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Game Preview Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets
Desperate for a win to keep their slim postseason hopes alive, the Atlanta Falcons will look to extend their recent success against the New York Jets on Sunday in East Rutherford, NJ.
Atlanta (4-7), which has won three straight road games against the Jets dating back to 2009, snapped a five-game losing streak last week with a 24-10 victory over the New Orleans Saints.
As the team watched its playoff chances dwindle, veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins took over for the injured Michael Penix Jr., who suffered a season-ending ACL tear. Cousins threw for 199 yards and two touchdowns against New Orleans and looks to build on that momentum.
New York (2-9) has dropped its last two and is set to miss the postseason for the 15th straight year. Tyrod Taylor leads the Jets’ offense, and he’ll face Atlanta defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich—formerly with the Jets.
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Odds and Key Information
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Sunday, November 30, 2025 |
| Time | 1:00 PM ET |
| Weather | Very cold, overcast clouds |
| Falcons Moneyline | -142 |
| Jets Moneyline | +120 |
| Point Spread | Falcons -2.5 (-111), Jets +2.5 (-109) |
| Total | Over/Under 39.5 (O: -108, U: -112) |
Atlanta Falcons Outlook
The Falcons snapped a five-game skid by beating the Saints behind veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins, who delivered a clean, efficient performance. The defense stepped up too, with Brandon Dorlus recording 1.5 sacks and Xavier Watts getting a key interception.
Statistically, the Falcons are still efficient. Last year they ranked 5th in passing yards and 10th in rushing. Bijan Robinson, currently 8th in rushing yards, remains a central figure. With Cousins expected to throw for over 200 yards and Robinson providing balance, the Falcons are equipped to control possession.
Falcons Injury Report
- Storm Norton (OL) – Out (Ankle)
- Kaleb McGary (OT) – Out (Leg)
- Drake London (WR) – Questionable (Knee)
- Michael Penix Jr. (QB) – Out (Knee)
- Emory Jones (QB) – Out (Concussion)
- Sam Roberts (DT) – Out (Knee/Ankle)
- Clark Phillips III (CB) – Out (Triceps/Illness)
New York Jets Outlook
The Jets are limping to the finish line but showed signs of life in their loss to the Ravens. Tyrod Taylor threw for 222 yards and a TD. Breece Hall, with 766 rushing yards, remains a reliable asset. Defensively, Will McDonald IV continues to make noise off the edge.
The Jets rank 7th in sacks and 5th in fumbles recovered. Their defense could make things tough for Cousins if they generate consistent pressure. Offensively, consistency has been elusive, but recent production in the passing game offers some hope.
Jets Injury Report
- Josh Reynolds (WR) – Out (Hip)
- Byron Cowart (DL) – Out (Undisclosed)
- Garrett Wilson (WR) – Out (Knee)
- Braelon Allen (RB) – Out (Knee)
- Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) – Out (Triceps)
- Gus Hartwig (C) – Out (Undisclosed)
Key Matchup
| Key Players | Expected Impact |
|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins (ATL, QB) | Needs to maintain turnover-free play and manage tempo |
| Breece Hall (NYJ, RB) | Must break through Falcons’ front to extend drives |
| Falcons Front Seven | Should dominate a depleted Jets O-line |
| Jets Secondary | Must limit explosive plays from Cousins & Bijan |
Betting Trends
- Falcons are 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as underdogs
- Falcons are 3-0 ATS in last 3 away games
- Jets are 4-1 ATS in games with totals ≤ 42
- Jets are 4-1 O/U in games with totals ≤ 42
- Falcons are 4-1-1 O/U after a loss in last 6 games
The Lean
The Falcons are favored by 2.5 points. Our model projects a 24-20 win for Atlanta, suggesting they will cover the spread. The Jets’ offensive limitations make it hard to back them despite their home field.
With a total of 39.5 and both teams showing trends toward the over, particularly after a loss, our model’s projected total of 44 suggests value on the over.
Prediction: Falcons 24, Jets 20
Pick: Falcons -2.5
Total Lean: Over 39.5
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