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No. 4 Ole Miss Rebels vs Washington State Cougars Betting Preview
The No. 4 Ole Miss Rebels look to continue their unbeaten run when they host the Washington State Cougars on Saturday at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi. The Rebels (5-0) are riding high after a signature win over LSU and have been dominant at home, while the Cougars (3-2) face one of the biggest challenges in program history.
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Kickoff is set for 12:45 PM ET on SECN, with Ole Miss listed as a massive favorite (-32.5). The over/under sits at 58.5 total points, and the Rebels are currently -20000 on the moneyline, making Washington State a +3500 underdog.
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Line Movement and Betting Overview
Oddsmakers opened Ole Miss as a -30.5 favorite, and the line quickly jumped to -32.5 after heavy early action on the Rebels. Ole Miss has been dominant at home and remains one of the most reliable ATS teams in the SEC this season. The total (58.5) has seen a modest lean toward the under, with about 58% of tickets expecting the Rebels’ defense to suppress Washington State’s scoring chances.
“We have two great starting quarterbacks — two better than the one for most teams,” Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin said, praising both Trinidad Chambliss and the recovering Austin Simmons.
Matchup Breakdown
Washington State Cougars Outlook
The Cougars come off a 20-3 win over Colorado State, where their defense dominated from start to finish. They allowed just 3 points and forced two fumbles, continuing their theme of creating turnovers — they rank 6th nationally in fumbles recovered and 13th in sacks.
Quarterback Jaxon Potter has managed the offense efficiently, throwing for 604 yards and 4 touchdowns with no interceptions this season. Receiver Joshua Meredith has been his go-to weapon, accounting for 255 of those yards.
However, the Cougars have struggled mightily against elite competition, allowing 59 points in each of their two losses (vs. Washington and North Texas). Their defensive front faces an entirely different level of physicality in Ole Miss’s offensive line, and any breakdowns could quickly turn into big plays for the Rebels’ offense.
Head coach Jimmy Rogers, in his first FBS season, acknowledged the challenge:
Ole Miss Rebels Outlook
Ole Miss enters off a bye week after a huge 24-19 win over then-No. 4 LSU. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, a transfer from Ferris State, has been sensational — producing at least 300 passing yards and 50 rushing yards in each of his three starts. He was named AP National Player of the Week, and his command of Kiffin’s offense has kept the Rebels rolling despite injuries.
The defense has been equally impressive, holding Tulane and LSU to a combined 536 total yards after giving up 526 yards to Arkansas earlier in the season. A midseason “accountability meeting” among defensive coaches and players appears to have sparked the turnaround.
Running back Kewan Lacy anchors the ground attack with 445 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns, while wideout Zakhari Franklin has emerged as Chambliss’s primary deep threat. Ole Miss ranks 13th nationally in passing yards (1,613) and 30th in rushing (1,052).
The Rebels are a well-rounded, confident team — and this matchup gives them a chance to fine-tune before road trips to No. 10 Georgia and No. 6 Oklahoma.
Injuries and Conditions
| Washington State Cougars | Ole Miss Rebels |
|---|---|
| QB Jaxon Potter – Probable (ankle) | QB Austin Simmons – Questionable (ankle) |
| RB Jaylen Jenkins – Out (knee) | RB Ulysses Bentley IV – Out (hamstring) |
| WR Kyle Williams – Probable (shoulder) | LB Suntarine Perkins – Questionable (hamstring) |
| DB Sam Lockett III – Out (upper body) | DE Cedric Johnson – Probable (foot) |
Best Bets and Prediction
Washington State has shown flashes defensively, but Ole Miss’s offensive balance and defensive resurgence make a blowout likely. The Rebels are 4-0 ATS at home this season and have covered by an average of +13.5 points per game in Oxford. Expect Kiffin’s group to set the tone early and control all four quarters.
Pick: Ole Miss -32.5 (-108)
Projected Score: Ole Miss 45, Washington State 10
Lean: Under 58.5
Stat to Know: Ole Miss has covered in 6 straight home games vs non-conference opponents.
| Category | Detail |
|---|---|
| Best Bet | Ole Miss -32.5 (-108) |
| Confidence Rating | ★★★★★ |
| Projected Score | Ole Miss 45, Washington State 10 |
| Total Lean | Under 58.5 |
| Market Split | 65% bets Ole Miss, 58% money Under |
ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks
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