Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Predictions September 20th 2025

Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils September 20th 2025

In Week 4 of the 2025 regular season, the Arizona State Sun Devils will travel to Waco, TX, to take on the Baylor Bears. The game will be held at McLane Stadium, an outdoor field, and is set for a night kickoff at 7:30 PM. Fans can catch the action live on FOX.

Bet Smarter

First Month of Expert Plays Just $9!

Get Free Trial

Both teams enter the game with a 2-1 record this season. The Sun Devils have been strong at home but have yet to win on the road. Meanwhile, the Bears have split their games at home and won their only road game. Both teams are part of the Big 12 conference, and this game will be their first conference matchup of the season.

Arizona State vs Baylor CFB Key Information

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears
• Venue: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX
• Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
• Betting Odds: Arizona State +109, Baylor -129

Baylor, Arizona State collide in Big 12 opener

Baylor begins its home conference schedule Saturday night when the Baylor Bears host the Arizona State Sun Devils in Waco, Texas. Both programs enter at 2-1, each boasting a balanced attack and recent victories. With Arizona State seeking to return to the Top 25 and Baylor aiming to build on last year’s strong finish, this matchup sets the tone for Big 12 play and offers intriguing angles for college football picks.

Betting Odds and Trends

The Arizona State Sun Devils Can Win If…

The Arizona State Sun Devils come into this matchup with momentum from their recent 34-15 win over Texas State. The Sun Devils leaned on their rushing attack, piling up 252 yards on the ground while avoiding turnovers. If they replicate that formula in Waco, they’ll control the clock and reduce Baylor’s offensive opportunities.

Arizona State’s offense ranks 15th nationally in rushing yards (706). Defensively, they’ve been disruptive, ranking 4th in sacks and fumbles recovered, forcing opponents into hurried decisions. That blend of ground control and defensive aggression is their blueprint for a road upset.

Quarterback Sam Leavitt (527 passing yards, five touchdowns) and running back Raleek Brown (292 rushing yards, 8.3 yards per carry) are the focal points. Wideout Jordyn Tyson has emerged as the go-to target, already posting 314 yards and four touchdowns. If those playmakers execute, Arizona State has the tools to steal a win.

The Baylor Bears Can Win If…

The Baylor Bears enter off a dominant 42-7 win over Samford. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has been electric, throwing for 1,070 yards and 10 touchdowns through three games. His ability to lead quick strikes was evident when Baylor erased a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit against SMU with two late scoring drives.

Baylor ranks 4th in passing yards (1,104) and 6th in first downs (84). Their balance is anchored by running back Bryson Washington, who has 304 rushing yards and four touchdowns. With receivers Josh Cameron and Kobe Prentice combining for seven touchdowns, Robertson has multiple reliable weapons.

Defensively, Baylor has been opportunistic. They rank top 10 in both interceptions (four) and sacks (five), allowing them to pressure quarterbacks and flip field position. If the Bears generate turnovers and keep Robertson upright, their offense will dictate the tempo.

The Lean

Oddsmakers have Baylor favored at -2.5 at home, a number reflecting their offensive firepower and recent dominance. Arizona State, meanwhile, has shown resilience but remains inconsistent against upper-tier competition. The model projects a 31-27 Baylor victory, suggesting they will cover the spread.

For totals bettors, the line sits at 59.5. Both offenses are capable of explosive plays, and with Baylor ranking top five in passing yards and Arizona State showing balance on the ground, the over holds value. The projection of 58 points is tight, but the offensive upside tips the lean toward the over.

Game Preview Recap

This is the first meeting between these programs since 1990, when Arizona State claimed a nonconference win in Tempe. Now, the Sun Devils travel to Waco for the Big 12 opener against a Baylor team eager to defend its home turf.

Robertson has quickly established himself as one of the league’s premier quarterbacks, and Washington’s back-to-back 100-yard rushing games add a physical edge to Baylor’s offense. Coach Dave Aranda praised the team’s adaptability this week, noting, “When guys are playing well, you want to feature the stuff that’s going good. That’s what’s happening right now.”

Arizona State, ranked No. 11 to start the season, slipped after a Week 2 loss to Mississippi State but bounced back against Texas State. Leavitt’s chemistry with Tyson gives them an explosive passing element, while Brown’s efficiency in the backfield provides balance. Coach Kenny Dillingham highlighted the team’s creativity, saying, “We’re a really creative team that plays within the system.”

The defensive battle will be critical. Arizona State’s front has excelled at generating pressure, while Baylor’s secondary has shown an ability to capitalize on mistakes. The turnover battle could ultimately decide the winner.

Recent Matchups

With both teams eyeing conference momentum, this clash promises fireworks. Bettors tracking scores and odds should circle it as a key Week 4 matchup, while insights from the NFL betting guide highlight how to approach games with offensive balance and turnover-heavy defenses.