New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Pick & Prediction JAN 15TH 2022

Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium Orchard Park
Logo New England Patriots
Logo Buffalo Bills

43.5o -107
-4.5 -110



Our second Wild Card game goes down on Saturday, January 15, between the Patriots and Bills. Both of these AFC East teams fought tooth and nail to get where they are.

New England split the season series with the Bills but now looks to eliminate them from the playoffs. Can Mac Jones keep his composure in this one even though he's a rookie? Or will he come up short?

The Buffalo Bills are very familiar with the playoff atmosphere. They also get to be the host in this one, which is a blessing and a curse. On the one hand, they'll get the benefit of playing at home in front of their fans.

On the other, they'll be playing in 4-degree weather, making this a tough game on both offenses. So, who's the best bet to win this game and cover the spread?

Patriots vs. Bills Betting Odds


MONEY LINE: Patriots (+167) vs. Bills (-192)

SPREAD: Patriots +4 (-110) vs. Bills -4 (-110)

GAME TOTAL: Over 44 (-115) vs. Under 44 (-105)

Patriots at Bills Preview for Wild Card Round

When looking over how the Patriots have performed this year, you'll learn a few things. For starters, they have the second-best defense in the entire NFL, allowing only 17.8 points per game.

You'll also learn that their rushing offense is ranked eighth, averaging 126.5 yards per game. Usually, with a good running game and a great defense, you don't score a lot of points.

However, the Patriots break the mold here with their top ten scoring offense. They average 27.2 points per game and have the defense to supplement them if they struggle. This is why Mac Jones can afford to make a few mistakes.

The 4-degree weather also benefits the Patriots since they're a much better running offense. The Bills might've bitten off more than they can chew.

Sure, the game takes place in Buffalo, but the Patriots fans travel well. Not to mention, the last time they hosted the Patriots, the Bills lost 14-10.

The weather plays perfectly into what the Patriots offense likes to do as well. The way we see it, the Bills might fall victim to their own circumstances on Saturday. Especially because passing the ball will be a difficult task.

That being said, the Bills have quite the offensive talent. If they can find a way to overcome the weather and pass downfield, they'll be in great shape. Turning this game into a shootout is the best-case scenario.

This way, they can force Mac Jones to throw under immense pressure and in poor conditions. It's going to be a tight game, so make sure you take the under in this one.

Patriots at Bills Pick

Patriots 16 - Bills 13

Many think that because Mac Jones is a rookie, he'll flop in this playoff game. We'll take this moment to remind everyone who the coach of the New England Patriots is.

Bill Belichick knows exactly how to make this game work in Jones' favor. He also knows that they've beaten Buffalo before with their incredible run game.

In their first meeting this season, the Patriots won 14-10 and threw the ball only three times. The Patriots' defense and rushers did the rest.

Considering this game is going to be incredibly cold, defense is the most important facet. The second-most important factor is effectively running the ball. New England can do both of these things with ease; take New England in this one.


1. New England is 7-3 in their last ten games against Buffalo.

2. In their last eleven games, the Patriots are 8-3 ATS.

3. In their last ten road games against Buffalo, the Patriots are 9-1.

Best Bet: New England Patriots +4

New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills

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New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills

Tyler Bass kicked a 28-yard field goal with 4:06 left and the Buffalo Bills recovered a late fumble to beat New England 24-21, sending the Patriots to their fourth consecutive loss on Sunday in Orchard Park, N.Y.

New England (2-5) was driving for at least the potential tying score, but Cam Newton fumbled on second-and-10 from the Buffalo 19. The Bills' Dean Marlowe recovered the ball at the 13 with 31 seconds left.

Zack Moss rushed for two touchdowns for Buffalo (6-2), which leads the AFC East and expanded its advantage on third-place New England. The Patriots' skid is their longest since 2002. They are 2-5 for the first time since 2000, coach Bill Belichick's first season in New England.

Buffalo snapped a seven-game losing streak to New England, which has won the AFC East in each of the past 11 seasons.

The Bills ran for 190 yards, led by Devin Singletary (14 carries, 86 yards) and Moss, who rushed 14 times for 81 yards. He scored on runs of 8 and 4 yards.

Josh Allen completed 11 of 18 passes for 154 yards with one interception for Buffalo. Newton was 15 of 25 for 174 yards.

Buffalo never trailed but had to respond after New England tied the game at 14 late in the third quarter and again at 21 when Newton finished a 72-yard drive with a 2-yard keeper around left end with 9:36 left in the game.

Buffalo came back with a 10-play, 63-yard drive that resulted in the field goal from Bass.

The Patriots were without leading receiver Julian Edelman (place on injured reserve Saturday because of a knee injury) and N'Keal Harry (concussion). Jakobi Meyers caught a team-high six passes for 58 yards.

Buffalo led 7-6 at halftime but squandered its chance for a bigger lead.

Patriots cornerback J.C. Jackson, seeing a bigger workload because of the absence of Stephon Gilmore (knee), picked off an Allen pass at the New England 26 and returned it to the Buffalo 49 with 1:38 to go before halftime. Newton drove the Patriots to the 15, where Nick Folk kicked a 33-yard field goal on third-and-1 with eight seconds left to make the score 7-6.

Moss gave the Bills a 7-0 lead in the first quarter when he broke through the left side of the line for an 8-yard score.

--Field Level Media

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