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Game Preview Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons
The Indianapolis Colts and Atlanta Falcons meet in Berlin, Germany, marking the city’s first-ever NFL game and the fifth regular-season contest played in the country. The matchup at Olympiastadion kicks off at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 9, 2025, live on NFL Network.
The Colts (7-2) arrive in Europe looking to rebound from a narrow 27-20 loss to the Steelers, which ended their four-game win streak. Despite the setback, Indianapolis remains one of the AFC’s most complete teams, leading the league in scoring (32.2 points per game) and rushing offense.
The Falcons (3-5) head overseas hoping to snap a three-game skid. Head coach Raheem Morris needs his young core, led by quarterback Michael Penix Jr. and receiver Drake London, to rediscover offensive rhythm. Atlanta has struggled to run the football since Week 6 and will face one of the league’s top front sevens on foreign soil.
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Odds and Key Information
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Spread | Colts -6.0 (-111), Falcons +6.0 (-108) |
| Moneyline | Colts -284, Falcons +231 |
| Total (O/U) | 48.5 points |
| Venue | Olympiastadion (Berlin, Germany) |
| Broadcast | NFL Network – Sunday, November 9, 9:30 AM ET |
| Weather | Clear and cool conditions, ideal for outdoor play |
Indianapolis enters as a touchdown favorite, bolstered by the addition of cornerback Sauce Gardner, acquired via trade from the Jets. Berlin’s historic setting adds intrigue to a matchup featuring one of the NFL’s top offenses against an Atlanta team fighting for its footing.
Indianapolis Colts Outlook
The Colts’ trade-deadline splash headlined the week: acquiring two-time All-Pro Sauce Gardner instantly strengthens a defense that already ranks top five in takeaways. Gardner cleared concussion protocol Thursday and will debut in Germany.
On offense, Daniel Jones has been one of the league’s biggest surprises, leading the NFL in passing yards (2,404) while maintaining efficiency under Shane Steichen’s aggressive play-calling. Jonathan Taylor, who leads the league in rushing yards (895) and touchdowns (12), remains the engine of a balanced attack.
The Colts’ offensive line continues to create lanes and protect well, allowing just 11 sacks through nine games. Defensively, Laiatu Latu and Samson Ebukam anchor a unit that ranks in the top half of the league in sacks.
Colts Injury Report
Mike Hilton (CB) – Shoulder – Out
Samson Ebukam (DE) – Knee – Questionable
Tyquan Lewis (DE) – Groin – Questionable
Sauce Gardner (CB) – Concussion – Questionable (Expected to Play)
DeForest Buckner (DT) – Neck – Out
Anthony Richardson Sr. (QB) – Eye – Out
Anthony Gould (WR) – Knee – Questionable
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Atlanta Falcons Outlook
Atlanta’s season has been marked by missed opportunities. The Falcons dropped three straight games, including a painful 24-23 defeat at New England after a missed extra point. Despite the struggles, rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. showed promise with three touchdowns against the Patriots, all to rising star Drake London.
The challenge remains the running game. Bijan Robinson’s production has slowed drastically, averaging just 37 yards per game over the last three weeks. Atlanta ranks in the bottom third of the league in rushing yards per attempt after starting the season as a top-10 unit.
The offensive line’s injuries are also concerning — starting guards Chris Lindstrom and Matthew Bergeron are banged up, with Bergeron ruled out. That lack of stability could hinder both the run game and pass protection against Indianapolis’ powerful defensive front.
Falcons Injury Report
Matthew Bergeron (OL) – Ankle – Out
Chris Lindstrom (G) – Foot – Questionable
Storm Norton (OL) – Ankle – Questionable
Kaleb McGary (OT) – Leg – Out
Troy Andersen (LB) – Knee – Out
Clark Phillips III (CB) – Triceps – Out
Learn more about line injuries and positional impacts with the NFL expert betting guide.
Key Matchup Table
| Key Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Quarterback Play | Colts |
| Rushing Attack | Colts |
| Receiving Depth | Colts |
| Pass Protection | Colts |
| Turnover Margin | Even |
| Secondary Depth | Colts |
The debut of Sauce Gardner gives Indianapolis a defensive advantage, particularly against Atlanta’s vertical game. The Falcons will rely on tempo and play-action to counter a disciplined Colts front.
Betting Trends
- Falcons are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games as underdogs.
- Falcons are 2-0-1 to the over after a loss.
- Colts are 7-0 SU in their last 7 home games (serving as home team here).
- Colts are 4-0 SU and ATS following a loss.
- Colts are 10-4 to the over in their last 14 games.
More data-driven betting trends can be found in sports betting strategies to win big.
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Predictions
The Colts’ offensive efficiency and roster depth make them the clear favorite in Berlin. Daniel Jones’ consistency and Taylor’s ground dominance should control the game tempo, while Gardner’s presence could neutralize Drake London. The Falcons have covered spreads well as underdogs, but their offensive line injuries make this a difficult spot overseas.
Projected Score: Colts 27, Falcons 23
Spread Pick: Falcons +6.0
Total Lean: Over 48.5
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Why You Need Expert Picks
Post-deadline volatility creates unique market inefficiencies — exactly the kind of situations professional bettors target. The verified Handicappers Leaderboard provides transparency across ROI and pick accuracy, letting bettors identify sharp consensus plays.
In matchups like this, player absences can exaggerate line movement. Use expert data models and responsible gambling tips to stay ahead of market swings and manage exposure effectively.
MetLife Stadium’s cold, wet conditions and two rebuilding rosters make this one a grinder — but for bettors, there’s value in analyzing resilience and trend consistency beyond the headlines.
