odds
Current Odds:
- Texas Tech -11.5 (-111)
- Arizona State +11.5 (-109)
- Total: 48.5 (Over -113 / Under -107)
Texas Tech is 8-0 straight-up in its last eight games and 6-0 against the spread in its last six road contests. Arizona State, meanwhile, has covered four straight spreads after a loss and remains 10-0 straight-up at home.
Matchup Breakdown
Texas Tech Red Raiders Outlook
Texas Tech thrives on balance and physicality. The Red Raiders rank second nationally in scoring and top 15 in both rushing and passing efficiency. Morton’s quick reads and Dickey’s downhill power running create constant mismatches.
The defense, led by an aggressive front, is built to control tempo. Texas Tech has limited opponents to under 20 points per game while forcing multiple turnovers in four straight matchups.
Arizona State Sun Devils Outlook
Arizona State’s offense has shown flashes of explosiveness when healthy. If Leavitt returns, expect a more dynamic passing attack complemented by Brown’s ground production. The key will be protecting the quarterback — Texas Tech’s defensive front will test the Sun Devils’ offensive line all afternoon.
Defensively, the Sun Devils must find a way to contain Dickey and pressure Morton early. Their secondary, anchored by safety Xavion Alford, has the talent to create turnovers if the pass rush can disrupt timing.
Key Edge
The Red Raiders’ ability to control games from start to finish sets them apart. Arizona State’s home field and opportunistic defense make them dangerous, but Texas Tech’s depth and efficiency give them the edge. If the Sun Devils can’t establish the run early, their defense will spend too much time on the field.
Betting Trends
- Texas Tech is 8-0 straight-up in its last eight games.
- Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games.
- Arizona State is 10-0 straight-up in its last 10 home games.
- Arizona State is 4-0 ATS after a loss in its last four.
- The total has gone over in 12 of Texas Tech’s last 19 games with totals of 50 or more.
Best Bets and Prediction
Texas Tech’s combination of offensive firepower and defensive pressure makes them a tough opponent for any team. Arizona State’s home crowd and turnover defense could keep it competitive early, but the Red Raiders’ consistency should prevail.
Projected Score: Texas Tech 35, Arizona State 20
Best Bet: Texas Tech -11.5
Secondary Lean: Over 48.5
Explore more Big 12 previews and predictions on ScoresAndStats.com.
