Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Pick & Prediction NOVEMBER 25th 2022

Stadium: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium Austin
Logo Baylor Bears
Logo Texas Longhorns

56o -110
-10 -105



It’s rivalry week in Austin, Texas, as the Baylor Bears visit the Texas Longhorns. These two teams will be on the outside of a Big 12 championship this season, but they have a ton of positives they can build on as they finish their regular seasons in week 13.

Fans at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium will be bringing the noise for the upcoming senior game for the Longhorns. This game will not be a throwaway match-up for either of these schools, as they are both trying to fight to move up the ladder to get into a bigger bowl game for the postseason. Kick-off for this Big 12 finale is scheduled for 12 pm ET.

Baylor vs. Texas Odds


MONEY LINE: Baylor (+270) vs. Texas (-345)

SPREAD: Baylor +8.5 (-110) vs. Texas -8.5 (-110)

GAME TOTAL: Over 56 (-110) vs. Under 56 (-110)

Baylor vs. Texas Preview, Stats and Trends

The Baylor Bears currently have a 6-5 record, which puts them in fourth place in the Big 12 conference. The season may have looked a lot different for Baylor, but they have lost their last two games. Their week 12 defeat by TCU was a heartbreaker that ended with TCU hitting a game-winning field goal as time expired. The last thing the Bears want is to end their regular season on a three-game losing streak.

If Baylor is going to avoid losing in week 13, they will look to their quarterback Blake Shapen to lead their offense. Shapen has 2423 yards passing with 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Ball security has been an issue with Shapen all season long. If he can manage the football efficiently, Baylor could find themselves with a win to end the regular season.

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The Texas Longhorns are currently third in the Big 12 with a 7-4 record overall. They are coming off of a dominating road victory over Kansas in week 12. They are good at wearing their opposition down throughout the four quarters with their rushing attack.

Texas’ rushing game is led by their running back, Bijan Robinson. Robinson has 1401 with 16 touchdowns on the season. Expect the Longhorns to use Robinson to control the tempo and wear down Baylor’s offense throughout the contest to get a win in their regular season home finale.

Baylor vs. Texas Predictions

Overall this will be an even match-up between these two Texas rivals. They both look to their rushing attacks to jumpstart their offenses, so the time of possession will be key in this contest. Texas is currently better at moving the football and controlling the clock.

The Longhorns will have the help from their home crowd to give the Baylor offense pressure throughout the game. The devastating loss to TCU will still be weighing on Baylor’s mind and that will allow Texas to cover the spread and beat the Bears at home.

Final Score: 38-24 (Texas)


1. Texas is 7-4 against the spread.

2. Baylor is 7-4 against the spread.

3. Both offenses are averaging over 198 yards rushing per game this season.

Best Bet: Texas -8.5 (-110)

Baylor Bears
Texas Longhorns
Baylor Bears
Texas Longhorns

Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Recap NOV 25TH 2022

Bijan Robinson ran for 179 yards and two touchdowns as No. 23 Texas stayed in the hunt for a spot in the Big 12 Championship game with a come-from-behind 38-27 win over Baylor on Friday afternoon in the regular-season finale for both teams in Austin, Texas.

The Longhorns (8-4, 6-3 Big 12) will play in the league championship game against TCU if Kansas beats Kansas State on Saturday night. Texas' eight regular-season wins are its most since 2018, when it beat Georgia in the Sugar Bowl to finish 10-4.

After Robinson's 1-yard TD run gave Texas the lead for good midway through the fourth quarter, Roschon Johnson added some insurance when he hurdled over a defender for an 11-yard score, his second rushing touchdown of the game.

Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers finished 12 of 16 for 194 yards, with seven of those passes caught by Xavier Worthy for 62 yards.

Blake Shapen led the Bears (6-6, 4-5 Big 12) with 179 yards passing and two TDs. Baylor finished the regular season with three straight losses and but is nonetheless bowl-eligible.

The Bears got a safety on Texas' opening offensive possession when Ewers was flagged for intentional grounding in the end zone. They added to their lead with a 47-yard touchdown pass from Shapen to Jaylen Ellis at the 6:54 mark of the first quarter.

Texas answered on Ewers' 3-yard TD run with 3:54 to play in the quarter. The Longhorns then took a 14-9 lead before the quarter was out via Robinson's 2-yard scoring run.

The teams traded field goals, with the Bears' John Mayers hitting from 30 yards at the 7:54 mark of the second quarter and Texas' Bert Auburn converting from 38 yards away two minutes later. Baylor went back to the front at 19-17 on Shapen's 14-yard touchdown pass to Ben Sims with 40 seconds remaining in the half.

Texas drove to a Johnson 1-yard TD plunge that put the Longhorns up 24-19 with 2:21 remaining in the third quarter.

Baylor's defense put the Bears back in front early in the fourth. Ewers fumbled as he was being sacked by Al Walcott and the loose ball was scooped by Gabe Hall, who returned it 16 yards for the go-ahead touchdown. Shapen the hit Hal Presley for a two-point conversion pass to increase the lead to 27-24.

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