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NC State Wolfpack vs Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
NC State Wolfpack enter the Gasparilla Bowl with momentum after finishing the regular season strong, while Memphis Tigers look to end a three-game losing streak under interim coach Reggie Howard. Both teams bring contrasting form into Tampa, setting up a matchup defined by urgency and transition.
Line Movement and Odds
NC State opened as a -5.5 favorite, with market support holding steady. Public lean favors the Wolfpack, but Memphis’ strong ATS record as an underdog has drawn sharp interest.
- NC State Spread: -5.5 (-110)
- Memphis Spread: +5.5 (-110)
- NC State MoneyLine: -218
- Memphis MoneyLine: +178
- Total: 58.5 (-110)
For broader market context, check the latest college football odds page.
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Matchup Breakdown
NC State Outlook
QB CJ Bailey leads a balanced offense with nearly 2,900 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. RB Hollywood Smothers adds explosive speed, while the defense ranks top-25 in sacks and top-10 in interceptions. Their ability to pressure opposing QBs and create turnovers is a key betting edge.
Memphis Outlook
QB Brendon Lewis drives the Tigers’ offense with dual-threat ability, combining 2,500+ passing yards and nine rushing touchdowns. WR Cortez Braham Jr. provides vertical threat with 889 yards and eight scores. Memphis ranks top-25 nationally in points scored, but defensive lapses have fueled their recent skid.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The game hinges on NC State’s defensive front against Lewis’ mobility. If the Wolfpack contain QB runs and force Memphis into passing downs, they control the tempo. Memphis must lean on turnover creation and explosive plays to stay inside the number.
Injuries / Availability
Memphis lists multiple starters questionable, including DB Cameron Miller and OL Travis Burke, with LB Cade Law and K Oliver Castaneda ruled out.
NC State has several defensive backs and linemen questionable, including Sean Brown and Isaiah Crowell, while S Terrente Hinton and CB Jaren Sensabaugh are out.
Environment
Raymond James Stadium offers a neutral-site setting, though NC State benefits from reduced travel. Memphis’ offensive tempo could push pace higher, while NC State’s defensive efficiency may slow possessions. Weather conditions are stable, keeping execution clean.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: NC State 31, Memphis 28
- Memphis +5.5 → Best Bet. Strong ATS record as underdog and offensive firepower give them cover potential.
- Over 58.5 → Playable. Both teams rank top-25 in scoring and defensive injuries tilt toward points.
Expect a competitive game with NC State’s defense providing the edge, but Memphis’ resilience keeping it close. The projected score supports the underdog cover and a slight lean to the over.
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