Oregon Ducks vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Picks and Predictions January 1st 2026

Oregon Ducks vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

Oregon Ducks enter the Orange Bowl ranked #5 with an 11-1 record, led by QB Dante Moore and a balanced offense. Texas Tech Red Raiders stand at 12-1, ranked #4, powered by QB Behren Morton and a disruptive defense. This CFP quarterfinal in Miami Gardens sets up a clash of offensive firepower and defensive resilience.

Line Movement and Odds

Oregon opened as a -1.5 favorite, with market support steady. Public lean favors the Ducks’ consistency, but Texas Tech’s ATS record after wins has drawn sharp interest.

• Oregon Spread: -1.5 (-114)
• Texas Tech Spread: +1.5 (-106)
• Oregon MoneyLine: -128
• Texas Tech MoneyLine: +107
• Total: 52.5 (-110)

For broader market context, check the latest college football odds page.

Matchup Breakdown

Oregon Outlook

QB Dante Moore leads the Ducks with 2,733 passing yards and 24 touchdowns, supported by RB Noah Whittington’s 774 rushing yards. Oregon ranks top-15 nationally in scoring and rushing, while their defense adds 13 interceptions. Their ability to sustain drives and force turnovers provides a path to victory.

Texas Tech Outlook

QB Behren Morton headlines the Red Raiders with 2,643 passing yards, supported by WR Cameron Dickey and RB Caleb Douglas. Texas Tech ranks top-five nationally in scoring and passing, while their defense adds 39 sacks and 15 fumbles recovered. Their disruptive front seven and offensive explosiveness are critical to covering the spread.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Oregon’s passing efficiency against Texas Tech’s pass rush. If Moore establishes rhythm early, Oregon controls tempo. Texas Tech must lean on defensive disruption and balanced offense to stay inside the number.

Injuries / Availability

Oregon lists WR Justius Lowe and DB Solomon Davis questionable, while WR Kyler Kasper is out.

Texas Tech has multiple starters out, including QB Will Hammond and RB Quinten Joyner, while WR Roy Alexander is questionable.

Environment

Hard Rock Stadium provides a neutral-site setting, though playoff intensity ensures a high-energy atmosphere. Oregon’s consistency and Texas Tech’s momentum add intrigue. Weather conditions are stable, keeping execution clean.

Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Oregon 28, Texas Tech 27

• Oregon -1.5 → Best Bet. Strong record as favorite and away-game dominance give them the edge.
• Over 52.5 → Playable. Both offenses rank top-15 nationally, pointing to a higher-scoring contest.

Expect a competitive game with Oregon’s efficiency providing the difference, but Texas Tech’s resilience keeping it close. The projected score supports the favorite and a lean to the over.

Handicappers and Service Plays

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