Arkansas vs LSU Week 11 Betting Preview
Arkansas and LSU meet Saturday in Baton Rouge with both teams under interim coaches and searching for a reset. Arkansas is 2-7 after a 38-35 loss to Mississippi State. The Razorbacks used the bye week to regroup.
LSU is 5-4 after a 20-9 loss at Alabama in Frank Wilson’s debut. Wilson rotated Garrett Nussmeier and Michael Van Buren. Van Buren brings mobility, and Wilson said designed quarterback runs force defenses to account for every gap. Arkansas must prepare for both pass and run threats.
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Line Movement and Odds
The NCAAF scores and odds board opened LSU -8.5 with a total of 51.5. LSU moved to -9.5 behind modest sharp support. The total slid to 50 due to concerns over both offenses and LSU’s unsettled quarterback rotation.
Public money leans LSU. Sharper bettors hit the under early.
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Matchup Breakdown
Arkansas outlook
Arkansas averages 26 points but allows 33. The Razorbacks struggle with mobile quarterbacks and give up 4.9 yards per carry. They must contain the edge and limit LSU’s quarterback run packages. KJ Jefferson can attack LSU vertically if protection holds.
LSU outlook
LSU has averaged 16 points over the last two weeks. The two-quarterback setup creates unpredictability but also lowers stability. The Tigers’ defense allows 6.1 yards per play and ranks low in pressure rate. If they fail to disrupt Jefferson early, Arkansas can extend drives.
Key battle
Arkansas run defense versus LSU’s quarterback run game. This determines pace and red zone leverage.
Injuries and Conditions
Arkansas
- RB limited in practice, trending questionable.
- Two defensive starters in non-contact status.
View the Arkansas injury report
LSU
- WR upgraded to probable after full practice.
- Starting linebacker downgraded to doubtful.
See the LSU injury report for final statuses.
Weather
Clear, low 60s, light wind. Neutral conditions.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Arkansas is 1-6 ATS in SEC play. LSU is 1-4 ATS at home. Both offenses are inconsistent, and LSU’s rotation limits explosive output.
Projected Score: LSU 24, Arkansas 20
Best Bet: Under 50
Secondary Lean: Arkansas +9.5
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