Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2025

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Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders host the Cleveland Browns at Allegiant Stadium in Week 12 of the NFL season. Both teams enter at 2-8, fighting to avoid the AFC cellar. Cleveland turns to rookie Shedeur Sanders for his first NFL start, while Las Vegas leans on Geno Smith despite turnover woes. Bettors will weigh the Browns’ defensive strength led by Myles Garrett against the Raiders’ passing attack and home-field advantage.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Raiders Spread: -3.5 (-105)
  • Browns Spread: +3.5 (-114)
  • Raiders MoneyLine: -182
  • Browns MoneyLine: +152
  • Total: 36.5 (Over -108, Under -114)

Las Vegas opened as a slight home favorite, reflecting Cleveland’s road struggles and the Raiders’ offensive potential. See full NFL odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Cleveland Browns Outlook

Shedeur Sanders makes his first NFL start after replacing Dillon Gabriel (concussion) against Baltimore. Myles Garrett leads the defense with 15 sacks, anchoring a unit that forced two turnovers last week. Quinshon Judkins powers the ground game with 620 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Cleveland’s offense remains inconsistent, but their defense can keep them competitive if Sanders avoids mistakes and Judkins controls tempo.

Las Vegas Raiders Outlook

Geno Smith threw for 238 yards and a touchdown against Dallas but leads the NFL with 13 interceptions. Rookie Ashton Jeanty was limited to seven rushing yards last week as protection issues mounted. The Raiders have allowed 10 sacks in their last two games, raising concerns against Garrett. Tre Tucker provides a spark in the passing game, while Maxx Crosby continues to disrupt defensively. Las Vegas must protect Smith and capitalize on turnovers to secure a win.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The Browns must lean on Garrett to pressure Smith and Judkins to control possession. The Raiders need Smith to limit turnovers and Crosby to anchor the defense. Offensive line play and quarterback poise will decide this battle of two-win teams.

Injuries / Availability

Cleveland lists Dillon Gabriel (concussion) questionable, with Deshaun Watson (ankle), Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (neck), Martin Emerson Jr. (Achilles), Dawand Jones (knee), and others out. For full player status, check the Browns injury report.

Las Vegas lists Kolton Miller (ankle), Jackson Powers-Johnson (ankle), and Brennan Jackson (foot) out, with Aidan O’Connell (wrist) and Jonah Laulu (ribs) questionable. See the Raiders injury page for latest updates.

Environment

The game kicks off at Allegiant Stadium, where Las Vegas is 1-4 at home. Cleveland is 0-5 on the road, continuing to struggle away from FirstEnergy Stadium. Expect Garrett’s defensive impact to clash with Smith’s passing volume in a low-scoring contest.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Raiders 24, Browns 17

  • Best Bet: Raiders -3.5
    Las Vegas’ passing attack and home-field edge suggest they can cover against a rookie QB.
  • Total: Over 36.5 (-108)
    Our model projects 41 points, leaning over given recent Browns trends hitting overs in low totals.

Las Vegas’ offensive weapons and defensive playmakers should secure the win, while Cleveland’s rookie QB debut keeps intrigue high. Expect a competitive but modest-scoring game trending over the total.

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