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Match Facts
The Eagles return from a bye with defensive reinforcements and a two-game win streak. The Packers look to rebound at Lambeau after a 16–13 home loss to Carolina and the season-ending injury to tight end Tucker Kraft. Kickoff is 8:15 PM at Lambeau Field on ABC. For pricing and prep, compare expert viewpoints on the NFL picks hub, scan rosters on the NFL teams index, confirm numbers on the live NFL odds board, and review concepts in the NFL betting guide.
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Venue | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
| Date and time | Monday, November 10, 2025, 8:15 PM |
| Broadcast | ABC |
| Recent form | Eagles won 4 of 5 and 2 straight; Packers loss after three-game win streak |
| Notable note | Philadelphia added Jaelan Phillips, Michael Carter II, and Jaire Alexander at the deadline |
| Team | Record | Home/away split | Recent result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 6–2 | 3–1 away | Beat NYG 38–20 before bye |
| Packers | 5–2–1 | 3–1 home | Lost to CAR 16–13 |
Line and Odds
The market lists Packers -2.5 (-110), Eagles +2.5 (-109), with moneylines around Packers -139 and Eagles +117. The total sits at 44.5 with slight over tax at -112. The favorite status stems from Lambeau advantage, Green Bay’s recent home form, and uncertainty around Philadelphia’s new defensive pieces fitting in on short prep. Counter-money supports the road dog due to the Eagles’ explosive offense, healthier skill group, and the upgrade potential from deadline additions in coverage and edge pressure. If Philadelphia announces full workloads for returning playmakers and clean practice reports, the spread can compress toward -1.5 or even pick’em at sharper books. A late Packers endorsement would come from positive updates on front-seven health and kicker clarity. The total is sensitive to weather, red-zone finishing, and Green Bay’s pace; early under interest appears when models expect sustained drives and field goals rather than explosives, while any signal of downfield aggression from both staffs invites over buy.
Movement Matchup
Philadelphia’s path is surge pressure on the edges with Jaelan Phillips, tighter slot leverage with Michael Carter II, and match corner usage with Jaire Alexander to disrupt timing. That elevates third-down stops and shortens fields for Jalen Hurts, who pairs RPO looks with intermediate isolation for A.J. Brown. Green Bay’s counter is run-game balance with Josh Jacobs, early down rhythm throws for Jordan Love, and play-action shots that challenge new coverage rules. If the Packers protect the pocket and finish red-zone trips, they neutralize Philadelphia’s explosive scoring sequences. Special teams variability matters due to Green Bay’s current kicker situation; stalled drives favor the team that converts 40- to 50-yard attempts.
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Real Trends, Real Edges, Real Wins
Injury Report
Eagles
| Player | Status | Detail | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Brown, WR | Expected to play | Full participant post-hamstring | Restores WR1 gravity and red-zone leverage |
| Saquon Barkley, RB | Expected to play | Groin managed; practiced in full | Inside-out run threat and explosive screens |
| Cam Jurgens, C | Questionable | Knee management | Affects protection IDs and interior run efficiency |
| Jaelan Phillips, OLB | New acquisition | Trade deadline addition | Edge pressure and game-changing QB hits |
| Michael Carter II, CB | New acquisition | Nickel/slot addition | Improves short-area coverage and blitz disguise |
| Jaire Alexander, CB | New acquisition | Boundary/press option | Matchups vs WR1; increases man coverage viability |
Packers
| Player | Status | Detail | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft, TE | Out | Season-ending knee | Red-zone target and seam threat removed |
| Edgerrin Cooper, LB | Limited | Foot | Range at second level; affects spy and screen fits |
| Quay Walker, LB | Limited | Calf | Tackle volume and pressure packages |
| Christian Watson, WR | Limited | Knee | Vertical stressor; snap count may be managed |
| Dontayvion Wicks, WR | Limited | Calf | Chain-mover on option routes |
| Savion Williams, WR | DNP | Foot | Depth impact on WR rotation |
| Kicker situation | Uncertain | McManus health vs Havrisik alternative | Field-goal range and confidence late |
Eagles Recent Performance
The offense produced 38 against New York with four Hurts touchdown passes and a 150-yard Saquon Barkley day built on double teams and backside cuts. The defense trended up pre-bye with improved early-down success that set favorable third-and-longs. With added corners and edge juice, Philadelphia can play more single-high on money downs and challenge contested windows without conceding explosives. The lever remains negative plays without penalties; clean pressure beats against Green Bay’s play-action are decisive.
Packers Recent Performance
Green Bay moved the ball vs Carolina but converted only one of five red-zone trips and missed a kick. The defense is physical in the low red and has generated timely stops, but explosives allowed have spiked in select sequences. The offensive fix is red-zone sequencing that leverages Jacobs’ downhill game and isolates matchups for Christian Watson on crossers and posts. Special teams must stabilize to prevent short-field swings.
Betting Insights and Trends
Philadelphia has covered consistently across the last fifteen regular-season games and profiles well as a short road dog when explosive rate and turnover margin tilt positive. Green Bay’s home profile is strong and usually travels with late-game poise, but current red-zone inefficiency and kicker uncertainty raise variance. Market derivatives like first half can favor Philadelphia if you expect scripted success and a fast start, while Green Bay second-half exposure fits a grind where Jacobs volume and crowd noise shift leverage. For broader context and futures, compare current prices on the NFL picks hub, team pages in the NFL teams index, live shops on the NFL odds board, and macro angles in Super Bowl odds.
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Best Pick
Eagles +2.5
The matchup leans to Philadelphia’s explosive rate with A.J. Brown back and a reinforced secondary that can push Green Bay into longer third downs. The bye improves install time for the new pieces and protection tweaks for Hurts. If buyback drives this to +3 at any shop, the position strengthens. If the spread compresses to +1 or pick’em, consider a moneyline split using the live NFL odds board.
Projection
Eagles 24, Packers 21.
The margin comes from red-zone finishing and special teams. Philadelphia’s edge pressure produces one short field, while Green Bay settles for field goals on two long drives. If the Packers resolve the kicker call cleanly and win fourth-quarter situational downs, the outcome tightens toward a one-point coin flip.
Handicapper Section
Validate injury designations and weather, then price shop across the NFL odds board five to ten minutes before limits rise. For derivative exposure, first-half spread or Eagles team total over can pair with a modest hedge on Packers second-half moneyline if you expect late adjustments. Cross-reference staff leans and unit sizing on the NFL picks hub and keep scheme concepts in view with the NFL betting guide.
