Oklahoma Sooners vs Alabama Crimson Tide Picks and Predictions December 19th 2025

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Oklahoma Sooners vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

Oklahoma Sooners enter the College Football Playoff with momentum after winning four straight, including a 23-21 victory over Alabama last month. Alabama Crimson Tide look to avenge that loss and rebound from a tough SEC title defeat. Both teams bring playoff pedigree and high stakes into Norman.

Line Movement and Odds

Alabama opened as a slight favorite at -1, with market support balanced. Public lean favors the Crimson Tide’s track record after losses, but Oklahoma’s home-field edge has drawn sharp interest.

  • Alabama Spread: -1.0 (-109)
  • Oklahoma Spread: +1.0 (-111)
  • Alabama MoneyLine: -112
  • Oklahoma MoneyLine: -108
  • Total: 40.5 (-110)

For broader market context, check the latest college football odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Alabama Outlook

QB Ty Simpson leads the Crimson Tide with over 3,200 passing yards and 26 touchdowns. WR Germie Bernard headlines the receiving corps, while the defense ranks top-15 nationally in turnovers forced. Alabama’s ability to generate explosive passing plays and capitalize on mistakes is their path to victory.

Oklahoma Outlook

The Sooners defense leads the nation in sacks and ranks top-10 in interceptions, giving them disruptive power. QB John Mateer provides stability, while WR Isaiah Sategna III adds nearly 950 receiving yards. Oklahoma’s balanced attack and defensive pressure are key betting edges.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Oklahoma’s secondary against Alabama’s wide receivers. If the Sooners generate turnovers and pressure Simpson, they can repeat their November success. Alabama must protect the ball and exploit Oklahoma’s offensive line depth issues.

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Injuries / Availability

Alabama lists multiple starters questionable, including TE Josh Cuevas and RB Jam Miller, while DL LT Overton remains sidelined.

Oklahoma has several linemen questionable, including Jake Maikkula and Jacob Sexton, while DL R Mason Thomas returns from injury.

Environment

Memorial Stadium provides Oklahoma with a strong home-field advantage. Alabama’s road record remains solid, but crowd intensity favors the Sooners. Weather conditions are stable, keeping execution clean.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Alabama 24, Oklahoma 17

  • Alabama -1.0 → Best Bet. Strong track record after losses and balanced offense give them the edge.
  • Under 40.5 → Playable. Both defenses rank top-20 in disruption, pointing to a lower-scoring contest.

Expect a physical, defensive battle with Alabama’s passing attack providing the difference. Oklahoma’s defense keeps it close, but Alabama’s resilience after setbacks supports the favorite and the under.

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