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Table of Contents
Match Facts
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Tulane Green Wave at Memphis Tigers |
| Date | Friday, November 7, 2025 |
| Venue | Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN |
| Broadcast | ESPN |
| Tulane Record | 6-2 (3-1 AAC) |
| Memphis Record | 8-1 (4-1 AAC), ranked No. 22 AP / No. 23 Coaches |
| Spread | Memphis -6.5 / Tulane +6.5 |
| Moneyline | Memphis -228 / Tulane +188 |
| Total | 55.5 |
For real-time numbers and matchup tools, use the NCAAF board on the college football section of the ScoresAndStats scores and odds.
Line and Odds Movement
Market position reflects Memphis as a short home favorite with an elite home record, top-15 scoring offense, and CFP narrative against a capable but recently exposed Tulane. The -6.5 range prices in Brendon Lewis trending available but not fully guaranteed, plus respect for Tulane’s recent program profile.
Total at 55.5 expects sustained efficiency on both sides: Memphis’ pace and explosiveness against a Tulane defense that has slipped, and Tulane’s functional offense against a Memphis unit that creates takeaways but can bend.
Matchup Breakdown
This is an AAC leverage game with both sides built around their quarterbacks.
Memphis with a healthy Lewis is the more dynamic offense. His dual-threat ability stresses Tulane horizontally and vertically, and his efficiency against Rice confirms comfort in the system. If he is close to full strength, Memphis can maintain tempo, diversify the run game, and punish light boxes. If limited, Arrington Maiden is serviceable but lowers the ceiling and invites a tighter game.
Tulane leans on Jake Retzlaff as both passer and leading rusher. At his best, he extends plays and keeps Tulane on schedule; at UTSA, forced throws turned into turnovers and flipped the game. Memphis’ defense is opportunistic with sacks and interceptions. That turnover equation is central: Tulane must protect the ball and finish drives instead of handing short fields to an offense that rarely wastes them at home.
In the trenches, Memphis’ physicality and depth at home are an edge. Tulane must match that with efficiency on early downs and red-zone execution. Memphis has the higher offensive ceiling; Tulane’s path is cleaner operation and leveraging Memphis mistakes.
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Injury Reports
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Howard (LB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Ty Thompson (TE) | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mmahat (WR) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Jack Tchienchou (S) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Dorion Jackson (DB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Dickson Agu (LB) | Out | Undisclosed |
| Jayden Lewis (DB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Cooper Helmke (K) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis (QB) | Questionable | Late-game knock |
| Cameron Miller (DB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Kourtlan Marsh (DB) | Out | Undisclosed |
| Braunson White (LB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Chauncey Logan Jr. (DB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Christian Ross (TE) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Cade Law (LB) | Out | Undisclosed |
| Crews Law (LB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Jaylen Thompson (DB) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Oliver Castaneda (K) | Out | Undisclosed |
| Grant Troutman (QB) | Out | Undisclosed |
Lewis’ effective availability is the single most important variable. Tulane’s defensive health in the back seven will dictate how aggressive they can be.
Tulane Green Wave Recent performance
Tulane’s 48-26 loss at UTSA exposed issues against tempo and physicality. Retzlaff still moved the ball, but turnovers and defensive lapses created a margin too large. The Green Wave have shown they can generate first downs and explosive plays, and they remain dangerous when clean.
They enter Memphis needing sharper ball security and more resistance against a high-tier scoring unit. Their ATS record off a loss has been strong historically, but current defensive form is volatile.
Memphis Tigers Recent performance
Memphis dominated Rice 38-14, extending a pattern of control at home and in favorite roles. The Tigers combine efficient passing, a productive ground game, and a defense that creates disruption. They have won 11 straight at home and are 25-3 straight up as favorites in their last 28, which aligns with their current market status.
The CFP rankings snub is noise; the meaningful factor is urgency. A win keeps them in the New Year’s Six and expanded CFP conversation. Their profile supports that objective if quarterback health cooperates.
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Betting Insights and Trends
Memphis has been a consistent home hammer with strong returns both straight up and against the spread in high-total games.
Tulane has traveled well over multiple seasons and historically responds after losses, but this version is more fragile defensively and more reliant on its quarterback to manufacture everything.
Turnover margin and red-zone efficiency are decisive:
Memphis thrives on short fields. Tulane cannot hand them extras.
If Lewis is functional, Memphis is more likely to sustain scoring across four quarters.
To frame this within broader angles and system plays, use the college football picks hub and NCAAF odds pages at ScoresAndStats.
Best Bets and Prediction
Spread lean: Memphis -6.5.
With Lewis expected to contribute and Memphis’ home profile, laying under a touchdown is justified. Their offensive ceiling and takeaway potential outweigh Tulane’s current defensive leaks.
Total lean: Over 55.5.
Memphis can reach the low 30s or more at home. Tulane has enough offense to push this game into a higher-scoring script, especially if trailing and forced into aggression. The math supports something near 59 points.
Projected score: Memphis 35, Tulane 24.
Handicapper section
Serious bettors should track confirmed news on Brendon Lewis and Tulane’s defensive inactives before entry. Align positions with live numbers using the NCAAF board on the ScoresAndStats scores and odds page and refine exposure with insights from the college football picks and expert guide resources.
