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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs BYU Cougars Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders face the BYU Cougars in the Big 12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Both teams enter with 11-1 records, but Texas Tech dominated the first meeting 29-7. Bettors must weigh BYU’s balanced offense against Texas Tech’s explosive scoring and defensive playmaking.
Line Movement and Odds
- BYU MoneyLine: +404
- Texas Tech MoneyLine: -553
- BYU Spread: +12.5 (-107)
- Texas Tech Spread: -12.5 (-113)
- Total Over 50.5 (-107)
- Total Under 50.5 (-113)
Texas Tech opened as heavy favorites. See full NCAAF odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
BYU Cougars Outlook
BYU defeated UCF 41-21 behind Bear Bachmeier’s 289 passing yards and LJ Martin’s rushing attack. Martin has 1,229 rushing yards, while Parker Kingston leads with 804 receiving yards. The Cougars rank 21st in points scored and 23rd in rushing yards nationally. Defensively, they have 28 sacks and 16 interceptions, showing balance. BYU must rely on Bachmeier’s efficiency and Martin’s ground game to stay competitive.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Outlook
Texas Tech routed West Virginia 49-0 with 577 total yards. Behren Morton threw for 384 yards, while Cameron Dickey rushed for 1,025 yards and 13 touchdowns this season. Caleb Douglas adds 822 receiving yards. The Red Raiders rank 3rd in points scored and 8th in passing yards nationally. Defensively, they lead the nation in fumbles recovered (13) and rank 5th in sacks (37). Their dominance on both sides makes them formidable.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
BYU’s rushing attack vs Texas Tech’s defensive front. The Cougars must protect Bachmeier and establish Martin on the ground, while Texas Tech needs Morton and Douglas to exploit BYU’s secondary. Turnovers and tempo will be decisive.
Injuries / Availability
BYU: Chase Roberts (WR), Max Alford (LB), Weylin Lapuaho (OL), Tayvion Beasley (CB), Anisi Purcell (DT), Sione Moa (RB), Ulavai Fetuli (DT) are questionable.
Texas Tech: Roy Alexander (WR), Maurion Horn (CB), T.J. West (WR) are questionable. Skyler Gill-Howard (DL), Miquel Dingle Jr. (S), Quinten Joyner (RB), Will Hammond (QB), Dylan Singleton (DL) are out.
Betting Trends
- BYU is 20-1 straight up as a favorite in their last 21 games.
- BYU is 18-2 straight up after a win in their last 20 games.
- Texas Tech is 13-1 straight up in their last 14 games.
- Texas Tech is 8-0 straight up in home games in their last 8 games.
- Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS as a favorite in their last 5 games.
- Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS in home games in their last 5 games.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Texas Tech 35, BYU 20
- Texas Tech -12.5 (-113) → Best Bet. Red Raiders’ offensive dominance and ATS record suggest they cover.
- Over 50.5 (-107) → Total. Our model projects 55 points, leaning over given both teams’ scoring ability.
Texas Tech’s explosive offense and defensive playmaking should secure the win, while BYU’s rushing attack may keep it competitive early. Expect the Red Raiders to cover with the total trending over.
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