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Game Preview New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins finally appear to be on track after a rough start, winning two straight games and returning from a bye week at 4-7. They’ll host the New Orleans Saints, who have lost six straight and sit at 2-9, on Sunday, November 30, at Hard Rock Stadium.
Tua Tagovailoa and De’Von Achane have led the Dolphins’ resurgence, while the Saints’ offense has sputtered. Rookie quarterback Tyler Shough has shown flashes but has struggled to finish drives, especially with Alvin Kamara potentially sidelined.
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Odds and Key Information
Sport: NFL
Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
TV: FOX
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dolphins Moneyline | -274 |
| Saints Moneyline | +224 |
| Spread Dolphins -6.0 | (-110) |
| Spread Saints +6.0 | (-110) |
| Total Points Over 41.5 | (-112) |
| Total Points Under 41.5 | (-109) |
New Orleans Saints Outlook
The New Orleans Saints are in freefall. Their last win came in Week 3, and they’ve failed to score 20 points in six consecutive games. The offense, led by rookie Tyler Shough, has struggled in the red zone, ranking last in the NFL in touchdown conversion rate.
Injuries are also mounting. Alvin Kamara (knee/ankle) is doubtful, and top receiver Chris Olave is limited. The Saints generated just 10 points against the Falcons last week, despite gaining more first downs and total yardage. Rookie kicker Blake Grupe was released after missing two of three field goals, further complicating matters.
If the Saints want to stay competitive, Shough must limit turnovers and improve on third downs, while the defense needs to create short fields.
Miami Dolphins Outlook
The Miami Dolphins seem to have turned the corner. Consecutive wins over the Buffalo Bills and Washington Commanders have restored confidence, particularly on defense. Miami allowed just 13 and 16 points in those games and enters Week 13 with momentum.
De’Von Achane continues to be a major difference-maker. He posted 174 total yards and two touchdowns against Buffalo. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is playing clean football, and the Dolphins are executing better in situational moments.
Miami’s defense forced two fumbles and held the Bills to 87 rushing yards. This group ranks top 10 in opponent scoring and has improved tackling and pressure rates.
Key Matchup
| Key Area | Edge |
|---|---|
| QB Play | Dolphins |
| Run Game | Dolphins |
| Red Zone Offense | Dolphins |
| Turnovers Forced | Dolphins |
| Coaching | Dolphins |
With Kamara limited and Miami’s defense tightening, the Dolphins hold clear advantages in key areas, including quarterback play and red zone efficiency.
Betting Trends
- Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Dolphins are 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 games.
- Dolphins are 5-1 ATS after a loss this season.
- Saints are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Saints are 1-5 ATS as underdogs in 2025.
- Saints are 1-4 O/U on totals under 42 this season.
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The Lean
The Dolphins are 6-point favorites, and the betting trends back them. Miami has covered in four of their last five home games and appears to have more weapons and defensive consistency than New Orleans. The Saints have failed to reach 20 points in over a month.
Projected Score: Dolphins 24, Saints 17
Spread Pick: Dolphins -6
Total Lean: Under 41.5
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