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Texas Tech vs West Virginia Week 14 Betting Preview
Texas Tech enters Week 14 at 10-1 and sits one win from its first Big 12 Championship Game appearance. A victory in Morgantown locks in the berth unless Arizona State beats Arizona on Friday. With a top five CFP ranking and a dominant statistical profile, the Red Raiders control their postseason path. You can follow updated prices on our NCAA odds page.
The Red Raiders lead the Big 12 in scoring defense, allowing only 12.3 points per game, and rank second in total offense at 481.6 yards per game. Quarterback Behren Morton continues to play through a lower leg injury, but coach Joey McGuire said he expects him to start. Morton and backup Mitch Griffis split reps in a 48-9 win over UCF before the bye.
Texas Tech has won all 10 games by at least 22 points and carries a margin of victory near 34. Their last road outing was a 43-20 win at Kansas State.
West Virginia sits at 4-7 and is closing a turbulent season marked by injuries at running back and quarterback. Freshman Scotty Fox Jr. started against Arizona State and threw for 353 yards in a 25-23 loss. With their top three backs sidelined, the Mountaineers turn to Cyncir Bowers and Curtis Jones in the finale.
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Line Movement and Odds
Texas Tech opened around -21.5 and has climbed to -23.5 with heavy public backing. Sharps grabbed early under positions, but market support has since shifted toward the over.
Current board:
• Spread: Texas Tech -23.5
• Moneyline: Texas Tech -2512, West Virginia +1155
• Total: 53.5
Totals movement reflects confidence that Texas Tech will score into the high 30s.
Matchup Breakdown
Texas Tech can take control early with efficiency on both sides of the ball. They rank top 15 nationally in passing yards and are the best team in the country at recovering fumbles. Their defense forces mistakes, and their pace stresses opponents’ secondaries. Morton, even at less than full strength, distributes well and avoids negative plays. Cameron Dickey has pushed the run game toward near-elite levels.
West Virginia can stay competitive if Fox hits explosive passes and the defense steals possessions. The Mountaineers rank top 15 in sacks and top 10 in fumbles recovered. Their issue is consistency. Without a stable backfield, they may struggle sustaining drives. Texas Tech’s defensive front wins on early downs at one of the highest rates in the conference.
The key matchup is Fox against Texas Tech’s disguises. If he starts fast, the Mountaineers can hang inside the number.
Injuries and Conditions
Texas Tech injury notes
• Roy Alexander, questionable
• Hunter Zambrano, questionable
• Skyler Gill-Howard, out, leg
• Miquel Dingle Jr., out
• T.J. West, questionable
• Quinten Joyner, out, knee
• Will Hammond, out, knee
• Leyton Stone, questionable
• Dylan Singleton, out
Full details on the Texas Tech injury report.
West Virginia injury notes
• Jordan Walker, questionable
• Jaden Bray, out
• Jaylen Henderson, questionable
• Nicco Marchiol, questionable, foot
• Tye Edwards, questionable
• Cooper Young, questionable
• Jahiem White, out, knee
• Tyler Jacklich, questionable
• Nick Taylor, questionable
• Ashton Woods, questionable
• Diore Hubbard, out
See the full West Virginia injury report for updates.
Weather
Cold, clear conditions with moderate wind. Slight edge to the under early, but no major impact expected.
Best Bets and Prediction
Texas Tech has covered in 11 of its last 13 games and continues to dominate lesser opponents. West Virginia has been strong ATS lately, but depth issues reduce their margin for error.
Projected Score: Texas Tech 38, West Virginia 21
Best Bet: West Virginia +23.5
Secondary Lean: Over 53.5
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