Baylor vs Oklahoma State Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys begin life without longtime head coach Mike Gundy when they host the Baylor Bears at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater. Doug Meacham steps in as interim coach after Gundy’s firing this week, ending a tenure that began in 2005. Oklahoma State (1-2) has lost its last two games, including a stunning 19-12 home defeat to Tulsa. Baylor (2-2, 0-1 Big 12) is also under pressure, coming off a narrow 27-24 loss to Arizona State on a last-second field goal.
Oddsmakers list Baylor as a 20.5-point favorite, with the total set at 58.5.
Line Movement and Odds
- Spread: Baylor –20.5
- Moneyline: Baylor –1413 / Oklahoma State +814
- Total: 58.5
Baylor’s spread opened large and remains inflated, with heavy public and sharp interest on the Bears. The total has ticked slightly downward, reflecting skepticism that Oklahoma State can score enough to push the over.
QB Sawyer Robertson powers Baylor’s aerial attack, ranking among the top passers in the nation with 1,320 yards and 13 touchdowns. The Bears complement that passing game with a defense that ranks top five nationally in interceptions and fumble recoveries.
Oklahoma State QB Zane Flores threw for 218 yards against Tulsa, but the Cowboys’ offense has lacked explosiveness. RB Rodney Fields Jr. provides some balance with 143 rushing yards, but turnovers and inconsistency have stunted their rhythm.












Want sharper Big 12 betting breakdowns every week? See who’s on top of the handicappers leaderboard →
Matchup Breakdown
Baylor outlook:
Robertson’s passing efficiency is the key. The Bears rank 4th nationally in passing yards, and they can overwhelm weaker secondaries quickly. Defensively, their ability to generate turnovers and short fields makes them dangerous against an inconsistent opponent.
Oklahoma State outlook:
The Cowboys’ best chance lies in ball security and defensive takeaways. They rank highly in interceptions and forced fumbles, which could create swing opportunities. At home, their energy should be better than in recent weeks, but offensive execution remains the main concern.
Key battle:
Oklahoma State’s secondary against Baylor’s receivers. If Robertson has time, Baylor will cover the number comfortably. If Oklahoma State’s defense steals possessions, they can hang inside the spread.
Injuries and Conditions
Oklahoma State Cowboys
- No major new injuries reported
- QB Zane Flores expected to remain starter
- Transfer portal questions could loom over roster focus
Baylor Bears
- No key starters flagged as out
- Defensive depth strong despite late-game lapses vs Arizona State
Weather: Stillwater forecast calls for warm and dry afternoon conditions. Passing games should function without weather impact.
Best Bets and Prediction
Pick: Baylor –20.5
Projected final score: Baylor 35, Oklahoma State 10
Total lean: Under 58.5
Why it cashes:
Baylor’s high-powered passing game is complemented by a turnover-generating defense. Oklahoma State is in transition, both schematically and emotionally, and hasn’t shown offensive consistency. Baylor covers comfortably, with the under supported by the Cowboys’ scoring struggles.
Check out more Saturday matchups on our College Football Previews page.
Category | Detail |
---|---|
Best Bet | Baylor –20.5 |
Confidence | ★★★★☆ |
Projected Score | Baylor 35, Oklahoma State 10 |
Total Lean | Under 58.5 |
Market Split | Heavy money on Baylor, under seeing support |
Get ahead of the closing line with expert insights. Explore our expert betting guide →
Handicappers and Service Plays
When the board is stacked with double-digit spreads like this, the difference often comes from following handicappers who specialize in spotting letdowns and overreactions. The Handicapper Leaderboard ranks every expert in real time, so you can see which cappers are thriving with Big 12 action.
All picks are tracked against closing numbers — no edits, no filters. If you want to compare different strategies, check the College Football Picks section where experts post sides, totals, and props. This lets you align with the handicappers whose betting style best matches yours.
The advantage goes beyond single picks. Consistent trends, like recognizing inflated spreads or live-betting angles, are where top cappers separate themselves. By following the leaderboard and daily service plays, you get a window into how sharps approach the same games you’re betting.