NRG Stadium Houston

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Pick & Prediction SEPTEMBER 11th 2022

Logo Indianapolis Colts
Logo Houston Texans

-8.5 +120
44o -106



The Indianapolis Colts have a new starting quarterback, Matt Ryan. Ryan and his new team will start their season against an AFC South rival. As they prepare to face the Houston Texans, the Colts come into the game as 8.5-point favorites.

With such a large spread to cover, the Colts will have to pull out all the stops to win at the sportsbook. The question is, should you take them?

The Houston Texans team looks pretty similar to how it did last year. Davis Mills is still the starting quarterback, which could pose a problem. The team also failed to add any real weapons to their offense.

The Texans finished last season with a 4-13 record, sitting at the bottom of their division. They'll look to get a better start by taking down the Colts in week 1.

Colts vs. Texans Odds (ATS, ML and O/U)


MONEY LINE: Colts (-390) vs. Texans (+310)

SPREAD: Colts -8.5 (-106) vs. Texans +8.5 (-114)

GAME TOTAL: Over 46 (-110) vs. Under 46 (-110)

Colts vs. Texans Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts have a new veteran quarterback under center. Matt Ryan has spent several years in the NFL and now has a new roster of weapons. One player we expect to see a lot of is running back Jonathan Taylor. Taylor led the Colts with 1,811 rushing yards in 2021.

Last year, the Indianapolis Colts averaged 149.4 rushing yards per game. We expect to see a heavy rushing attack in their game against the Houston Texans. It's important to remember that a running game can negatively affect the spread. Still, the Colts are at a massive advantage.

Defensively, the Colts allowed 21.5 points per game, ranking 23rd overall. On offense, they ranked ninth in the NFL, averaging 26.5 points per game last year. They were able to have a high-scoring offense before the addition of Matt Ryan.

The Houston Texans had a rough season last year and we expect this one to be no different. On offense, the Texans averaged 16.5 points per game, ranking 30th in the NFL. With one of the worst offenses last season, the Texans made very few changes in the offseason.

There weren't any big offensive signings, and they're sticking with Davis Mills at quarterback. Mills averaged 204.9 yards per game, throwing 16 touchdowns and ten interceptions. As a team, the Texans averaged 83.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 32nd overall.

On defense, the Texans were one of the worst teams in the league. They allowed 26.6 points per game, ranking 27th overall. As they prepare to face the Colts, this defense looks eerily similar to last year. This is why we feel the better bet here is the Indianapolis Colts.

Colts vs. Texans Predictions

The tough task here is deciding whether the Colts can cover an 8.5-point spread. Looking at previous games, the Colts have gone 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games against the Texans. The Colts were favored by large spreads in the 2021 season and had mixed results.

The key to picking this game is the Texans' offense and defense. We don't feel that their offense can keep up with the Colts, and their defense won't be able to stop them. Because of this, we'll go with the Colts at -8.5.

Final Score: 30-17 (Colts)


1. Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road.

2. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last five games.

3. Houston is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games.

Best Bet: Indianapolis Colts -8.5 (-106) and Over 46 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Recap SEP 11TH 2022

Rodrigo Blakenship pushed a 42-yard field goal attempt wide right with 1:57 remaining in overtime and the Indianapolis Colts failed to complete a second-half rally and settled for a 20-20 season-opening tie with the Houston Texans on Sunday at NRG Stadium.

In his first game with the team, Colts quarterback Matt Ryan passed for 352 yards while becoming the eighth quarterback to surpass 60,000 career passing yards. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 161 yards on 31 carries to help the Colts erase a 17-point, second-half deficit.

Davis Mills passed for 240 yards and two touchdowns for the Texans, whose offense stalled in the fourth quarter and overtime. Houston totaled 299 yards compared to the Colts' 517 yards.

The Colts mounted their comeback early in the fourth quarter, surging into the red zone before the Texans turned consecutive pass breakups from Desmond King II, Jonathan Owens and rookie Derek Stingley Jr. into a Blakenship 27-yard field goal that cut the deficit to 20-6.

On the ensuing possession, Colts linebacker E.J. Speed delivered a blindside hit on Mills that jarred the ball free. DeForest Buckner recovered for Indianapolis at the Houston 20 and the Colts needed four plays to pull within even on Taylor's 2-yard run with 7:42 remaining.

A seven-play, 80-yard drive featuring Taylor before Ryan hit Michael Pittman Jr. for a 15-yard scoring pass knotted the score at 20-20 with 1:54 left in regulation.

Indianapolis' errors fueled the Texans' surge to a 17-point lead. Leading 3-0, the Colts threatened to extend that advantage before Alec Pierce dropped a touchdown pass on second down. Two plays later, Texans end Jonathan Greenard stuffed Nyheim Hines on 4th and goal.

Houston converted that stop into a Ka'imi Fairbairn 45-yard field goal.

The Colts appeared primed to recapture the lead before Ryan's screen pass to Taylor was tipped and picked off by Jerry Hughes at the Houston 29. Four plays later, Mills converted the first of his two scoring passes to tight end O.J. Howard, a 16-yarder that gave the Texans a 10-3 lead with 2:37 left in the half.

After Texans linebacker Christian Kirksey recovered a Ryan fumble near midfield, Mills and Howard connected for 22 yards and a score that enabled the Texans to secure a 20-3 lead with 7:16 left in the third.

Pittman Jr. had nine receptions for 121 yards for the Colts. Brandin Cooks led the Texans with seven catches for 82 yards.

--Field Level Media

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