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Arizona State vs West Virginia Week 12 Betting Preview
Arizona State and West Virginia bring similar identities into Saturday’s matchup in Tempe. Both want to run downhill and make you feel it. Arizona State enters at 6-3, 4-2 in the Big 12 and is strong at home, winning four of five. The Sun Devils come off a bye after a 24-19 win at Iowa State where Jeff Sims ran for 235 yards and two touchdowns and Raleek Brown added 70 more.
Coach Kenny Dillingham said running the ball and stopping the run is the formula. Arizona State will try to apply that again against a West Virginia team that has started to find an identity. The Mountaineers have won two straight and beat Colorado 29-22 behind freshman quarterback Scotty Fox Jr., who totaled 274 yards of offense.
West Virginia leaned even harder into the ground game last week. They ran 53 times for 213 yards and used linebacker Curtis Jones Jr. as a short-yardage back. He scored twice on three carries. WVU has outrushed opponents 459-208 during its two-game win streak.
For more matchups like this, you can browse the full slate on our NCAA football previews
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Line Movement and Odds
Arizona State opened around a 9.5-point favorite. The market pushed the number toward −11.5, signaling early sharp support for the Sun Devils.
Moneyline range: ASU around −425, WVU around +330.
Total opened near 48 and has held around that number. For updated movement and real-time numbers, check the NCAA football odds board
The early push toward ASU suggests sharper money leaning to the home team. Public splits are more balanced.
Matchup Breakdown
Arizona State outlook
The Sun Devils want to run early and often. Sims gives them a second running back in the backfield, and Arizona State used that to control Iowa State. Their defense is inconsistent against the pass but has held up well against physical run teams. Sustaining drives and staying ahead of the chains is the formula again.
West Virginia outlook
West Virginia’s improvement lines up directly with its run volume. Fox Jr. gives them mobility and Jones Jr. gives them a bruising package near the goal line. The concern is whether WVU can throw enough to prevent Arizona State from stacking the box. Their offensive line has been strong in the last two weeks but faces a more aggressive front here.
If you’re tracking both program trends across the season, visit their team pages inside the NCAA football team directory
Injuries and Conditions
Arizona State
- S Xavion Alford, out for season.
- DL Prince Dorbah, expected to return.
- LB Tate Romney, expected to return.
See the full Arizona State injury report on their team page
West Virginia
- RB depth remains thin.
- LB/RB Curtis Jones Jr., active and expected to handle short-yardage work.
See the full West Virginia injury report on their team page
Best Bets and Prediction
ATS angle: Arizona State’s rushing advantage matches up well against a WVU defense that struggles against mobile quarterbacks. West Virginia’s recent run surge is real, but their lack of passing consistency makes them vulnerable when trailing.
Projected score: Arizona State 31, West Virginia 20
Best Bet: Arizona State −11.5
Secondary Lean: Under 48
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