Game Preview Ole Miss @ Mississippi State
The Ole Miss Rebels (10-1) travel to take on their SEC rivals, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6), in the annual Egg Bowl on Friday, November 28, 2025. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS. The game will be broadcast on ABC.
While Ole Miss aims to solidify its place in the College Football Playoff with a win, Mississippi State is fighting for bowl eligibility. Adding to the drama, Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin’s future with the program remains uncertain heading into the weekend.
Odds and Key Information
Spread: Ole Miss -7.0 (-110)
Total: 62.5
Moneyline: Ole Miss -268, Mississippi State +216
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium (Starkville, MS)
TV: ABC
For current NCAAF odds and scores, visit our updated sportsbook tracker.
Ole Miss Outlook
The Rebels are riding high with a 10-1 record, thanks to a balanced offense that ranks 6th nationally in passing yards (3,356) and 14th in points scored (409). In their most recent victory over Florida, Ole Miss posted 542 total yards (301 passing, 241 rushing) and 27 first downs.
Running back Kewan Lacy has led the ground game with 1,136 rushing yards, while kicker Lucas Carneiro has converted 21 field goals this season. On defense, the Rebels rank 17th in sacks, highlighting their ability to pressure the quarterback.
Despite some injuries, the Rebels’ depth remains a strength. The status of key defenders like Raymond Collins and Jeffery Rush will be important to monitor ahead of Friday’s kickoff.
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Mississippi State Outlook
The Bulldogs are looking to snap a two-game Egg Bowl losing streak and earn bowl eligibility with a sixth win. Despite a tough 49-27 loss to Missouri last week, Mississippi State showed offensive flashes, throwing for 235 yards.
Quarterback Blake Shapen has led the way, while tight end Seydou Traore has chipped in with 5 receiving touchdowns. Mississippi State ranks 27th in first downs (242) and 13th nationally in interceptions forced (12), showing that their defense can swing momentum.
However, their defense has also struggled at times, allowing explosive plays and ranking outside the top 50 in total defense.
Key Matchup Table
| Key Stats | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-1 | 5-6 |
| Points Per Game | 37.2 | 28.4 |
| Passing Yards | 3,356 | 2,666 |
| Rushing Yards | 1,911 | 1,574 |
| Turnovers Forced | 14 | 18 |
| Sacks | 28 | 21 |
Betting Trends
- Ole Miss is 26-3 straight up as a favorite in its last 29 games.
- The Rebels are 21-1 in their last 22 home games.
- Mississippi State has gone 4-0 to the OVER in all games this season.
- The Bulldogs are 22-6 to the OVER in their last 28 home games.
- Ole Miss is 3-0 to the OVER in its last 3 road contests.
- Mississippi State is 4-0 to the OVER as an underdog this year.
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Predictions
The Egg Bowl rarely plays out as expected, but Ole Miss has been one of the most efficient teams in the SEC this season. With superior quarterback play, a reliable run game, and a defense that can generate pressure, the Rebels appear poised to cover the spread.
Mississippi State’s ability to create turnovers and their desperation to reach bowl eligibility gives them upset potential, but inconsistencies on both sides of the ball remain a concern.
Projected Score: Ole Miss 38, Mississippi State 28
Pick Against the Spread: Ole Miss -7.0
Lean on Total: OVER 62.5
Why You Need Expert Picks
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