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Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Game Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers head to Chapel Hill to face the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday afternoon in a key Atlantic Coast Conference showdown. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM ET at Kenan Memorial Stadium, with Virginia looking to extend its five-game winning streak and stay atop the ACC standings.
Virginia enters at 6-1 overall and 3-0 in conference play, marking the program’s first bowl-eligible season under head coach Tony Elliott. North Carolina, meanwhile, sits at 2-4 (0-2 ACC) and is reeling from a three-game skid, including a costly 24-17 loss at Cal that featured a late fumble near the goal line.
Visit the college football odds and scores page for live updates on moneylines, spreads, and totals ahead of kickoff.
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Line Movement and Betting Odds
Virginia Moneyline: -278
North Carolina Moneyline: +224
Virginia Spread: -7.5 (-110)
North Carolina Spread: +7.5 (-110)
Total Over/Under: 48.0 (-110)
The Cavaliers opened as road favorites on the strength of their balanced offense and recent late-game execution. Sharp money has leaned slightly toward the under, reflecting Virginia’s ability to control tempo and North Carolina’s offensive inconsistency.
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Matchup Breakdown
Virginia’s offense continues to thrive under quarterback Chandler Morris, who has completed 68.7 percent of his passes for 1,925 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions. The Cavaliers are averaging 40.0 points per game, ranking among the top scoring units in the ACC.
Running back Perris Jones and wideout Malik Washington provide explosive playmaking balance, with Washington emerging as a top target in crucial downs. Defensively, Virginia has been opportunistic — forcing key turnovers and maintaining discipline in close games.
North Carolina’s struggles stem largely from offensive inefficiency. Quarterback Gio Lopez has just three passing touchdowns against three interceptions, while the Tar Heels average only 18.7 points per game. Their defense has faced extended field time due to the offense’s inability to sustain drives, allowing opponents to dictate pace.
More tactical breakdowns and matchup metrics can be found in the expert betting guide.
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Key Storylines
Virginia has mastered the art of winning tight games, claiming three consecutive victories decided in the final moments — including last week’s 22-20 triumph over Washington State sealed by a game-winning safety. The Cavaliers have yet to lose a fumble this season, a testament to their discipline and ball control.
North Carolina enters in disarray, having dropped three straight and still searching for an offensive identity under first-year head coach Bill Belichick. With rumors swirling about his commitment to the program, the Tar Heels face pressure to perform in front of a restless home crowd.
This matchup marks the 130th meeting between the two programs. North Carolina leads the all-time series 66-59-4, though Virginia pulled off a 31-27 upset in Chapel Hill in 2023.
Injury Report
Virginia Cavaliers:
Running back Perris Jones (ankle) and defensive lineman Ben Smiley (shoulder) are both listed as questionable. Wide receiver JR Wilson (hamstring) is a game-time decision, while linebacker Kam Butler (knee) remains out.
North Carolina Tar Heels:
Quarterback Gio Lopez (shoulder) is probable despite taking hits last week. Linebacker Power Echols (ankle) and wide receiver Kobe Paysour (foot) are questionable. Defensive lineman Kevin Hester Jr. (undisclosed) is out indefinitely.
Prediction
Virginia’s offensive rhythm and late-game poise make it the more complete team entering this matchup. Expect Chandler Morris to stay efficient against a North Carolina defense that struggles to contain explosive plays. The Tar Heels may find early success at home, but the Cavaliers’ composure and superior execution should carry them through the second half.
Projected Score: Virginia 30, North Carolina 20
Best Bet: Virginia -7.5 (-110)
Secondary Lean: Under 48.0 (-110)
For continued ACC coverage and betting updates, visit ScoresAndStats College Football.
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