Duke Blue Devils vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Predictions December 31st 2025

Duke Blue Devils vs Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

Duke Blue Devils enter the Sun Bowl as ACC champions after upsetting Virginia, while Arizona State Sun Devils arrive at 8-4, looking to rebound from a rivalry loss. Both teams bring momentum and roster challenges into this postseason clash in El Paso.

Line Movement and Odds

Duke opened as a slight -1.5 favorite, with market support balanced. Public lean favors Duke’s passing attack, but Arizona State’s ATS record after losses has drawn sharp interest.

• Duke Spread: -1.5 (-112)
• Arizona State Spread: +1.5 (-107)
• Duke MoneyLine: -123
• Arizona State MoneyLine: +103
• Total: 49.5 (-110)

For broader market context, check the latest college football odds page.

Matchup Breakdown

Duke Outlook

QB Darian Mensah leads the Blue Devils with 3,646 passing yards and 30 touchdowns, supported by RB Nate Sheppard’s 962 rushing yards and 10 scores. Duke ranks top-10 nationally in passing and top-20 in scoring, while their defense adds 26 sacks. Their offensive balance and defensive pressure provide a path to victory.

Arizona State Outlook

QB Jeff Sims headlines the Sun Devils with dual-threat ability, while RB Raleek Brown and WR Jordyn Tyson add explosive options. Arizona State ranks top-35 in rushing and top-10 in turnovers forced, giving them disruptive potential. Their ability to control tempo on the ground is critical to covering the spread.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Duke’s passing attack against Arizona State’s secondary. If Mensah establishes rhythm early, Duke controls tempo. Arizona State must lean on its rushing game and defensive disruption to stay inside the number.

Injuries / Availability

Duke lists multiple starters questionable, including LB Nick Morris Jr. and S Terry Moore, while OL Brian Parker II and DE Vincent Anthony Jr. opted out.

Arizona State has several starters out or doubtful, including WR Jordyn Tyson and RB Raleek Brown, while QB Sam Leavitt has entered the transfer portal.

Environment

The Sun Bowl provides a neutral-site setting, though Arizona State’s history in El Paso adds familiarity. Duke’s ACC championship momentum fuels confidence, while Arizona State’s depth will be tested. Weather conditions are stable, keeping execution clean.

Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Arizona State 24, Duke 23

• Arizona State +1.5 → Best Bet. Strong ATS record after losses and rushing balance give them cover potential.
• Under 49.5 → Playable. Both defenses rank top-20 in disruption, pointing to a lower-scoring contest.

Expect a competitive game with Arizona State’s rushing attack providing the difference, but Duke’s passing game keeping it close. The projected score supports the underdog cover and a lean to the under.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Explore expert picks and betting trends on our Best Handicappers, track performance on the Leaderboard, and review premium selections in the Buy Picks section. These platforms provide deeper breakdowns of ATS trends, totals analysis, and sharp betting signals. By following top-rated cappers, you gain access to curated plays and real-time insights that complement this preview. Whether you’re looking for consensus picks, contrarian strategies, or premium service plays, these tools ensure you stay ahead of market shifts and maximize betting value.