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Game Preview: South Florida Bulls @ Old Dominion Monarchs
On December 15, 2025, the South Florida Bulls travel to face the Old Dominion Monarchs in a non-conference NCAAF matchup in Norfolk. Both teams are in transitional phases, but the Monarchs have been more consistent defensively, while the Bulls bring explosive potential if they can establish rhythm early.
This game appears on our weekly radar of featured NCAAF picks — where expert analysis highlights every matchup with spread, total, and lean angles.
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Odds and Key Information
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | -3.5 | -165 | 52.5 |
| South Florida Bulls | +3.5 | +135 | 52.5 |
Date: Monday, Dec 15, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: S.B. Ballard Stadium — Norfolk, VA
TV: ESPN+
Get the latest movement and betting insights on our NCAAF odds and scores page.
South Florida Bulls Outlook
The South Florida Bulls bring an offense driven by a mobile quarterback and an efficient run game. They’ve averaged strong rushing yards in their wins, but when forced to play from behind, passing efficiency drops significantly. The Bulls are at their best when they can control tempo and avoid third-and-long situations.
On defense, South Florida has been inconsistent. They allow explosive plays in the passing game and occasionally struggle with missed tackles — two areas that could be problematic against a fundamentally sound Old Dominion offense. If the Bulls can win the turnover battle and get off the field on third down, they’ll have a chance to cover or steal a road win.
Old Dominion Monarchs Outlook
The Old Dominion Monarchs enter as home favorites behind a balanced offense and one of the more efficient red-zone defenses in the Group of Five. Offensively, they execute a mix of zone runs and short passing to extend drives and protect the football.
Defensively, the Monarchs have improved their tackling and now rank among the top in third-down stops in their conference. Their secondary has been opportunistic, and the front four has produced steady pressure without over-blitzing — an ideal recipe for containing South Florida’s dual-threat quarterback.
At home, Old Dominion has covered four of its last five, and they have a strong track record against non-conference opponents under the lights.
Key Matchup
The most crucial battle will be South Florida’s rushing offense vs Old Dominion’s defensive front. If the Bulls can dominate time of possession through the run game, it will limit Old Dominion’s ability to get in rhythm. However, if the Monarchs win at the point of attack and force passing downs, they’ll gain the upper hand.
Third-down conversion rates on both sides also matter — both teams rank in the bottom third nationally in offensive third-down efficiency. Whichever team can sustain drives may ultimately control the game’s tempo and outcome.
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Betting Trends
- Old Dominion is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games.
- South Florida is 3-5 ATS in its last 8 road contests.
- The UNDER has hit in 5 of Old Dominion’s last 7 as a favorite.
- South Florida has gone OVER in 4 of its last 6 overall.
- Old Dominion is 4-1 SU in its last 5 home non-conference games.
To explore broader betting metrics and matchup models, visit our updated NCAAF odds and scores section.
Prediction
Old Dominion has the more stable scheme and a strong edge in defensive consistency. South Florida can compete if their run game breaks through early, but the Monarchs have the home-field edge and are less prone to giving up big plays.
This projects to be a moderately paced contest, and the total leans UNDER based on defensive matchups and red-zone tendencies.
Lean: Old Dominion -3.5
Total Lean: Under 52.5
Projected Score: Old Dominion 24, South Florida 17
Why You Need Expert Picks
When spreads fall within a field goal margin, small details — like pace of play, weather, and red-zone efficiency — often determine the winner. That’s why professional guidance from the Handicappers Leaderboard is essential.
Looking for deeper betting strategies? Visit the NFL expert betting guide for advanced breakdowns that apply to both pro and college football betting.
